Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction
England · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal: result, form and history
Arsenal beat Aston Villa 1-0 in the Premier League on 31 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Arsenal had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Aston Villa.
Arsenal have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Aston Villa
Avg ratingAvg rating
1Z. Suzuki
2M. Cash
3V. Lindelöf
14P. Torres
22I. Maatsen
8B. Kamara
6R. Barkley
C7J. McGinn
10E. Buendía
53G. Hemmings
11N. Jackson
1D. Raya
4B. White
3C. Mosquera
6G. Magalhães
33R. Calafiori
41D. Rice
49M. Lewis-Skelly
7B. Saka
C8M. Ødegaard
17C. Tzolis
29K. HavertzAston Villa Substitutes
Arsenal Substitutes
Match Stats
Aston VillaArsenal Team Comparison
Aston VillaArsenalAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Aston Villa- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Arsenal- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Aston Villa3Wins · 30%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
30/12/2025ArsenalAston Villa06/12/2025Aston VillaArsenal18/01/2025ArsenalAston Villa24/08/2024Aston VillaArsenal14/04/2024ArsenalAston Villa09/12/2023Aston VillaArsenal18/02/2023Aston VillaArsenal31/08/2022ArsenalAston Villa19/03/2022Aston VillaArsenal22/10/2021ArsenalAston VillaRecent Form
Aston Villa
BrightonAston Villa
Borussia MönchengladbachAston Villa
Paris Saint GermainAston Villa
Bayern MünchenAston Villa
BG Pathum UnitedAston VillaAston Villa
Real Sociedad
FC PortoAston Villa
WalsallAston Villa
Manchester CityAston Villa
SC FreiburgAston VillaArsenalArsenal
CoventryArsenalManchester CityArsenal
ComoArsenal
Borussia DortmundArsenal
Real Betis
GironaArsenalParis Saint GermainArsenal
Crystal PalaceArsenalArsenal
Burnley
West HamArsenalReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.73 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).
Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | LLLWW |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WWLLD |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | DDWWD |
| 11 |  Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | LWWWD |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | DLWLL |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | DDWWL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | WLDLL |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 10:24 | 7 |
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About the Aston Villa vs Arsenal forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Aston Villa and Arsenal in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Arsenal are 1st and Aston Villa 10th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Aston Villa 14-17, Arsenal 15-5. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Aston Villa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Arsenal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.