Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction

Tottenham
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Newcastle
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London· Peter Bankes, England 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel43%RiskHighGap+13.3%
Tottenham Rest
2 days
Newcastle Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.21
X
28%3.70
2
36%3.10
Double Chance
1X
64%1.36
X2
64%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.51
No
39%2.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.71 = 3.04
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.63
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
17%4.65
Under 2.5
41%2.32
Under 3.5
64%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.30
Over 9.5
53%1.52
Over 10.5
41%1.88
Under 8.5
37%3.15
Under 9.5
47%2.33
Under 10.5
59%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%1.57
Over 4.5
55%2.10
Under 3.5
28%2.27
Under 4.5
45%1.67

Match Events

3'Micky van de VenFoul
13'Nico GonzálezFoul
62'Anthony ElangaAssist: Amar Dedić
68'Archie Gray INMikey Moore out
68'Andrew Robertson INDestiny Udogie out
68'Mathys Tel INMohammed Kudus out
71'Joe Willock INNick Woltemade out
71'Nico González INSean Steur out
72'Yoane WissaAssist: Nick Woltemade
75'Sandro Tonali INDominic Solanke out
79'Sven BotmanArgument
82'Yoane Wissa INJacob Ramsey out
82'Anthony Elanga INJacob Murphy out
90+3'Harvey Barnes INBazoumana Touré out

Lineups

Tottenham
4-2-3-1Coach: R. De Zerbi
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Coach: Matthias Jaissle
A. Kinský31A. KinskýA. Kinský
A. Gray14A. GrayA. Gray
J. van Hecke6J. van HeckeJ. van Hecke
M. van de Ven37M. van de VenM. van de Ven
A. Robertson3A. RobertsonA. Robertson
R. Bentancur30R. BentancurR. Bentancur
S. Tonali16S. TonaliS. Tonali
Pedro Porro23P. PorroPedro Porro
Mateus Fernandes18M. FernandesMateus Fernandes
M. Tel11M. TelM. Tel
Omar Marmoush22O. MarmoushOmar Marmoush
L. Horníček21L. HorníčekL. Horníček
A. Dedić37A. DedićA. Dedić
M. Thiaw12M. ThiawM. Thiaw
S. Botman4S. BotmanS. Botman
L. Hall3L. HallL. Hall
Nico González6N. GonzálezNico González
L. Miley67L. MileyL. Miley
A. Elanga19A. ElangaA. Elanga
J. Willock28J. WillockJ. Willock
H. Barnes11H. BarnesH. Barnes
Y. Wissa9Y. WissaY. Wissa

Tottenham Substitutes

13D. UdogieD
19D. SolankeF
5M. SenesiD
47M. MooreF
20M. KudusM
8C. GallagherM
39M. DúbravkaG
33B. DaviesD
15L. BergvallM

Newcastle Substitutes

27N. WoltemadeF
17B. TouréF
14Sean SteurM
51L. ShaharD
5F. SchärD
41J. RamseyM
23J. MurphyM
24E. JaouenG
8A. BambaM

Match Stats

TottenhamNewcastle
58%Ball Possession42%
9Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
15Fouls9
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
491Total Passes366
435Passes Accurate311
9Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

TottenhamTottenham
NewcastleNewcastle
1746Elo Rating 1835
0.83Attack 1.64
2.02Defense 1.25
17%Hit Rate 54%
14.0Shots per Game 13.2
4.1Shots on Target 4.4
7.5Corners per Game 7.6
1.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NewcastleNewcastle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Tottenham 0%Draw 23%77% Newcastle
3.03Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Recent Form

TottenhamTottenham
2W2D1L
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
W
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
L
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
W
08/08/2026
TottenhamGetafe
11
D
NewcastleNewcastle
1W1D3L
26/08/2026
NewcastleWest Brom
32
W
23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool
22
D
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
L
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
L
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
L

Referee Profile

Peter Bankes, England · 24 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
22.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
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Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Tottenham and Newcastle have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.03 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.