Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction

Tottenham
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Newcastle
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London·Peter Bankes, England 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseHighGap+13.3%
Tottenham Rest
2 days
Newcastle Rest
2 days

Tottenham vs Newcastle: the result in context

Newcastle beat Tottenham 2-0 in the Premier League on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Newcastle have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.21
X
28%3.70
2
36%3.10
Double Chance
1X
64%1.36
X2
64%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.51
No
39%2.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.71 = 3.04
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.63
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
17%4.65
Under 2.5
41%2.32
Under 3.5
64%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
63%1.30
Over 9.5
53%1.52
Over 10.5
41%1.88
Under 8.5
37%3.15
Under 9.5
47%2.33
Under 10.5
59%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%1.57
Over 4.5
55%2.10
Under 3.5
28%2.27
Under 4.5
45%1.67

Match Events

3'Micky van de VenFoul
13'Nico GonzálezFoul
62'Anthony ElangaAssist: Amar Dedić
68'Archie Gray INMikey Moore out
68'Andrew Robertson INDestiny Udogie out
68'Mathys Tel INMohammed Kudus out
71'Joe Willock INNick Woltemade out
71'Nico González INSean Steur out
72'Yoane WissaAssist: Nick Woltemade
75'Sandro Tonali INDominic Solanke out
79'Sven BotmanArgument
82'Yoane Wissa INJacob Ramsey out
82'Anthony Elanga INJacob Murphy out
90+3'Harvey Barnes INBazoumana Touré out

Lineups

Tottenham
4-2-3-1Coach: R. De Zerbi
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating7.22
A. Kinský6.031A. Kinský
A. Gray6.214A. Gray
J. van Hecke7.06J. van Hecke
M. van de Ven6.537M. van de Ven
A. Robertson6.63A. Robertson
R. Bentancur6.430R. Bentancur
S. Tonali6.316S. Tonali
Pedro Porro6.323P. Porro
Mateus Fernandes7.218M. Fernandes
M. Tel6.011M. Tel
Omar Marmoush6.622O. Marmoush
L. Horníček7.721L. Horníček
A. Dedić8.037A. Dedić
M. Thiaw7.512M. Thiaw
S. Botman7.24S. Botman
L. Hall7.83L. Hall
Nico González6.86N. González
L. Miley7.167L. Miley
A. Elanga8.219A. Elanga
J. Willock6.928J. Willock
H. Barnes6.511H. Barnes
Y. Wissa8.09Y. Wissa

Tottenham Substitutes

13D. Udogie68'for Andrew Robertson6.4
19D. Solanke75'for Sandro Tonali6.7
5M. Senesi
47M. Moore68'for Archie Gray6.3
20M. Kudus68'for Mathys Tel6.1
8C. Gallagher
39M. Dúbravka
33B. Davies
15L. Bergvall

Newcastle Substitutes

27N. Woltemade71'for Joe Willock6.7
17B. Touré90+3'for Harvey Barnes
14Sean Steur71'for Nico González6.6
51L. Shahar
5F. Schär
41J. Ramsey82'for Yoane Wissa7.0
23J. Murphy82'for Anthony Elanga6.4
24E. Jaouen
8A. Bamba

Match Stats

TottenhamNewcastle
58%Ball Possession42%
9Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
15Fouls9
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
498Total Passes373
442Passes Accurate314
89%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

TottenhamTottenham
NewcastleNewcastle
1789Elo Rating 1805
1.89Attack 1.18
1.66Defense 1.19
50%Hit Rate 37%
15.8Shots per Game 17.8
4.8Shots on Target 4.8
6.4Corners per Game 5.9
2.3Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NewcastleNewcastle
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TottenhamTottenham2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
NewcastleNewcastle7Wins · 70%
4.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League10/02/2026
TottenhamNewcastle
12
Premier League02/12/2025
NewcastleTottenham
22
League Cup29/10/2025
NewcastleTottenham
20
Premier League04/01/2025
TottenhamNewcastle
12
Premier League01/09/2024
NewcastleTottenham
21
Premier League13/04/2024
NewcastleTottenham
40
Premier League10/12/2023
TottenhamNewcastle
41
Premier League23/04/2023
NewcastleTottenham
61
Premier League23/10/2022
TottenhamNewcastle
12
Premier League03/04/2022
TottenhamNewcastle
51

Recent Form

TottenhamTottenham
7W2D1L
26/08/2026
TottenhamCharlton
51
W
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
L
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
W
08/08/2026
TottenhamGetafe
11
D
01/08/2026
ChelseaTottenham
12
W
29/07/2026
TottenhamSydney
4121
W
26/07/2026
AucklandTottenham
02
W
22/07/2026
TottenhamMilton Keynes Dons
10
W
24/05/2026
TottenhamEverton
10
W
NewcastleNewcastle
3W2D5L
26/08/2026
NewcastleWest Brom
32
W
23/08/2026
NewcastleLiverpool
22
D
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
L
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
L
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
L
08/08/2026
ValenciaNewcastle
12
W
29/07/2026
Bristol CityNewcastle
41
L
25/07/2026
GatesheadNewcastle
11
D
18/07/2026
NewcastleDarlington 1883
30
W
24/05/2026
FulhamNewcastle
20
L

Referee Profile

Peter Bankes165 matches

3.99Cards per match
3.87Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Peter Bankes3.99
Other referees3.71

3.99 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.71).

Cards come from 159 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7LeedsLeeds82519:6+311DDLDW
8NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
9Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland81256:14-85DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7LeedsLeeds89:611
8NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
9Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland86:145
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Tottenham vs Newcastle forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tottenham and Newcastle in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Newcastle are 8th and Tottenham 14th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Tottenham 8-10, Newcastle 12-14. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.