Atlas vs Monterrey Prediction

Atlas
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Monterrey
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara· Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina, Mexico 02/08/2026
AtlasAtlas
0-2
Finished
MonterreyMonterrey

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.75
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+8.3%
Atlas Rest
6 days
Monterrey Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.56
X
26%3.19
2
33%2.71
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
60%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.75
No
39%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.25 = 2.56
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
51%2.00
Over 3.5
28%3.50
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
49%1.77
Under 3.5
72%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.57
Over 9.5
48%1.95
Over 10.5
36%2.50
Under 8.5
40%2.25
Under 9.5
52%1.79
Under 10.5
64%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 3.2 = 6.4
Over 3.5
89%1.32
Over 4.5
77%1.72
Under 3.5
11%2.90
Under 4.5
23%2.01

Match Events

18'V. H. Rios De AlbaFoul
19'J. SanchezFoul
28'D. Rossi
40'L. EstevesFoul
45+3'L. Esteves INS. Hernandez out
45+3'J. Sanchez INGustavo Ferrareis out
47'M. CapassoFoul
49'E. ZaldivarFoul
57'A. AcevesFoul
64'L. Orellano INR. Chavez out
64'A. Aceves ING. Arteaga out
71'DukUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'J. Corona INF. Ambriz out
75'O. Pineda INJ. Rodriguez out
77'A. Gonzalez INP. Ramirez out
84'E. Zaldivar INJ. Lozano out
84'R. Mmaee INJ. Martin out
86'O. Torres INI. Fimbres out
88'C. SalcedoFoul
90+5'M. ValenzuelaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'C. SalcedoUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+7'L. Ocampos(Penalty)

Lineups

Atlas
4-2-2-2Coach: Hernan Crespo
Monterrey
3-4-2-1Coach: Matias Almeyda
Camilo Vargas12C. VargasCamilo Vargas
Jorge Sánchez3J. SánchezJorge Sánchez
Manuel Capasso28M. CapassoManuel Capasso
Rodrigo Schlegel21R. SchlegelRodrigo Schlegel
Milton Valenzuela16M. ValenzuelaMilton Valenzuela
Edgar Zaldívar6E. ZaldívarEdgar Zaldívar
Victor Rios27V. RiosVictor Rios
Arturo González58A. GonzálezArturo González
Luís Esteves10L. EstevesLuís Esteves
Duk11DukDuk
Ryan Mmaee8R. MmaeeRyan Mmaee
Luis Cárdenas22L. CárdenasLuis Cárdenas
Victor Guzmán4V. GuzmánVictor Guzmán
Carlos Salcedo13C. SalcedoCarlos Salcedo
Alonso Aceves19A. AcevesAlonso Aceves
Luca Orellano10L. OrellanoLuca Orellano
Orbelín Pineda25O. PinedaOrbelín Pineda
Óliver Torres8Ó. TorresÓliver Torres
Jesús Corona17J. CoronaJesús Corona
Lucas Ocampos7L. OcamposLucas Ocampos
Diego Rossi9D. RossiDiego Rossi
Hugo Cuypers99H. CuypersHugo Cuypers

Atlas Substitutes

2Gustavo FerrareisF
23Sergio HernandezM
15Paulo RamírezD
17Jose LozanoD
203Jose MartinF
22Antonio SánchezG
13Gaddi AguirreD
44Juan José PurataM
208Jesús GuillénM
197Dominic RománM

Monterrey Substitutes

2Ricardo ChávezD
3Gerardo ArteagaD
30Jorge RodríguezM
5Fidel AmbrízM
11Iker FimbresM
31César RamosG
21Luis ReyesD
18Cesar GarzaM
27Roberto de la RosaF
32Uroš ĐurđevićF

Match Stats

AtlasMonterrey
47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks2
5Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards1
9Total Shots13
1Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls17
2Goalkeeper Saves1
390Total Passes455
321Passes Accurate388
82%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

AtlasAtlas
MonterreyMonterrey
1581Elo Rating 1611
1.58Attack 0.84
0.70Defense 1.51
31%Hit Rate 14%
12.0Shots per Game 14.6
3.1Shots on Target 3.5
5.0Corners per Game 8.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Atlas 0%Draw 46%54% Monterrey
3.17Avg Goals
56%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AtlasAtlas
2W1D2L
26/07/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
W
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
W
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
L
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
L
MonterreyMonterrey
2W1D2L
27/07/2026
NecaxaMonterrey
21
L
19/07/2026
MonterreySantos Laguna
32
W
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
22/06/2026
CancúnMonterrey
14
W
27/04/2026
Santos LagunaMonterrey
30
L

Referee Profile

Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina, Mexico · 16 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca861118:6+1219WWWWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
6AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
7MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro741210:7+313WWLDW
9Club LeonClub Leon841311:9+213WWDLW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana741210:8+213LWLWD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca832313:8+511WWDDL
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna81166:13-74WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca818:619
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5PueblaPuebla911:1114
6AtlasAtlas913:1514
7MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro710:713
9Club LeonClub Leon811:913
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana710:813
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca813:811
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna86:134
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Atlas vs Monterrey Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

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Key Factors for This Match

Atlas and Monterrey have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.17 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.