Atlas vs Monterrey Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Atlas Rest
6 days
Monterrey Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.56
X26%3.19
233%2.71
Double Chance
1X67%1.44
X260%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.75
No39%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.25 = 2.56
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.551%2.00
Over 3.528%3.50
Under 1.529%3.25
Under 2.549%1.77
Under 3.572%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.6 = 9.8
Over 8.560%1.57
Over 9.548%1.95
Over 10.536%2.50
Under 8.540%2.25
Under 9.552%1.79
Under 10.564%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.2 + 3.2 = 6.4
Over 3.589%1.32
Over 4.577%1.72
Under 3.511%2.90
Under 4.523%2.01
Match Events
18'V. H. Rios De AlbaFoul
19'J. SanchezFoul
28'D. Rossi
40'L. EstevesFoul
45+3'L. Esteves INS. Hernandez out
45+3'J. Sanchez INGustavo Ferrareis out
47'M. CapassoFoul
49'E. ZaldivarFoul
57'A. AcevesFoul
64'L. Orellano INR. Chavez out
64'A. Aceves ING. Arteaga out
71'DukUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'J. Corona INF. Ambriz out
75'O. Pineda INJ. Rodriguez out
77'A. Gonzalez INP. Ramirez out
84'E. Zaldivar INJ. Lozano out
84'R. Mmaee INJ. Martin out
86'O. Torres INI. Fimbres out
88'C. SalcedoFoul
90+5'M. ValenzuelaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'C. SalcedoUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+7'L. Ocampos(Penalty)
Lineups
AtlasMonterrey
3-4-2-1Coach: Matias AlmeydaAvg ratingAvg rating
C12C. Vargas
3J. Sánchez
28M. Capasso
21R. Schlegel
16M. Valenzuela
6E. Zaldívar
27V. Rios
58A. González
10L. Esteves
11Duk
8R. Mmaee
22L. Cárdenas
4V. Guzmán
13C. Salcedo
19A. Aceves
10L. Orellano
25O. Pineda
8Ó. Torres
C17J. Corona
7L. Ocampos
9D. Rossi
99H. CuypersAtlas Substitutes
2Gustavo Ferrareis45+3'for J. Sanchez
23Sergio Hernandez45+3'for L. Esteves
15Paulo Ramírez77'for A. Gonzalez
17Jose Lozano84'for E. Zaldivar
203Jose Martin84'for R. Mmaee
22Antonio Sánchez
13Gaddi Aguirre
44Juan José Purata
208Jesús Guillén
197Dominic Román
Monterrey Substitutes
2Ricardo Chávez64'for L. Orellano
3Gerardo Arteaga64'for A. Aceves
30Jorge Rodríguez75'for O. Pineda
5Fidel Ambríz75'for J. Corona
11Iker Fimbres86'for O. Torres
31César Ramos
21Luis Reyes
18Cesar Garza
27Roberto de la Rosa
32Uroš Đurđević
Match Stats
AtlasMonterrey 47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks2
5Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards1
9Total Shots13
1Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls17
2Goalkeeper Saves1
390Total Passes455
321Passes Accurate388
82%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
AtlasMonterrey1632Elo Rating 1634
2.05Attack 2.06
1.20Defense 1.46
66%Hit Rate 36%
13.7Shots per Game 13.0
3.9Shots on Target 5.1
6.4Corners per Game 7.0
2.2Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atlas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Monterrey- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atlas0Wins · 0%Draws440%
Monterrey6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
12/04/2026AtlasMonterrey00
27/07/2025MonterreyAtlas31
30/01/2025AtlasMonterrey33
03/11/2024MonterreyAtlas40
18/03/2024AtlasMonterrey12
10/07/2023MonterreyAtlas10
10/02/2023AtlasMonterrey02
18/09/2022MonterreyAtlas20
21/04/2022MonterreyAtlas00
28/11/2021AtlasMonterrey11
Recent Form
Atlas4W2D4L
26/07/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
LeonAtlas
Santos LagunaAtlas01
W18/07/2026LeonAtlas23
W10/07/2026Atlas
Puebla
AtlasPuebla34
L04/07/2026Atlas
Necaxa
AtlasNecaxa00
D01/07/2026Atlas
Atletico San Luis
AtlasAtletico San Luis01
L10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
Cruz AzulAtlas10
L03/05/2026AtlasCruz Azul
AtlasCruz Azul23
L26/04/2026
Club AmericaAtlas
Club AmericaAtlas01
W23/04/2026Atlas
Tigres UANL
AtlasTigres UANL00
D20/04/2026Santos LagunaAtlas
Santos LagunaAtlas01
WMonterrey3W2D5L
27/07/2026NecaxaMonterreyMonterreySantos Laguna
NecaxaMonterrey21
L19/07/2026MonterreySantos Laguna32
W04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
Atlante FCMonterrey11
D22/06/2026
CancúnMonterrey
CancúnMonterrey14
W27/04/2026Santos LagunaMonterrey
Santos LagunaMonterrey30
L22/04/2026MonterreyPuebla
MonterreyPuebla21
W19/04/2026Monterrey
CF Pachuca
MonterreyCF Pachuca13
L12/04/2026AtlasMonterrey
AtlasMonterrey00
D05/04/2026MonterreyAtletico San Luis
MonterreyAtletico San Luis12
L22/03/2026Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
MonterreyGuadalajara Chivas23
LReferee Profile
4.64Cards per match
4.38Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.64 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).
Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Atlas vs Monterrey forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atlas and Monterrey in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Atlas are 5th and Monterrey 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlas 27-30, Monterrey 26-25. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.