Orense SC vs Aucas Prediction

Orense SC
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Aucas
Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala· Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga, Ecuador 23/07/2026
Orense SCOrense SC
2-1
Finished
AucasAucas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalNEUTRALModel38%RiskMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel31%RiskMediumGap+10.3%
Orense SC Rest
3 days
Aucas Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.52
X
32%3.10
2
39%2.77
Double Chance
1X
61%1.40
X2
71%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.83
No
54%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.36 = 2.32
Over 1.5
64%1.36
Over 2.5
38%2.18
Over 3.5
18%3.86
Under 1.5
36%2.89
Under 2.5
62%1.65
Under 3.5
82%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'L. ArroyoAssist: R. Bolanos
27'S. QuinonezFoul
38'S. VasquezAssist: A. Herrera
57'R. Bolanos INP. Guzman out
58'S. QuinonezAssist: S. Vasquez
61'R. Jaramilo INE. Pluas out
75'M. Bermudez INE. S. Zambrano Pesantez out
75'A. Garcia INB. Carabali out
90+1'M. Vera INT. Serpa out
90+1'G. Rostagno INB. Vinan out
90+2'M. Parrales IND. Quintero out

Lineups

Orense SC
4-3-3Coach: Hernan Torres
Aucas
4-1-4-1Coach: Norberto Araujo
Jordy Ortiz22J. OrtizJordy Ortiz
Alan Lorenzo5A. LorenzoAlan Lorenzo
Stéfano Callegari6S. CallegariStéfano Callegari
Steven Quiñónez4S. QuiñónezSteven Quiñónez
Beder Caicedo15B. CaicedoBeder Caicedo
Sergio Vásquez7S. VásquezSergio Vásquez
Gonzalo Martin Rostagno21G. Martin RostagnoGonzalo Martin Rostagno
Renny Jaramillo25R. JaramilloRenny Jaramillo
Agustin Herrera11A. HerreraAgustin Herrera
Miguel Parrales10M. ParralesMiguel Parrales
Michael Bermúdez19M. BermúdezMichael Bermúdez
Hamilton Piedra13H. PiedraHamilton Piedra
Alex Zova37A. ZovaAlex Zova
Luis Gustavino16L. GustavinoLuis Gustavino
Santiago Morales2S. MoralesSantiago Morales
Ariel García63A. GarcíaAriel García
Stiven Tapiero14S. TapieroStiven Tapiero
Ayrton Preciado10A. PreciadoAyrton Preciado
Maverick Vera57M. VeraMaverick Vera
Andres Mena18A. MenaAndres Mena
Alexander Bolaños11A. BolañosAlexander Bolaños
Luis Arroyo29L. ArroyoLuis Arroyo

Orense SC Substitutes

14Erick PlúasM
54Erick ZambranoM
77Bryan ViñánD
33David QuinteroF
12Rolando SilvaG
2Bryan QuinonezD
13Ángel MenaF
52Yinsop BravoD
57Sleyder MairongoM
8Diego ArmasM
50Eddie HernandezM
53Luis GarcesF

Aucas Substitutes

21Piero GuzmánM
31Byron CarabalíD
5Thiago SerpaM
1Iván ChavesG
20Diego EspinosaF

Match Stats

Orense SCAucas
58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots2
11Fouls10
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
402Total Passes286
341Passes Accurate217
85%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Orense SCOrense SC
AucasAucas
1467Elo Rating 1583
1.35Attack 0.59
0.82Defense 2.44
23%Hit Rate 17%
11.6Shots per Game 7.9
2.7Shots on Target 2.5
3.9Corners per Game 3.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Orense SCOrense SC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AucasAucas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Orense SC 36%Draw 23%41% Aucas
2.88Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga, Ecuador · 22 matches analysed

4.6Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 72% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WLWWL
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DDDWW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Orense SC vs Aucas Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

ScorePredicts covers Ecuador football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Orense SC and Aucas have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.88 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.