Orense SC vs Aucas Prediction
Ecuador · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseMediumGap+10.3%
Orense SC Rest
3 days
Aucas Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
129%2.52
X32%3.10
239%2.77
Double Chance
1X61%1.40
X271%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%1.83
No54%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.36 = 2.32
Over 1.564%1.36
Over 2.538%2.18
Over 3.518%3.86
Under 1.536%2.90
Under 2.562%1.65
Under 3.582%1.22
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
19'L. ArroyoAssist: R. Bolanos
27'S. QuinonezFoul
38'S. VasquezAssist: A. Herrera
57'R. Bolanos INP. Guzman out
58'S. QuinonezAssist: S. Vasquez
61'R. Jaramilo INE. Pluas out
75'M. Bermudez INE. S. Zambrano Pesantez out
75'A. Garcia INB. Carabali out
90+1'M. Vera INT. Serpa out
90+1'G. Rostagno INB. Vinan out
90+2'M. Parrales IND. Quintero out
Lineups
Orense SCAucas
4-1-4-1Coach: Norberto AraujoAvg ratingAvg rating
22J. Ortiz
5A. Lorenzo
6S. Callegari
4S. Quiñónez
C15B. Caicedo
7S. Vásquez
21G. Martin Rostagno
25R. Jaramillo
11A. Herrera
10M. Parrales
19M. Bermúdez
C13H. Piedra
37A. Zova
16L. Gustavino
2S. Morales
63A. García
14S. Tapiero
10A. Preciado
57M. Vera
18A. Mena
11A. Bolaños
29L. ArroyoOrense SC Substitutes
14Erick Plúas61'for R. Jaramilo
54Erick Zambrano75'replaced by M. Bermudez
77Bryan Viñán90+1'for G. Rostagno
33David Quintero90+2'for M. Parrales
12Rolando Silva
2Bryan Quinonez
13Ángel Mena
52Yinsop Bravo
57Sleyder Mairongo
8Diego Armas
50Eddie Hernandez
53Luis Garces
Aucas Substitutes
21Piero Guzmán57'replaced by R. Bolanos
31Byron Carabalí75'for A. Garcia
5Thiago Serpa90+1'for M. Vera
1Iván Chaves
20Diego Espinosa
Match Stats
Orense SCAucas 58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots2
11Fouls10
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
402Total Passes286
341Passes Accurate217
85%Pass Accuracy76%
Team Comparison
Orense SCAucas1473Elo Rating 1560
1.52Attack 1.04
2.25Defense 1.01
23%Hit Rate 27%
13.7Shots per Game 10.7
6.0Shots on Target 2.9
4.3Corners per Game 4.7
1.2Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Orense SC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Aucas- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Orense SC2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Aucas5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
24/03/2026AucasOrense SC32
21/09/2025AucasOrense SC00
25/05/2025Orense SCAucas21
03/08/2024Orense SCAucas40
02/03/2024AucasOrense SC20
04/12/2023Orense SCAucas12
24/06/2023AucasOrense SC20
09/07/2022AucasOrense SC20
20/02/2022Orense SCAucas11
08/08/2021AucasOrense SC00
Recent Form
Orense SC3W1D6L
20/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SCOrense SC
EmelecOrense SC
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de QuitoOrense SC
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC21
L17/07/2026Orense SCEmelec02
L11/07/2026
Manta FCOrense SC
07/07/2026Manta FCOrense SC00
DOrense SCTecnico Universitario12
L02/07/2026LDU de QuitoOrense SC30
L27/05/2026
CuniburoOrense SC
CuniburoOrense SC21
L23/05/2026Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SCUniversidad Catolica12
L19/05/2026
Guayaquil City FCOrense SC
Guayaquil City FCOrense SC01
W09/05/2026Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SCLeones del Norte20
W03/05/2026
MacaraOrense SC
MacaraOrense SC12
WAucas6W1D3L
19/07/2026Tecnico UniversitarioAucasAucas
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo CuencaAucas
Tecnico UniversitarioAucas01
W16/07/2026AucasIndependiente del Valle03
L12/07/2026Deportivo CuencaAucas01
W08/07/2026AucasGuayaquil City FC
AucasGuayaquil City FC10
W31/05/2026Mushuc Runa SCAucas
Mushuc Runa SCAucas00
D26/05/2026AucasManta FC
AucasManta FC31
W21/05/2026
San AntonioAucas
San AntonioAucas03
W17/05/2026
Barcelona SCAucas
Barcelona SCAucas30
L09/05/2026AucasUniversidad Catolica
AucasUniversidad Catolica21
W02/05/2026
LibertadAucas
LibertadAucas32
LReferee Profile
5.38Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.38 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).
Cards come from 72 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DLDWL |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LWLDL |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | DLLDW |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | DLWLL |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LDLWW |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | DDWLW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | WLLWL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WLWWD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | LDWLL |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | WWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 35 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 81:37 | +44 | 84 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Macara | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | +15 | 67 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 56:35 | +21 | 54 | DLDWL |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | +6 | 54 | DLLDW |
| 5 | Aucas | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 54 | LWLDL |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 39:32 | +7 | 49 | DLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 35 | 81:37 | 84 |
| 2 | Macara | 36 | 52:37 | 67 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 36 | 56:35 | 54 |
| 4 | LDU de Quito | 36 | 38:32 | 54 |
| 5 | Aucas | 36 | 40:42 | 54 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 35 | 39:32 | 49 |
Liga Pro: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 33:42 | -9 | 47 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 13 | Orense SC | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43:53 | -10 | 39 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 31:43 | -12 | 38 | LWLWW |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 36 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 35:49 | -14 | 37 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 27:52 | -25 | 33 | WWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 36 | 33:42 | 47 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SC | 36 | 43:50 | 43 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 36 | 43:53 | 39 |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 36 | 31:43 | 38 |
| 15 | Tecnico Universitario | 36 | 35:49 | 37 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 36 | 27:52 | 33 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Libertad vs Delfin SC 21/07/26
- Macara vs Deportivo Cuenca 22/07/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Tecnico Universitario 22/07/26
- Manta FC vs LDU de Quito 23/07/26
- Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC 24/07/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Manta FC 26/07/26
- Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle 26/07/26
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec 28/07/26
About the Orense SC vs Aucas forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Orense SC and Aucas in the Liga Pro table
The table shows a wide gap: Aucas are 4th in the Liga Pro, while Orense SC sit 13th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Orense SC 36-47, Aucas 33-28. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.