Manchester United vs Tottenham Prediction

Old Trafford, Manchester·Stuart Attwell 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Manchester United Rest
20 days
Tottenham Rest
21 days

Manchester United vs Tottenham: result, form and history

Manchester United and Tottenham drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.73
X
23%4.17
2
22%4.40
Double Chance
1X
79%1.21
X2
45%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.50
No
37%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 1.08 = 3.13
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
63%1.47
Over 3.5
42%2.26
Under 1.5
18%5.40
Under 2.5
37%2.60
Under 3.5
58%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
61%1.30
Over 9.5
51%1.55
Over 10.5
41%1.95
Under 8.5
39%3.02
Under 9.5
49%2.27
Under 10.5
59%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.39
Over 4.5
37%1.71
Under 3.5
43%2.89
Under 4.5
63%2.12

Match Events

4'Conor GallagherFoul
59'Amad Diallo INJoshua Zirkzee out
59'Leny Yoro INDiogo Dalot out
59'Youri Tielemans INCarlos Baleba out
66'Lucas Bergvall INRodrigo Bentancur out
66'Mohammed Kudus INOmar Marmoush out
73'Bryan MbeumoAssist: Matheus Cunha
74'Conor Gallagher INJames Maddison out
74'Destiny Udogie INMicky van de Ven out
78'Rodrigo BentancurViolent conduct
78'Jan Paul van HeckeFoul
78'Luke ShawArgument
84'Bruno FernandesFoul
87'Lisandro MartínezFoul
89'Marcos Senesi INMateus Fernandes out
90+2'Dominic SolankeAssist: Sandro Tonali
90+5'Matheus Cunha INMarcus Rashford out
90+5'Luke Shaw INAyden Heaven out
90+6'Diogo DalotFoul
90+8'Archie GrayFoul

Lineups

Manchester United
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Carrick
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Coach: R. De Zerbi
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.64
S. Lammens6.31S. Lammens
L. Yoro7.115L. Yoro
H. Maguire7.55H. Maguire
Lisandro Martínez6.76L. Martínez
L. Shaw6.223L. Shaw
Y. Tielemans6.618Y. Tielemans
K. Mainoo6.637K. Mainoo
A. Diallo6.816A. Diallo
Bruno Fernandes6.58B. Fernandes
Matheus Cunha7.010M. Cunha
B. Mbeumo8.119B. Mbeumo
A. Kinský6.531A. Kinský
A. Gray6.714A. Gray
J. van Hecke6.36J. van Hecke
M. Senesi7.05M. Senesi
D. Udogie6.913D. Udogie
L. Bergvall6.615L. Bergvall
S. Tonali7.716S. Tonali
M. Kudus6.120M. Kudus
C. Gallagher6.58C. Gallagher
Sávio6.717Sávio
D. Solanke7.619D. Solanke

Manchester United Substitutes

17Andrey Santos
20C. Baleba59'for Youri Tielemans7.2
2Diogo Dalot59'for Leny Yoro90+6'6.7
12K. Darlow
26A. Heaven90+5'for Luke Shaw
31S. Lacey
7M. Mount
9M. Rashford90+5'for Matheus Cunha
11J. Zirkzee59'for Amad Diallo6.9

Tottenham Substitutes

4T. Adarabioyo
30R. Bentancur66'for Lucas Bergvall78'5.6
33B. Davies
39M. Dúbravka
18Mateus Fernandes89'for Marcos Senesi6.3
10J. Maddison74'for Conor Gallagher6.8
22Omar Marmoush66'for Mohammed Kudus6.6
11M. Tel
37M. van de Ven74'for Destiny Udogie6.4

Match Stats

Manchester UnitedTottenham
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
12Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots6
13Fouls16
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
467Total Passes464
389Passes Accurate390
16Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Manchester UnitedManchester United
TottenhamTottenham
1832Elo Rating 1789
0.81Attack 1.89
1.00Defense 1.66
0%Hit Rate 50%
14.3Shots per Game 15.8
4.1Shots on Target 4.8
5.2Corners per Game 6.4
2.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Manchester UnitedManchester United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Manchester UnitedManchester United2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
TottenhamTottenham5Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League07/02/2026
Manchester UnitedTottenham
20
Premier League08/11/2025
TottenhamManchester United
22
UEFA Europa League21/05/2025
TottenhamManchester United
10
Premier League16/02/2025
TottenhamManchester United
10
League Cup19/12/2024
TottenhamManchester United
43
Premier League29/09/2024
Manchester UnitedTottenham
03
Premier League14/01/2024
Manchester UnitedTottenham
22
Premier League19/08/2023
TottenhamManchester United
20
Premier League27/04/2023
TottenhamManchester United
22
Premier League19/10/2022
Manchester UnitedTottenham
20

Recent Form

Manchester UnitedManchester United
2W3D5L
20/09/2026
FulhamManchester United
11
D
16/09/2026
Manchester UnitedBrighton
23
L
13/09/2026
Manchester UnitedManchester City
01
L
10/09/2026
Manchester UnitedSabah FA
40
W
06/09/2026
EvertonManchester United
22
D
30/08/2026
Manchester UnitedIpswich
52
W
22/08/2026
Hull CityManchester United
20
L
15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
24
L
12/08/2026
LeedsManchester United
5141
L
08/08/2026
Paris Saint GermainManchester United
11
D

Referee Profile

Stuart Attwell180 matches

4.16Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stuart Attwell4.16
Other referees3.75

4.16 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).

Cards come from 172 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
8Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
9LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
8Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
9LeedsLeeds79:610
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Manchester United vs Tottenham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manchester United and Tottenham in the Premier League table

Tottenham and Manchester United are close in the Premier League table, 14th and 16th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Manchester United 10-13, Tottenham 8-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.