Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction

Tottenham
2-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London· Samuel Barrott 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.64
SignalHIGHModel67%RiskMediumGap+6.8%
Tottenham Rest
3 days
Aston Villa Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%1.96
X
27%3.63
2
32%3.88
Double Chance
1X
68%1.25
X2
59%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.61
No
45%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.38 = 2.65
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.74
Over 3.5
25%2.75
Under 1.5
26%4.03
Under 2.5
44%2.11
Under 3.5
75%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.8 = 9.2
Over 8.5
51%1.31
Over 9.5
43%1.58
Over 10.5
31%2.00
Under 8.5
49%2.96
Under 9.5
57%2.29
Under 10.5
69%1.79
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.61
Over 4.5
33%2.19
Under 3.5
47%2.23
Under 4.5
67%1.64

Match Events

19'Pedro Porro INArchie Gray out
45+4'Johan ManzambiAssist: Boubacar Kamara
45+7'Jan Paul van HeckeFoul
45'Aaron Wan-Bissaka INMatty Cash out
45'Mateus Fernandes INMohammed Kudus out
46'Nicolas JacksonNot retreating
60'Goal cancelledMohammed Kudus
66'Dominic Solanke INJames Maddison out
67'Nicolas JacksonAssist: Johan Manzambi
72'Johan Manzambi INGeorge Hemmings out
79'Emiliano BuendíaAssist: John McGinn
84'John McGinn INRoss Barkley out
84'Boubacar Kamara INIbrahim Mbaye out
84'Rodrigo Bentancur INLucas Bergvall out
84'Sandro Tonali INConor Gallagher out
86'Conor GallagherAssist: Mohammed Kudus
88'Nicolas Jackson INTammy Abraham out
90+8'Jan Paul van HeckeAssist: Andrew Robertson
90+2'Unai Emery EtxegoienDissent
90+2'Matty CashFoul

Lineups

Tottenham
4-2-3-1Coach: R. De Zerbi
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1Coach: Unai Emery
A. Kinský31A. KinskýA. Kinský
Pedro Porro23P. PorroPedro Porro
J. van Hecke6J. van HeckeJ. van Hecke
M. van de Ven37M. van de VenM. van de Ven
A. Robertson3A. RobertsonA. Robertson
R. Bentancur30R. BentancurR. Bentancur
S. Tonali16S. TonaliS. Tonali
Sávio17SávioSávio
Mateus Fernandes18M. FernandesMateus Fernandes
Omar Marmoush22O. MarmoushOmar Marmoush
D. Solanke19D. SolankeD. Solanke
Z. Suzuki1Z. SuzukiZ. Suzuki
A. Wan-Bissaka29A. Wan-BissakaA. Wan-Bissaka
V. Lindelöf3V. LindelöfV. Lindelöf
T. Mings5T. MingsT. Mings
M. Ruggeri13M. RuggeriM. Ruggeri
B. Kamara8B. KamaraB. Kamara
João Gomes35J. GomesJoão Gomes
J.  McGinn7J. McGinnJ. McGinn
J. Manzambi44J. ManzambiJ. Manzambi
E. Buendía10E. BuendíaE. Buendía
N. Jackson11N. JacksonN. Jackson

Tottenham Substitutes

15L. BergvallM
20M. KudusM
39M. DúbravkaG
4T. AdarabioyoD
5M. SenesiD
13D. UdogieD
8C. GallagherM
10J. MaddisonM
14A. GrayM

Aston Villa Substitutes

2M. CashD
4T. Harwood-BellisD
6R. BarkleyM
26L. BogardeM
53George HemmingsM
17A. GarnachoF
18T. AbrahamF
19I. MbayeF
42J. WrightG

Match Stats

TottenhamAston Villa
64%Ball Possession36%
11Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
9Fouls13
5Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
571Total Passes331
496Passes Accurate278
13Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

TottenhamTottenham
Aston VillaAston Villa
1746Elo Rating 1844
0.83Attack 0.96
2.02Defense 1.27
17%Hit Rate 23%
14.0Shots per Game 11.0
4.1Shots on Target 3.6
7.5Corners per Game 4.2
1.0Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Aston VillaAston Villa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
2ArsenalArsenal54018:4+412LWWWW
3BrightonBrighton531116:5+1110WWDLW
4BrentfordBrentford523010:4+69WDDDW
5EvertonEverton52306:3+39WDDDW
6LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
7Hull CityHull City52216:4+28LDDWW
8NewcastleNewcastle52219:908WLDWD
9ChelseaChelsea521210:12-27LDLWW
10LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
11IpswichIpswich52037:11-46LWLLW
12Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15Aston VillaAston Villa51134:9-54WLDLL
16BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
18TottenhamTottenham50232:8-62LDDLL
19FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City48:212
2ArsenalArsenal58:412
3BrightonBrighton516:510
4BrentfordBrentford510:49
5EvertonEverton56:39
6LeedsLeeds47:38
7Hull CityHull City56:48
8NewcastleNewcastle59:98
9ChelseaChelsea510:127
10LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
11IpswichIpswich57:116
12Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15Aston VillaAston Villa54:94
16BournemouthBournemouth46:73
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
18TottenhamTottenham52:82
19FulhamFulham44:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Tottenham and Aston Villa have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.93 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.