Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction
England · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa: the result in context
Aston Villa beat Tottenham 3-2 in the Premier League on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Aston Villa have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Tottenham tend to win more corners, 9.5 a game to 5.9 for Aston Villa.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Tottenham
Avg ratingAvg rating
31A. Kinský
23P. Porro
6J. van Hecke
37M. van de Ven
3A. Robertson
30R. Bentancur
16S. Tonali
17Sávio
18M. Fernandes
22O. Marmoush
19D. Solanke
1Z. Suzuki
29A. Wan-Bissaka
3V. Lindelöf
5T. Mings
13M. Ruggeri
8B. Kamara
35J. Gomes
7J. McGinn
44J. Manzambi
10E. Buendía
11N. JacksonTottenham Substitutes
Aston Villa Substitutes
Match Stats
TottenhamAston Villa Team Comparison
TottenhamAston VillaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Tottenham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Aston Villa- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Tottenham3Wins · 30%7Wins · 70%Previous meetings
03/05/2026Aston VillaTottenham
10/01/2026TottenhamAston Villa19/10/2025TottenhamAston Villa16/05/2025Aston VillaTottenham09/02/2025Aston VillaTottenham03/11/2024TottenhamAston Villa10/03/2024Aston VillaTottenham26/11/2023TottenhamAston Villa13/05/2023Aston VillaTottenham01/01/2023TottenhamAston VillaRecent Form
Tottenham
LiverpoolTottenhamTottenham
Everton
Nottingham ForestTottenhamTottenham
NewcastleTottenham
Charlton
BrentfordTottenhamTottenham
1899 HoffenheimTottenham1899 HoffenheimTottenham
Getafe
ChelseaTottenhamAston Villa
CoventryAston VillaAston VillaNottingham Forest
Club Brugge KVAston Villa
Hull CityAston VillaAston Villa
Arsenal
BrightonAston Villa
Borussia MönchengladbachAston Villa
Paris Saint GermainAston Villa
Bayern MünchenAston Villa
BG Pathum UnitedAston VillaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.58 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.86).
Cards come from 203 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | LLLWW |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | LWLWW |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WWLLD |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | DDWWD |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | LWWWD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | DDWWL |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | WLDLL |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 26:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 14:19 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 10:24 | 7 |
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About the Tottenham vs Aston Villa forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Tottenham and Aston Villa in the Premier League table
Aston Villa and Tottenham are close in the Premier League table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Tottenham 10-11, Aston Villa 14-17. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Aston Villa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.