Tottenham vs Charlton Prediction

Tottenham
5-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Charlton
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London·Adam Herczeg, England 26/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.23
SignalSTRONGModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Tottenham Rest
4 days
Charlton Rest
4 days

Tottenham vs Charlton: the result in context

Tottenham beat Charlton 5-1 in the League Cup on 26 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Charlton had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Tottenham.

Tottenham tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.8 for Charlton.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
93%1.23
X
3%6.50
2
4%11.50
Double Chance
1X
96%1.04
X2
7%4.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.86
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.31 + 0.7 = 3.01
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
50%1.42
Over 3.5
29%2.10
Under 1.5
17%5.83
Under 2.5
50%2.70
Under 3.5
71%1.73
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'C. Sichenje IND. McNamara out
15'B. Koumetio INL. Jones out
24'L. BergvallFoul
39'N. JonesUnsportsmanlike conduct
41'M. MooreAssist: R. Bentancur
45'D. SolankeAssist: M. Moore
45+2'R. ApterFoul
65'J. P. van Hecke INM. van de Ven out
65'D. Udogie INP. Porro out
65'R. Bentancur INK. Danso out
66'T. Ouma INA. Mwamba out
66'H. Knibbs INM. Leaburn out
66'M. Alli INJ. Rankin-Costello out
67'K. DansoAssist: M. Fernandes
71'D. Solanke INSavinho out
78'M. Tel INL. Williams-Barnett out
82'SavinhoAssist: A. Gray
85'B. DaviesAssist: Savinho
87'L. JonesAssist: J. Rankin-Costello

Lineups

Tottenham
4-3-3Coach: Roberto De Zerbi
Charlton
4-2-3-1Coach: Nathan Jones
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.13
Antonín Kinský6.231A. Kinský
Archie Gray6.514A. Gray
Jan Paul van Hecke7.96J. Paul van Hecke
Ben DaviesC7.333B. Davies
Destiny Udogie7.213D. Udogie
Lucas Bergvall6.215L. Bergvall
Rodrigo Bentancur7.230R. Bentancur
Mateus Fernandes7.318M. Fernandes
Mikey Moore8.547M. Moore
Dominic Solanke7.319D. Solanke
Mathys Tel6.911M. Tel
Tiernan Brooks4.521T. Brooks
Nathan Asiimwe5.631N. Asiimwe
Collins Sichenje6.328C. Sichenje
Billy Koumetio6.312B. Koumetio
Ivan Mesík5.218I. Mesík
Timothy Ouma6.916T. Ouma
Greg DochertyC6.710G. Docherty
Robert Apter6.330R. Apter
Harvey Knibbs5.98H. Knibbs
Millenic Alli6.219M. Alli
Micah Mbick6.233M. Mbick

Tottenham Substitutes

37Micky van de Ven65'for J. P. van Hecke6.5
23Pedro Porro65'for D. Udogie6.3
4Kevin Danso65'for R. Bentancur67'8.0
17Savinho71'for D. Solanke82'8.2
68Luca Williams-Barnett78'for M. Tel6.5
39Martin Dúbravka
3Andy Robertson
8Conor Gallagher
9Richarlison

Charlton Substitutes

20Danny McNamara15'for C. Sichenje5.5
5Lloyd Jones15'for B. Koumetio39'87'7.2
26Joe Rankin-Costello66'for M. Alli6.7
32Alan Mwamba66'for T. Ouma6.3
11Miles Leaburn66'for H. Knibbs6.2
13Arthur Okonkwo
14Sonny Carey
6Conor Coventry
53Bradley Tagoe

Match Stats

TottenhamCharlton
73%Ball Possession27%
11Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots6
11Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots1
5Fouls11
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves6
618Total Passes225
556Passes Accurate167
90%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

TottenhamTottenham
CharltonCharlton
1789Elo Rating 1534
1.89Attack 0.97
1.66Defense 0.76
50%Hit Rate 0%
15.8Shots per Game 10.0
4.8Shots on Target 3.6
6.4Corners per Game 3.8
2.3Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+256 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

TottenhamTottenham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

TottenhamTottenham
6W2D2L
22/08/2026
BrentfordTottenham
30
L
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
W
08/08/2026
TottenhamGetafe
11
D
01/08/2026
ChelseaTottenham
12
W
29/07/2026
TottenhamSydney
4121
W
26/07/2026
AucklandTottenham
02
W
22/07/2026
TottenhamMilton Keynes Dons
10
W
24/05/2026
TottenhamEverton
10
W
19/05/2026
ChelseaTottenham
21
L
CharltonCharlton
6W1D3L
22/08/2026
West HamCharlton
12
W
15/08/2026
CharltonDerby
21
W
08/08/2026
CheltenhamCharlton
13
W
01/08/2026
ReadingCharlton
30
L
28/07/2026
ColchesterCharlton
02
W
25/07/2026
AFC WimbledonCharlton
20
L
18/07/2026
GillinghamCharlton
01
W
10/07/2026
MariborCharlton
11
D
03/07/2026
DartfordCharlton
01
W
02/05/2026
SwanseaCharlton
31
L

Referee Profile

Adam Herczeg158 matches

3.53Cards per match
3.44Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adam Herczeg3.53
Other referees4.00

3.53 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 124 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Tottenham vs Charlton forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Tottenham and Charlton have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.