Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16CupKnockout
Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil 02/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Mirassol Rest
3 days
Gremio Rest
2 days
Mirassol vs Gremio: result, form and history
Mirassol and Gremio drew 1-1 in the Copa Do Brasil on 2 Aug 2026. Mirassol had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Gremio.
Mirassol have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio averages 4.53 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
163%2.00
X17%3.30
220%3.90
Double Chance
1X80%1.25
X236%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.99
No52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.07 = 2.72
Over 1.572%1.40
Over 2.554%2.29
Over 3.526%4.33
Under 1.528%2.83
Under 2.546%1.62
Under 3.574%1.20
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
19'Bruno SantosAssist: Igor Formiga
45+1'Walter INAlex Muralha out
51'F. AmuzuAssist: Tete
64'Eduardo INAlesson out
69'F. Amuzu INJ. Enamorado out
70'Carlos Vinicius INM. Braithwaite out
76'J. Enamorado
76'Reinaldo
77'Neto Moura ING. Cazonatti out
77'Fernandinho INShaylon out
77'Denilson INWallisson out
78'G. Cazonatti
Lineups
MirassolGremio
4-1-4-1Coach: Luis CastroAvg ratingAvg rating
22Walter
32I. Formiga
C34J. Victor
44G. Knesowitsch
6Reinaldo
25N. Moura
8Denilson
95E. Carioca
33Eduardo
17Fernandinho
30B. Santos
1Weverton
27D. Caito
6G. Martins
82Wallace
23Marlon
19E. Noriega
21Tetê
C20M. Villasanti
5J. Nardoni
9F. Amuzu
95C. ViníciusMirassol Substitutes
23Alex Muralha45+1'for Walter
77Alesson64'for Eduardo
3Willian Machado
12Victor Luis
20Daniel Borges
2Lucas Oliveira
55Gustavo Cazonatti77'replaced by Neto Moura78'
80Wallisson Luiz77'for Denilson
7Shaylon77'for Fernandinho
10Chico
96Carlos Eduardo
9André Luis
Gremio Substitutes
77Jovane Cabral
12Gabriel Grando
3Wagner Leonardo
54Pedro Gabriel
43Luis Guedes
33Leonel Pérez
17Dodi
7Cristian Pavón
37Gabriel Mec
22Martin Braithwaite70'for Carlos Vinicius
30Matheus Nascimento
99José Enamorado69'for F. Amuzu76'
Match Stats
MirassolGremio 52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
10Fouls8
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
452Total Passes432
404Passes Accurate360
89%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
MirassolGremio1661Elo Rating 1668
1.07Attack 1.56
1.94Defense 1.63
44%Hit Rate 59%
13.2Shots per Game 12.3
3.3Shots on Target 4.3
4.3Corners per Game 5.9
2.2Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Mirassol- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Gremio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Mirassol4Wins · 100%Draws00%
Gremio0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4
Previous meetings
18/07/2026MirassolGremio21
13/09/2025GremioMirassol01
17/04/2025MirassolGremio41
02/03/2022MirassolGremio32
Recent Form
Mirassol5W2D3L
30/07/2026Mirassol
Remo
Vasco DA GamaMirassolMirassolGremio
MirassolRemo21
W26/07/2026Vasco DA GamaMirassol11
D18/07/2026MirassolGremio21
W30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol10
L27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
LanusMirassol10
L24/05/2026Mirassol
Fluminense
MirassolFluminense10
W20/05/2026
Always ReadyMirassol
Always ReadyMirassol12
W16/05/2026
Atletico-MGMirassol
Atletico-MGMirassol31
L14/05/2026Mirassol
RB Bragantino
MirassolRB Bragantino21
W10/05/2026Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
MirassolChapecoense-sc11
DGremio2W3D5L
31/07/2026Gremio
BolívarGremioFluminenseBolívarGremioMirassolGremio
GremioBolívar01
L26/07/2026GremioFluminense11
D24/07/2026BolívarGremio32
L18/07/2026MirassolGremio21
L12/07/2026Gremio
Cruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
L30/05/2026Gremio
Corinthians
GremioCorinthians13
L27/05/2026Gremio
Atletico Torque
GremioAtletico Torque22
D24/05/2026Gremio
Santos
GremioSantos32
W21/05/2026Gremio
Palestino
GremioPalestino20
W17/05/2026
BahiaGremio
BahiaGremio11
DReferee Profile
4.53Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.53 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).
Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Round of 512
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Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
BotafogoChapecoense-sc
Sao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantos
Coritiba
InternacionalRB BragantinoMirassol
Flamengo
VitoriaAtletico-MG
PalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminense
Ponte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GAS
Fortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital Brasilia
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
Ceilândia
Jacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
Altos
CRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
Vila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO Itabaiana
America Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
Maracanã
Sport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseExplore more predictions
This match
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About the Mirassol vs Gremio forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Gremio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.