Molde vs Start Prediction

Molde
6-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Start
Aker Stadion, Molde·Stian Rovig Sletner 18/10/2026
MoldeMolde
6-1
Finished
StartStart

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.33
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.32
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Molde Rest
6 days
Start Rest
7 days

Molde vs Start: the result in context

Molde beat Start 6-1 in the Eliteserien on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.32
X
18%5.45
2
12%7.55
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
30%3.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.52 + 0.81 = 3.33
Over 1.5
87%1.08
Over 2.5
70%1.33
Over 3.5
50%1.88
Under 1.5
13%6.55
Under 2.5
30%3.10
Under 3.5
50%1.90
Corners
Projected Corners: 7 + 3.8 = 10.8
Over 8.5
72%1.25
Over 9.5
62%1.47
Over 10.5
50%1.81
Under 8.5
28%3.40
Under 9.5
38%2.46
Under 10.5
50%1.92
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Santino SamuyiwaFoul
29'Sander Hestetun KilenAssist: Caleb Sery
38'Erlend SegbergFoul
39'Kristian Lonebu(Penalty)
45'Santino Samuyiwa INNikolaos Koutsakos out
52'Penalty confirmedNikolaos Koutsakos
53'Fredrik Kristensen DahlDissent
54'Nikolaos Koutsakos(Penalty missed)
54'John Olav NorheimAssist: Mikael Ugland
56'Caleb SeryAssist: Sander Hestetun Kilen
65'Sander Hestetun KilenAssist: Emil Breivik
67'Mathias Lovik INNiklas Ödegard out
67'Caleb Sery INBirk Risa out
67'Mats Møller Dæhli INDaniel Daga out
71'Mikael Ugland INnikola jojic out
72'Eirik HauganFoul
76'Sander Hestetun Kilen
77'Sander Hestetun Kilen INOskar Spiten Nysaeter out
79'Emil BreivikAssist: Niklas Ödegard
81'Kristian Lonebu INTrent Kone-Doherty out
86'Erlend Dahl Reitan INAltin Ujkani out

Lineups

Molde
4-4-2Coach: S. Tjelmeland
Start
5-3-2Coach: A. Karadas
Avg rating7.24
Avg rating6.14
A. Posiadała6.922A. Posiadała
M. Linnes7.325M. Linnes
E. Haugan6.819E. Haugan
F. Dahl6.227F. Dahl
M. Løvik7.48M. Løvik
C. Zady Sery8.511C. Zady Sery
M. Møller Dæhli6.617M. Møller Dæhli
S. Granaas7.223S. Granaas
S. Kilen9.316S. Kilen
K. Lonebu7.120K. Lonebu
E. Breivik8.810E. Breivik
M. Sjøeng6.526M. Sjøeng
O. Toure5.627O. Toure
E. Reitan5.729E. Reitan
S. Granheim5.65S. Granheim
J. Norheim6.56J. Norheim
D. Dashaev6.012D. Dashaev
S. Mvoué6.410S. Mvoué
E. Segberg6.023E. Segberg
M. Ugland7.418M. Ugland
H. Lorentzen6.320H. Lorentzen
S. Samuyiwa5.935S. Samuyiwa

Molde Substitutes

9J. Abdulai
28V. Bender
30D. Daga67'for Mats Møller Dæhli6.4
26S. Kabini
24Trent Toure Kone Doherty81'for Kristian Lonebu6.6
12P. Lervik
6N. Ødegård67'for Mathias Lovik6.9
33B. Risa67'for Caleb Sery7.0
21O. Spiten-Nysæter77'for Sander Hestetun Kilen6.9

Start Substitutes

24S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen
2F. Pålerud
4J. Meyer
9N. Koutsakos45'for Santino Samuyiwa6.3
8N. Jojić71'for Mikael Ugland6.3
3A. Ujkani86'for Erlend Dahl Reitan5.5
17J. Cornelius

Match Stats

MoldeStart
69%Ball Possession31%
5Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots10
12Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots2
6Fouls10
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
660Total Passes298
586Passes Accurate221
89%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

MoldeMolde
StartStart
1706Elo Rating 1503
3.80Attack 2.12
1.74Defense 0.00
58%Hit Rate 34%
21.1Shots per Game 13.7
10.2Shots on Target 2.9
5.9Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+203 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MoldeMolde
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.3 in first half)
StartStart
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

MoldeMolde0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
StartStart0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Eliteserien19/04/2026
StartMolde
11

Recent Form

MoldeMolde
7W1D2L
11/10/2026
LillestromMolde
22
D
04/10/2026
MoldeKristiansund BK
30
W
19/09/2026
MoldeAalesund
12
L
16/09/2026
Trygg/LadeMolde
05
W
13/09/2026
Ham-KamMolde
15
W
06/09/2026
MoldeKFUM Oslo
20
W
30/08/2026
ValerengaMolde
34
W
22/08/2026
MidsundMolde
011
W
16/08/2026
MoldeTromso
32
W
09/08/2026
Kristiansund BKMolde
21
L
StartStart
6W0D4L

Referee Profile

Stian Rovig Sletner105 matches

3.29Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.04Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stian Rovig Sletner3.29
Other referees3.48

3.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.48).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Molde vs Start forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Molde and Start in the Eliteserien table

The table shows a wide gap: Molde are 3rd in the Eliteserien, while Start sit 16th, 24 points behind. League goal record so far: Molde 57-36, Start 26-54. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Molde have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Molde and Start have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.