Viking vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Viking
3-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Fredrikstad
SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger·Marius Hansen Grotta 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.31
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Viking Rest
3 days
Fredrikstad Rest
6 days

Viking vs Fredrikstad: result, form and history

Viking beat Fredrikstad 3-2 in the Eliteserien on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Viking had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Fredrikstad.

Viking have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.31
X
18%5.66
2
14%7.26
Double Chance
1X
86%1.09
X2
32%3.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.58
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.22 + 1.16 = 3.38
Over 1.5
86%1.10
Over 2.5
71%1.36
Over 3.5
49%1.95
Under 1.5
14%6.40
Under 2.5
29%3.00
Under 3.5
51%1.82
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.16
Over 9.5
53%1.30
Over 10.5
41%1.54
Under 8.5
36%3.95
Under 9.5
47%2.97
Under 10.5
59%2.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.9 = 3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
18%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
82%-

Match Events

7'Simen Kvia EgeskogAssist: Peter Christiansen
27'Bryan FiabemaAssist: Gabriel Wesseh
36'Joe BellFoul
40'Gabriel WessehAssist: Daniel Eid
45'Niklas Fuglestad INZlatko Tripić out
45'Joe Bell INHenrik Bjørdal out
46'Vetle AuklendFoul
56'Peter ChristiansenAssist: Simen Kvia Egeskog
57'Peter ChristiansenAssist: Vetle Auklend
58'jakub jezierski INHenrik Langaas Skogvold out
58'Henrik Falchener INJesper Daland out
66'Gabriel Wesseh INFanuel Ghebreyohannes out
66'Sondre SørløkkFoul
70'Vetle Auklend INHerman Haugen out
74'Daniel EidFoul
80'Solomon Owusu INLeonard Owusu out
80'Samuel Holm INJohannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez out
80'Sondre Sørløkk INBenjamin Thoresen Faraas out
89'Peter Christiansen INJakob Segadal Hansen out
90+3'Erik BotheimFoul

Lineups

Viking
4-3-3Coach: B. Aarsheim
Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.37
A. Østbø5.81A. Østbø
H. Heggheim6.45H. Heggheim
G. Stensness6.16G. Stensness
H. Falchener6.525H. Falchener
Vetle Auklend6.224V. Auklend
T. Moi6.329T. Moi
J. Bell6.18J. Bell
S. Kvia-Egeskog7.726S. Kvia-Egeskog
N. Fuglestad6.623N. Fuglestad
E. Botheim6.422E. Botheim
P. Christiansen9.720P. Christiansen
M. Børsheim5.677M. Børsheim
I. Amundsen6.338I. Amundsen
F. Holmé6.44F. Holmé
S. Owusu6.528S. Owusu
D. Eid6.316D. Eid
S. Leach Holm6.66S. Leach Holm
J. Jezierski6.021J. Jezierski
S. Sørløkk5.513S. Sørløkk
G. Wesseh8.329G. Wesseh
B. Fiabema7.418B. Fiabema
L. West6.411L. West

Viking Substitutes

17E. Bassey
30Ľ. Belko
16H. Bjørdal45'for Joe Bell7.0
19A. Cosic
27J. Daland58'for Henrik Falchener5.9
33J. Hansen89'for Peter Christiansen6.1
2H. Haugen70'for Vetle Auklend5.7
11R. Postema
10Z. Tripić45'for Niklas Fuglestad6.8

Fredrikstad Substitutes

30J. Torkildsen
23H. Skogvold58'for jakub jezierski6.1
5S. Rafn
24L. Owusu80'for Solomon Owusu5.8
10J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez80'for Samuel Holm6.7
9S. Laghzaoui
19F. Ghebreyohannes66'for Gabriel Wesseh5.9
12U. Fredriksen
7B. Thoresen80'for Sondre Sørløkk6.3

Match Stats

VikingFredrikstad
43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box2
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
15Fouls11
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves1
432Total Passes594
346Passes Accurate511
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

VikingViking
FredrikstadFredrikstad
1878Elo Rating 1618
2.30Attack 1.27
1.15Defense 1.63
54%Hit Rate 17%
9.9Shots per Game 14.2
3.9Shots on Target 3.0
5.8Corners per Game 4.6
1.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+259 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.38 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VikingViking
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

VikingViking4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
FredrikstadFredrikstad1Wins · 17%
2.8Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Eliteserien25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
Eliteserien23/11/2025
FredrikstadViking
01
Eliteserien22/06/2025
VikingFredrikstad
30
Eliteserien22/09/2024
FredrikstadViking
32
Eliteserien21/04/2024
VikingFredrikstad
11
NM Cupen07/06/2023
FredrikstadViking
12

Referee Profile

Marius Hansen Grotta118 matches

3.49Cards per match
3.40Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Hansen Grotta3.49
Other referees3.28

3.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde23124752:35+1740WDLWW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad23851028:36-829LDDDL
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2352:3540
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2328:3629
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Viking vs Fredrikstad forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Viking and Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Viking are 1st and Fredrikstad 11th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Viking 62-23, Fredrikstad 28-36. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.