Aalesund vs Start Prediction

Aalesund
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Start
Color Line Stadion·J. Haugen 04/09/2026
AalesundAalesund
2-0
Finished
StartStart

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Aalesund Rest
5 days
Start Rest
5 days

Aalesund vs Start: the result in context

Aalesund beat Start 2-0 in the Eliteserien on 4 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Start had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Aalesund.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.14
X
29%3.85
2
31%2.95
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
60%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.42
No
44%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.25 = 2.84
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.48
Over 3.5
33%2.21
Under 1.5
17%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
67%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 5 = 11
Over 8.5
75%1.20
Over 9.5
65%1.38
Over 10.5
57%1.63
Under 8.5
25%3.70
Under 9.5
35%2.74
Under 10.5
43%2.10
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
58%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

15'Mbacke DiopFoul
20'Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
24'Mathias ChristensenAssist: Sander Erik Kartum
29'Ólafur GudmundssonFoul
45'Steve Mvoue INMikael Ugland out
59'Sander Erik Kartum INEndre Osenbroch out
59'Uba Charles Nwokoma INJakob Nyland Örsahl out
62'Eirik Schulze INHakon Lorentzen out
62'Nikolaos Koutsakos INSantino Samuyiwa out
71'Isak Gabriel Skotheim INElias Heggland Myrlid out
78'Ousmane Diallo Toure INnikola jojic out
84'Deni DashaevFoul

Lineups

Aalesund
5-3-2Coach: K. Rekdal
Start
5-3-2Coach: A. Karadas
Avg rating7.16
Avg rating6.65
Luca Podlech7.41L. Podlech
K. Nessø7.07K. Nessø
M. Andresen7.22M. Andresen
D. Mbacke7.428D. Mbacke
Ó. Guðmundsson6.83Ó. Guðmundsson
U. Charles7.214U. Charles
M. Christensen8.221M. Christensen
E. Hagen8.218E. Hagen
S. Kartum7.719S. Kartum
H. M. Reed6.527H. M. Reed
I. Skotheim6.48I. Skotheim
F. Manojlović8.545F. Manojlović
O. Toure7.127O. Toure
E. Reitan6.729E. Reitan
J. Husebø7.228J. Husebø
A. Ujkani6.43A. Ujkani
D. Dashaev6.912D. Dashaev
S. Mvoué6.210S. Mvoué
E. Segberg6.123E. Segberg
E. Schulze6.111E. Schulze
J. Cornelius6.617J. Cornelius
N. Koutsakos6.69N. Koutsakos

Aalesund Substitutes

45P. Aukland
22E. Engqvist
4S. Haram
30S. K. Knutsen
26T. Larsen
17E. Myrlid71'for Isak Gabriel Skotheim6.4
16J. Ørsahl59'for Uba Charles Nwokoma7.1
15E. Osenbroch59'for Sander Erik Kartum6.8
38T. Leikanger

Start Substitutes

5S. Granheim
8N. Jojić78'for Ousmane Diallo Toure6.4
20H. Lorentzen62'for Eirik Schulze6.3
4J. Meyer
2F. Pålerud
24S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen
18M. Ugland45'for Steve Mvoue7.0
35S. Samuyiwa62'for Nikolaos Koutsakos5.9
13S. Griesbeck

Match Stats

AalesundStart
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots24
12Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal9
16Shots Inside Box14
8Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots9
9Fouls9
0Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves10
449Total Passes522
341Passes Accurate419
76%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

AalesundAalesund
StartStart
1593Elo Rating 1503
2.40Attack 2.12
1.01Defense 0.00
46%Hit Rate 34%
17.5Shots per Game 13.7
6.2Shots on Target 2.9
6.9Corners per Game 5.2
2.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AalesundAalesund
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
StartStart
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

AalesundAalesund3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
StartStart2Wins · 28%
3.3Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Eliteserien21/03/2026
StartAalesund
11
1. Division23/08/2025
StartAalesund
31
1. Division24/05/2025
AalesundStart
11
1. Division21/10/2024
AalesundStart
31
1. Division06/04/2024
StartAalesund
13
1. Division01/11/2021
AalesundStart
32
1. Division30/05/2021
StartAalesund
20

Recent Form

AalesundAalesund
2W5D3L
30/08/2026
VikingAalesund
21
L
22/08/2026
LangevagAalesund
013
W
16/08/2026
AalesundValerenga
55
D
09/08/2026
Ham-KamAalesund
11
D
02/08/2026
AalesundTromso
26
L
26/07/2026
AalesundViking
11
D
16/07/2026
ValerengaAalesund
61
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
W
29/05/2026
AalesundHam-Kam
22
D
StartStart
4W0D6L
30/08/2026
StartKFUM Oslo
41
W
22/08/2026
FlekkefjordStart
12
W
08/08/2026
StartFredrikstad
01
L
01/08/2026
StartViking
03
L
25/07/2026
Kristiansund BKStart
12
W
18/07/2026
StartRosenborg
03
L
12/07/2026
BrannStart
21
L
04/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtStart
40
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
L
25/05/2026
StartValerenga
20
W

Referee Profile

J. Haugen3 matches analysed

4.25Cards per match
3.99Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 26% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Aalesund vs Start forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aalesund and Start in the Eliteserien table

Aalesund and Start are close in the Eliteserien table, 14th and 16th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Aalesund 40-53, Start 26-54. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.