Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF
0-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg·Espen Eskas 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
6 days
Rosenborg Rest
7 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: the result in context

Rosenborg beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 3-0 in the Eliteserien on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rosenborg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 9.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.35
X
26%3.74
2
37%2.63
Double Chance
1X
63%1.47
X2
63%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.43
No
31%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.56 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
62%1.50
Over 3.5
42%2.25
Under 1.5
17%5.10
Under 2.5
38%2.45
Under 3.5
58%1.61
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.23
Over 9.5
59%1.44
Over 10.5
47%1.73
Under 8.5
30%3.50
Under 9.5
41%2.55
Under 10.5
53%2.00
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

29'Aslak Fonn Witry
34'Mathias Ullereng KjoloFoul
36'Adrian Nilsen PereiraAssist: Aslak Fonn Witry
43'Sander Johan ChristiansenFoul
45'Andreas Hansen INAnders Hiim out
45'Peter Reinhardsen INAimar Sher out
57'Daniel Seland KarlsbakkFoul
60'Eirik Wichne INClaus Babo Niyukuri out
61'Noah Sahsah INJesper Reitan Sunde out
61'Maciej Soboczynski INDino Islamović out
65'Mads BomholtFoul
68'Sander Johan Christiansen INVictor Emanuel Halvorsen out
70'Adrian Nilsen Pereira INTobias Solheim Dahl out
70'Mathias Ullereng Kjolo INIver Fossum out
81'Dino Islamović INJonas Sogaard Mortensen out
81'Noa Williams INCamil Mmaee Nwameben out
83'Jonas Sogaard MortensenFoul
90+7'Jonas Sogaard Mortensen

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: E. Sel
Rosenborg
4-4-2Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Avg rating6.05
Avg rating6.93
L. Øy6.087L. Øy
E. Wichne5.532E. Wichne
B. Utvik6.44B. Utvik
S. Rosted7.024S. Rosted
P. Reinhardsen5.920P. Reinhardsen
S. Sørli5.610S. Sørli
S. Christiansen6.28S. Christiansen
O. Skarsem6.377O. Skarsem
N. Williams6.317N. Williams
A. Nibe6.733A. Nibe
D. Karlsbakk6.611D. Karlsbakk
L. Wahlstedt7.21L. Wahlstedt
A. Witry8.416A. Witry
M. Ceïde7.24M. Ceïde
M. Mampassi6.823M. Mampassi
A. Pereira8.019A. Pereira
N. Sahsah6.811N. Sahsah
M. Bomholt6.617M. Bomholt
J. Svensson6.522J. Svensson
M. Kjølø6.36M. Kjølø
M. Soboczynski6.330M. Soboczynski
E. Ceïde6.535E. Ceïde

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

21A. Hiim45'for Andreas Hansen5.9
22V. Halvorsen68'for Sander Johan Christiansen5.9
12C. Niyukuri60'for Eirik Wichne5.2
5L. Høyland
2M. Lode
50M. M. Eidal
7Camil Mmaee Nwameben81'for Noa Williams5.8
1J. Pryts
6A. Sher45'for Peter Reinhardsen5.6

Rosenborg Substitutes

3T. Solheim70'for Adrian Nilsen Pereira7.0
12R. Sandberg
8I. Fossum70'for Mathias Ullereng Kjolo6.9
14J. Reitan-Sunde61'for Noah Sahsah6.7
9D. Islamović61'for Maciej Soboczynski81'for Jonas Sogaard Mortensen6.4
20J. Bárðarson
15J. Mortensen81'replaced by Dino Islamović83'90+7'7.3

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots6
15Fouls17
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
446Total Passes423
341Passes Accurate323
76%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
RosenborgRosenborg
1588Elo Rating 1766
1.61Attack 2.75
1.10Defense 2.50
42%Hit Rate 81%
15.6Shots per Game 19.8
6.3Shots on Target 7.6
6.8Corners per Game 7.1
1.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
RosenborgRosenborg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
RosenborgRosenborg1Wins · 10%
3.8Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien12/04/2026
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
21
Eliteserien05/10/2025
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
23
Eliteserien18/07/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
22
NM Cupen25/06/2025
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
2141
Eliteserien23/11/2024
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
11
Eliteserien12/07/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
41
Eliteserien08/10/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
52
Eliteserien25/06/2023
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
03
Eliteserien13/11/2022
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
23
Eliteserien18/04/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
11

Recent Form

RosenborgRosenborg
8W1D1L
10/10/2026
RosenborgSandefjord
11
D
03/10/2026
RosenborgOstersunds FK
20
W
19/09/2026
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
13
W
16/09/2026
FløyaRosenborg
14
W
12/09/2026
RosenborgTromso
53
W
05/09/2026
RosenborgHam-Kam
40
W
30/08/2026
Bodo/GlimtRosenborg
42
L
22/08/2026
National KamerateneRosenborg
09
W
14/08/2026
RosenborgViking
21
W
09/08/2026
LillestromRosenborg
02
W

Referee Profile

Espen Eskas166 matches

3.56Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Espen Eskas3.56
Other referees3.67

3.56 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.67).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde23124752:35+1740WDLWW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad23851028:36-829LDDDL
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2352:3540
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2328:3629
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Rosenborg in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Rosenborg are 4th and Sarpsborg 08 FF 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30-35, Rosenborg 46-31. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.