Start vs Ham-Kam Prediction

Start
2-4
Finished
HT 1-1
Ham-Kam
Sør Arena, Kristiansand·Mohammad Usman Aslam 11/10/2026
StartStart
2-4
Finished
Ham-KamHam-Kam

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Start Rest
5 days
Ham-Kam Rest
21 days

Start vs Ham-Kam: result, form and history

Ham-Kam beat Start 4-2 in the Eliteserien on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Start had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Ham-Kam.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 4.3 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. Start tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.6 for Ham-Kam.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.80
X
25%3.81
2
29%3.94
Double Chance
1X
71%1.23
X2
54%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.56
No
34%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.44 = 3.10
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.61
Over 3.5
39%2.43
Under 1.5
19%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
61%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.7 = 10.8
Over 8.5
67%1.37
Over 9.5
57%1.65
Over 10.5
48%2.04
Under 8.5
33%2.75
Under 9.5
43%2.09
Under 10.5
52%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.7 = 3.1
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
20%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
80%-

Match Events

35'Penalty confirmedFredrik Sjolstad
36'Luc Mares(Penalty)
43'John Olav NorheimAssist: Sander Aske Granheim
53'Loris MettlerAssist: Patrick Metcalfe
61'Hakon Lorentzen INNikolaos Koutsakos out
62'Mikael Ugland INEirik Schulze out
69'Danilo Al-Saed INDavid Benjamin out
69'Fredrik Sjolstad INAksel Baran Potur out
73'Duarte Moreira INMohamed Ofkir out
74'Mohamed OfkirAssist: Aksel Baran Potur
75'Erlend Dahl Reitan INnikola jojic out
75'Altin Ujkani INFredrik Palerud out
82'João Paulo Rodrigues Barros INEthan Amundsen-Day out
84'Steve Mvoue INMarius Nordal out
90+2'Mohamed OfkirAssist: Aksel Baran Potur
90+5'Erlend Segberg

Lineups

Start
5-3-2Coach: A. Karadas
Ham-Kam
5-3-2Coach: T. Myhre
Avg rating6.29
Avg rating6.84
M. Sjøeng6.026M. Sjøeng
E. Reitan6.129E. Reitan
S. Granheim7.05S. Granheim
J. Norheim7.36J. Norheim
A. Ujkani5.53A. Ujkani
D. Dashaev6.512D. Dashaev
S. Mvoué5.810S. Mvoué
E. Segberg6.323E. Segberg
M. Ugland6.318M. Ugland
J. Cornelius6.317J. Cornelius
H. Lorentzen6.220H. Lorentzen
M. Sandberg6.212M. Sandberg
S. Nilsen6.122S. Nilsen
M. Gjone6.62M. Gjone
F. Sjølstad6.723F. Sjølstad
João Barros6.627J. Barros
A. Andresen7.15A. Andresen
L. Mettler8.210L. Mettler
L. Mares7.514L. Mares
P. Metcalfe7.026P. Metcalfe
Duarte Moreira6.418D. Moreira
D. Al-Saed6.324D. Al-Saed

Start Substitutes

8N. Jojić75'for Erlend Dahl Reitan6.4
9N. Koutsakos61'for Hakon Lorentzen6.4
4J. Meyer
15M. Nordal84'for Steve Mvoue6.8
2F. Pålerud75'for Altin Ujkani5.9
11E. Schulze62'for Mikael Ugland5.9
24S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen
37Filip Strømland Lien
35S. Samuyiwa

Ham-Kam Substitutes

11M. Ofkir73'for Duarte Moreira74'90+2'8.0
4H. Opsahl
6W. Osnes-Ringen
13S. Østraat
17A. Potur69'for Fredrik Sjolstad7.2
19H. Udahl
7V. Jónsson
28David Benjamin69'for Danilo Al-Saed6.4
3E. Amundsen-Day82'for João Paulo Rodrigues Barros6.3

Match Stats

StartHam-Kam
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks4
23Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal4
16Shots Inside Box13
7Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots6
10Fouls10
3Goalkeeper Saves3
525Total Passes420
434Passes Accurate330
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

StartStart
Ham-KamHam-Kam
1503Elo Rating 1557
2.12Attack 1.39
0.00Defense 0.85
34%Hit Rate 34%
13.7Shots per Game 11.5
2.9Shots on Target 2.9
5.2Corners per Game 2.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

StartStart
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ham-KamHam-Kam
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

StartStart0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Ham-KamHam-Kam3Wins · 100%
4.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Eliteserien26/04/2026
Ham-KamStart
21
1. Division29/08/2021
Ham-KamStart
32
1. Division05/07/2021
StartHam-Kam
14

Referee Profile

Mohammad Usman Aslam113 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.53Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mohammad Usman Aslam3.68
Other referees3.26

3.68 cards a match, 0.42 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.26).

Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Start vs Ham-Kam forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Start and Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Ham-Kam are 12th and Start 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Start 26-54, Ham-Kam 33-51. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.