Motherwell vs ST Mirren Prediction

Motherwell
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
ST Mirren
Fir Park, Motherwell 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Motherwell Rest
2 days
ST Mirren Rest
2 days

Motherwell vs ST Mirren: the result in context

Motherwell beat ST Mirren 1-0 in the Premiership on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Motherwell tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.3 for ST Mirren.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.83
X
25%3.86
2
24%3.93
Double Chance
1X
76%1.24
X2
49%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 1.17 = 2.98
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.60
Over 3.5
38%2.45
Under 1.5
20%4.50
Under 2.5
40%2.30
Under 3.5
62%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.6 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.35
Over 9.5
60%1.60
Over 10.5
48%2.00
Under 8.5
29%2.83
Under 9.5
40%2.11
Under 10.5
52%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.52
Over 4.5
45%2.20
Under 3.5
36%2.45
Under 4.5
55%1.62

Match Events

38'Joe HodgeFoul
50'Marcus FraserFoul
51'Ryan CarrFoul
59'Ryan Carr INSamuel Antonio Ramos Linares out
59'Eseosa Sule INJake Young out
60'Martin MoormannFoul
65'Jardell Kanga INRegan Charles-Cook out
65'Joe Hodge INOscar Priestman out
72'Luke Thomas INDeclan John out
73'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden INEythor Bjørgolfsson out
73'Tawanda Maswanhise INCallum Hendry out
79'Penalty confirmedRegan Charles-Cook
82'Lukas Fadinger(Penalty)
85'Henry Fieldson INChris Mochrie out
86'Alexander GogićFoul
89'Regan Charles-CookTime wasting
90'Emmanuel LongeloTime wasting
90+1'Samuel Antonio Ramos LinaresArgument
90+2'Killian PhillipsFoul
90+3'Ibrahim Said INPaul McGinn out

Lineups

Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
ST Mirren
3-4-2-1Coach: Craig McLeish
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.46
A. Paulsen7.01A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow7.27T. Sparrow
J. Girdwood-Reich7.63J. Girdwood-Reich
M. Moormann7.05M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel7.745M. Emmanuel
J. Hodge6.671J. Hodge
L. Fadinger7.78L. Fadinger
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise6.318T. Jethro Maswanhise
I. Said7.119I. Said
J. Kanga6.213J. Kanga
S. Palmer-Houlden6.547S. Palmer-Houlden
J. Chapman6.11J. Chapman
M. Fraser6.522M. Fraser
A. Gogić6.713A. Gogić
Henry Fieldson6.853H. Fieldson
C. Ramsay6.547C. Ramsay
R. Carr6.98R. Carr
F. Taylor6.830F. Taylor
L. Thomas6.316L. Thomas
K. Phillips6.488K. Phillips
P. Nsio6.048P. Nsio
Eseosa Sule6.49E. Sule

Motherwell Substitutes

15E. Björgólfs­son73'for Sebastian Palmer-Houlden6.6
17R. Charles-Cook65'for Jardell Kanga89'6.3
14C. Hendry73'for Tawanda Maswanhise6.6
4Jamie Knight-Lebel
63D. Levitt
21M. Connelly
6J. McGhee
16P. McGinn90+3'for Ibrahim Said
12O. Priestman65'for Joe Hodge6.9

ST Mirren Substitutes

4L. Donnelly
6Louis Jackson
3D. John72'for Luke Thomas6.6
37C. McEvoy
23C. Mochrie85'for Henry Fieldson6.5
10Samu59'for Ryan Carr90+1'6.4
2J. Richardson
20J. Young59'for Eseosa Sule6.3
35Grant Tamosevicius

Match Stats

MotherwellST Mirren
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards5
11Total Shots5
2Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box2
1Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
17Fouls14
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
455Total Passes436
381Passes Accurate353
13Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

MotherwellMotherwell
ST MirrenST Mirren
1540Elo Rating 1508
1.07Attack 0.92
0.81Defense 0.67
0%Hit Rate 23%
15.2Shots per Game 10.3
5.8Shots on Target 3.5
5.7Corners per Game 3.3
1.5Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MotherwellMotherwell
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
ST MirrenST Mirren
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MotherwellMotherwell4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
ST MirrenST Mirren1Wins · 10%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership30/08/2026
ST MirrenMotherwell
33
Premiership21/02/2026
ST MirrenMotherwell
05
Premiership03/01/2026
MotherwellST Mirren
20
League Cup01/11/2025
MotherwellST Mirren
14
Premiership09/08/2025
ST MirrenMotherwell
00
Premiership15/03/2025
MotherwellST Mirren
22
Premiership07/12/2024
ST MirrenMotherwell
01
Premiership28/09/2024
MotherwellST Mirren
21
Premiership30/03/2024
MotherwellST Mirren
11
Premiership16/12/2023
ST MirrenMotherwell
00

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
PromotionRelegation

About the Motherwell vs ST Mirren forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Motherwell and ST Mirren in the Premiership table

ST Mirren and Motherwell are close in the Premiership table, 8th and 9th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Motherwell 14-20, ST Mirren 12-20. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.