ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd Prediction

ST Mirren
0-3
Finished
HT 0-3
Dundee Utd
The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
ST Mirren Rest
9 days
Dundee Utd Rest
14 days

ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd: the result in context

Dundee Utd beat ST Mirren 3-0 in the Premiership on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Dundee Utd have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Dundee Utd tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.2 for ST Mirren.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.30
X
26%3.58
2
31%2.83
Double Chance
1X
69%1.40
X2
57%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.48
No
46%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.23 = 2.79
Over 1.5
79%1.19
Over 2.5
56%1.62
Over 3.5
33%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
44%2.27
Under 3.5
67%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.8 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.27
Over 9.5
52%1.51
Over 10.5
42%1.87
Under 8.5
37%3.20
Under 9.5
48%2.38
Under 10.5
58%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.52
Over 4.5
33%2.20
Under 3.5
48%2.42
Under 4.5
67%1.62

Match Events

6'Jesse RandallAssist: Daniel Bennie
12'Lyall CameronAssist: Idjessi Metsoko
20'Penalty cancelledKillian Phillips
42'Red card cancelledDaniel Bennie
43'Daniel BennieFoul
45'Kevin CiubotaruAssist: Jesse Randall
45'Fraser Taylor INJake Young out
66'Killian Phillips INChris Mochrie out
70'Jake YoungFoul
73'Daniel Bennie INWill Ferry out
73'Idjessi Metsoko INLachlan Rose out
77'Ismeal Kabia INJosh Farquhar out
77'Eseosa Sule INLuke Thomas out
78'Lyall Cameron INabdoulaye yoro out
78'Jesse Randall INNeil Farrugia out
80'Will FerryFoul
83'Zidane Iqbal INPanutche Camara out
90+2'Ryan CarrFoul

Lineups

ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Coach: Craig McLeish
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: J. Goodwin
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating7.24
J. Chapman7.01J. Chapman
C. Ramsay6.647C. Ramsay
A. Gogić6.413A. Gogić
Henry Fieldson5.953H. Fieldson
D. John6.03D. John
R. Carr6.78R. Carr
F. Taylor5.930F. Taylor
Ismeal Kabia6.319I. Kabia
K. Phillips6.288K. Phillips
P. Nsio6.348P. Nsio
Eseosa Sule6.29E. Sule
J. Walton6.91J. Walton
J. Rawlins7.223J. Rawlins
B. Esselink7.43B. Esselink
M. Forbes7.918M. Forbes
K. Ciubotaru8.019K. Ciubotaru
Zidane Iqbal6.714Z. Iqbal
D. Tait7.010D. Tait
L. Cameron8.216L. Cameron
J. Randall8.821J. Randall
I. Metsoko7.393I. Metsoko
D. Bennie7.477D. Bennie

ST Mirren Substitutes

26M. De Barros
6Louis Jackson
37C. McEvoy
23C. Mochrie66'for Killian Phillips6.0
31R. Mullen
2J. Richardson
16L. Thomas77'for Eseosa Sule5.8
20J. Young45'for Fraser Taylor70'6.1
24J. Farquhar77'for Ismeal Kabia6.7

Dundee Utd Substitutes

20N. Farrugia78'for Jesse Randall6.6
11W. Ferry73'for Daniel Bennie80'6.5
4I. Iovu
22D. Naamo
15L. Rose73'for Idjessi Metsoko6.5
9Z. Sapsford
26Abdoulaye Yoro78'for Lyall Cameron6.8
8Panutche Camará83'for Zidane Iqbal6.8
30J. Amissah

Match Stats

ST MirrenDundee Utd
60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots13
0Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
14Fouls13
2Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves0
515Total Passes355
432Passes Accurate289
13Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

ST MirrenST Mirren
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1495Elo Rating 1586
0.78Attack 2.01
1.11Defense 1.81
19%Hit Rate 54%
8.9Shots per Game 13.5
3.2Shots on Target 6.7
3.2Corners per Game 5.7
4.0Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ST MirrenST Mirren
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ST MirrenST Mirren2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Dundee UtdDundee Utd6Wins · 60%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership17/05/2026
ST MirrenDundee Utd
11
Premiership03/03/2026
Dundee UtdST Mirren
21
Premiership06/12/2025
ST MirrenDundee Utd
20
Premiership25/10/2025
Dundee UtdST Mirren
31
Premiership10/05/2025
Dundee UtdST Mirren
02
Premiership11/01/2025
ST MirrenDundee Utd
01
Premiership30/11/2024
Dundee UtdST Mirren
20
Premiership05/10/2024
ST MirrenDundee Utd
01
League Cup18/08/2024
Dundee UtdST Mirren
10
Premiership18/03/2023
Dundee UtdST Mirren
11

Recent Form

ST MirrenST Mirren
5W1D4L
09/09/2026
RangersST Mirren
10
L
05/09/2026
ST MirrenCeltic
12
L
02/09/2026
KilmarnockST Mirren
01
W
30/08/2026
ST MirrenMotherwell
33
D
16/08/2026
RangersST Mirren
51
L
08/08/2026
ST MirrenST Johnstone
10
W
01/08/2026
FalkirkST Mirren
02
W
26/07/2026
ST MirrenDunfermline
01
L
21/07/2026
ST MirrenEast Kilbride
43
W
18/07/2026
Cove RangersST Mirren
04
W
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
3W2D5L

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic13101228:10+1831WLDWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3FalkirkFalkirk1363420:14+621WWWWW
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1262426:22+420LDWLW
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1323813:29-169LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1328:1031
2RangersRangers1221:927
3FalkirkFalkirk1320:1421
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1226:2220
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1313:299
PromotionRelegation

About the ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ST Mirren and Dundee Utd in the Premiership table

Dundee Utd and ST Mirren are close in the Premiership table, 6th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: ST Mirren 12-22, Dundee Utd 17-17. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dundee Utd have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.