Necaxa vs Club Tijuana Prediction

Necaxa
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Club Tijuana
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes·Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Necaxa Rest
5 days
Club Tijuana Rest
5 days

Necaxa vs Club Tijuana: the result in context

Necaxa beat Club Tijuana 1-0 in the Liga MX on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Necaxa tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 4.2 for Club Tijuana.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.43
X
27%3.40
2
36%2.70
Double Chance
1X
64%1.41
X2
63%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.60
No
40%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.36 = 3.03
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
57%1.75
Over 3.5
36%2.88
Under 1.5
21%3.90
Under 2.5
43%2.04
Under 3.5
64%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.6 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.27
Over 9.5
60%1.50
Over 10.5
49%1.84
Under 8.5
29%3.30
Under 9.5
40%2.37
Under 10.5
51%1.91
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.35
Over 4.5
45%1.91
Under 3.5
36%3.05
Under 4.5
55%1.80

Match Events

12'Danny LeyvaAssist: Lorenzo Faravelli
34'Rafael FernándezFoul
45'Julián Carranza INJuan Valencia out
45'Mourad El Ghezouani INElias Manoel out
45'Pablo Ortíz INUnai Bilbao out
53'Raúl MartínezFoul
65'Lorenzo Faravelli INJoshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido out
70'Gilberto Mora INYael Padilla out
77'Raúl Martínez INLeroy Davis out
77'Owen González INAlexis Peña out
78'Francisco González INDiego Abreu out
78'José Rivero INRamiro Árciga out
90+1'Diego Ochoa INPedro Pedraza out
90+3'Ivan TonaFoul

Lineups

Necaxa
4-1-4-1Coach: Juan Reynoso
Club Tijuana
4-1-4-1Coach: S. Abreu
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.56
181181J. Orantes
R. Martínez6.633R. Martínez
Kaiky Naves6.85K. Naves
A. Oliveros7.23A. Oliveros
M. Zaleta7.614M. Zaleta
D. Ochoa6.715D. Ochoa
M. Rodríguez6.499M. Rodríguez
D. Leyva8.26D. Leyva
L. Faravelli7.58L. Faravelli
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda7.413O. de Jesús González Ojeda
J. Carranza6.39J. Carranza
A. Rodríguez7.42A. Rodríguez
R. Fernández5.73R. Fernández
J. Porozo6.712J. Porozo
A. Gómez6.86A. Gómez
P. Ortíz6.633P. Ortíz
I. Tona6.98I. Tona
F. González6.611F. González
I. Rivero6.715I. Rivero
G. Mora6.310G. Mora
Adonis Preciado6.67A. Preciado
Mourad6.59Mourad

Necaxa Substitutes

21M. Espíndola
210Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido65'replaced by Lorenzo Faravelli
16P. Pedraza90+1'for Diego Ochoa6.2
4A. Peña77'for Owen González6.5
11J. Torres
90J. Valencia45'for Julián Carranza6.7
235Leroy Davis77'replaced by Raúl Martínez
259Leonardo Arvizo Vargas
1C. Andrade
88C. Vargas

Club Tijuana Substitutes

19D. Abreu78'for Francisco González6.2
13Elias Manoel45'for Mourad El Ghezouani6.4
4Unai Bilbao45'for Pablo Ortíz7.0
34F. Boya
202J. González
29S. Hernández
31Y. Padilla70'for Gilberto Mora6.4
16J. Vega
20Á. Zapata
17R. Árciga78'for José Rivero6.4

Match Stats

NecaxaClub Tijuana
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots18
5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots6
7Fouls8
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
370Total Passes493
299Passes Accurate434
8Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

NecaxaNecaxa
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
1473Elo Rating 1649
0.65Attack 2.15
1.55Defense 1.44
0%Hit Rate 19%
17.0Shots per Game 10.9
6.0Shots on Target 4.1
6.3Corners per Game 4.2
2.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NecaxaNecaxa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NecaxaNecaxa4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX21/03/2026
NecaxaClub Tijuana
30
Liga MX01/09/2025
Club TijuanaNecaxa
30
Liga MX05/04/2025
Club TijuanaNecaxa
12
Liga MX19/10/2024
NecaxaClub Tijuana
12
Liga MX06/04/2024
Club TijuanaNecaxa
23
Liga MX08/07/2023
NecaxaClub Tijuana
11
Liga MX04/02/2023
NecaxaClub Tijuana
11
Liga MX19/09/2022
Club TijuanaNecaxa
11
Liga MX19/02/2022
Club TijuanaNecaxa
11
Liga MX29/09/2021
NecaxaClub Tijuana
30

Referee Profile

Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez171 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez4.81
Other referees4.56

4.81 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 159 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
Promotion

About the Necaxa vs Club Tijuana forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Necaxa and Club Tijuana in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Club Tijuana are 9th and Necaxa 17th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Necaxa 17-28, Club Tijuana 25-22. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.