CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-12.0%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.91
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
CF Pachuca Rest
8 days
Club Tijuana Rest
8 days
CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana: the result in context
CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana drew 2-2 in the Liga MX on 21 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.67
X26%3.74
222%4.75
Double Chance
1X78%1.17
X247%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.78
No44%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.28 = 2.88
Over 1.577%1.25
Over 2.554%1.82
Over 3.532%3.10
Under 1.523%3.65
Under 2.546%1.98
Under 3.568%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.73
Over 9.550%2.20
Over 10.539%2.92
Under 8.539%1.99
Under 9.550%1.57
Under 10.561%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.567%1.28
Over 4.549%1.57
Under 3.533%3.45
Under 4.551%2.32
Match Events
17'Gilberto Mora(Penalty)
33'Ivan TonaArgument
33'Oussama IdrissiArgument
42'Jesus GomezAssist: Jesús Vega
45'Rodolfo Pizarro INAdrián Alcaraz out
45'Alan Bautista INMauricio Isais out
45'Oussama Idrissi INJavier Vallejo out
55'Salomón RondónAssist: Javier Vallejo
63'Gilberto Mora INJosé Rivero out
63'Ramiro Árciga INYael Padilla out
68'Francisco Venegas INGael Álvarez out
71'Angel Zapata INFrank Boya out
74'Yael PadillaFoul
80'Carlos Sánchez INSebastian Santos out
84'Mourad El Ghezouani INDiego Fernando Abreu Firenze out
84'Jesús Vega INPablo Ortíz out
90'Salomón RondónAssist: Sergio Barreto
90+1'Benjamín Mora MendívilAbusive Language
90+3'Diego Fernando Abreu FirenzeArgument
Lineups
CF PachucaClub Tijuana
5-4-1Coach: S. AbreuAvg ratingAvg rating
25C. Moreno
14C. Sánchez
4E. Bauermann
2S. Barreto
15F. Venegas
30S. Rodríguez
16C. Rivera
26A. Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
7R. Pizarro
11O. Idrissi
23S. Rondón
2A. Rodríguez
17R. Árciga
12J. Porozo
4U. Bilbao
6A. Gómez
16J. Vega
7A. Preciado
20Á. Zapata
8I. Tona
10G. Mora
9MouradCF Pachuca Substitutes
31J. Eulogio
206Thomas Contreras
32P. Budib
9A. Alcáraz45'for Rodolfo Pizarro
211C. Hernandez
6M. Isaís45'for Alan Bautista
221Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso
12S. Santos80'for Carlos Sánchez
21N. Vallejo45'for Oussama Idrissi
187G. Ãlvarez68'for Francisco Venegas
Club Tijuana Substitutes
19D. Abreu84'for Mourad El Ghezouani90+3'
34F. Boya71'for Angel Zapata
202J. González
11F. González
29S. Hernández
188A. Magallon
33P. Ortíz84'for Jesús Vega
31Y. Padilla63'for Ramiro Árciga74'
26A. Perez
15I. Rivero63'for Gilberto Mora
Match Stats
CF PachucaClub Tijuana 58%Ball Possession42%
10Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards3
29Total Shots8
11Shots on Goal5
12Shots off Goal2
22Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
16Fouls6
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves9
376Total Passes298
323Passes Accurate238
6Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
CF PachucaClub Tijuana1667Elo Rating 1649
2.05Attack 2.15
1.63Defense 1.44
50%Hit Rate 19%
16.4Shots per Game 10.9
5.1Shots on Target 4.1
4.3Corners per Game 4.2
3.0Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
CF Pachuca- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
Club Tijuana- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
CF Pachuca4Wins · 40%Draws110%
Club Tijuana5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%3.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
23/04/2026Club TijuanaCF Pachuca31
17/08/2025CF PachucaClub Tijuana02
17/03/2025CF PachucaClub Tijuana41
05/10/2024Club TijuanaCF Pachuca21
04/02/2024CF PachucaClub Tijuana32
11/11/2023Club TijuanaCF Pachuca23
27/02/2023Club TijuanaCF Pachuca20
12/09/2022CF PachucaClub Tijuana61
12/04/2022CF PachucaClub Tijuana00
07/11/2021Club TijuanaCF Pachuca32
Recent Form
CF Pachuca3W2D5L
12/09/2026
Atlante FCCF Pachuca
FC JuarezCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San LuisCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Puebla
LeonCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
Atlante FCCF Pachuca03
W05/09/2026FC JuarezCF Pachuca02
W30/08/2026CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas11
D24/08/2026Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca11
D18/08/2026CF PachucaPuebla23
L12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
CharlotteCF Pachuca01
W08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca21
L05/08/2026
FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca
02/08/2026FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca31
LLeonCF Pachuca10
L27/07/2026CF PachucaClub Queretaro12
LClub Tijuana4W1D5L
12/09/2026Club TijuanaClub QueretaroClub Tijuana
U.N.A.M. - PumasGuadalajara ChivasClub TijuanaClub Tijuana
Cruz AzulAtletico San LuisClub TijuanaClub TijuanaLeonClub Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Club TijuanaClub Queretaro01
L29/08/2026Club TijuanaU.N.A.M. - Pumas20
W23/08/2026Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana52
L17/08/2026Club TijuanaCruz Azul21
W14/08/2026
Portland TimbersClub Tijuana
Portland TimbersClub Tijuana31
L10/08/2026
San DiegoClub Tijuana
San DiegoClub Tijuana10
L07/08/2026
AustinClub Tijuana
01/08/2026AustinClub Tijuana20
LAtletico San LuisClub Tijuana00
D25/07/2026Club TijuanaLeon10
W17/07/2026Club TijuanaTigres UANL31
WReferee Profile
4.64Cards per match
4.38Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.64 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).
Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 |  Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, CF Pachuca (8th) and Club Tijuana (9th) are level on 22 points. League goal record so far: CF Pachuca 29-20, Club Tijuana 25-22. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.