Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Prediction

Atletico San Luis
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Necaxa
Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis de Potosi· Katia García 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskMediumGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.72
SignalHIGHModel62%RiskMediumGap+7.0%
Atletico San Luis Rest
4 days
Necaxa Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.20
X
28%3.50
2
29%2.95
Double Chance
1X
71%1.35
X2
57%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.57
No
39%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.22 = 2.78
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.69
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.15
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
61%1.53
Over 9.5
47%1.99
Over 10.5
37%2.43
Under 8.5
39%2.29
Under 9.5
53%1.81
Under 10.5
63%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.33
Over 4.5
33%1.65
Under 3.5
47%3.15
Under 4.5
67%2.15

Match Events

10'Julián CarranzaAssist: Javier Ruiz
27'Felipe MoraAssist: David Rodriguez
54'Christopher AndradeOG
59'Kevin Ante INMiguel Rodriguez out
60'Javier Ruiz INMatias Espindola out
60'Agustin Oliveros INMauro Zaleta out
72'Felipe Mora INJohan Caicedo out
78'Rafael Llorente INLeonardo Flores out
78'David Rodriguez INSebastián Pérez Bouquet out
78'Juan Valencia INJuan Torres out
80'Pedro PedrazaFoul
81'Eduardo Aguila
87'Alexis Peña INDanny Leyva out
90'Anderson Duarte INRoberto Meraz out
90'Sebastien Salles-lamonge INJuanpe out
90+5'Aldo CruzFoul

Lineups

Atletico San Luis
3-4-2-1Coach: Diego Mejía
Necaxa
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Varini
G. Lajud25G. LajudG. Lajud
B. Galindo30B. GalindoB. Galindo
E.  Águila31E. ÁguilaE. Águila
A. Cruz18A. CruzA. Cruz
R. Torres2R. TorresR. Torres
S. Salles-Lamonge10S. Salles-LamongeS. Salles-Lamonge
Ó. Macías21Ó. MacíasÓ. Macías
A. Duarte17A. DuarteA. Duarte
D. Rodríguez11D. RodríguezD. Rodríguez
Rafa Llorente22R. LlorenteRafa Llorente
F. Mora99F. MoraF. Mora
C. Andrade1C. AndradeC. Andrade
R. Martínez33R. MartínezR. Martínez
A. Peña4A. PeñaA. Peña
Kaiky Naves5K. NavesKaiky Naves
A. Oliveros3A. OliverosA. Oliveros
P. Pedraza16P. PedrazaP. Pedraza
K. Rosero7K. RoseroK. Rosero
J. Carranza9J. CarranzaJ. Carranza
L. Faravelli8L. FaravelliL. Faravelli
J. Ruiz10J. RuizJ. Ruiz
J. Valencia90J. ValenciaJ. Valencia

Atletico San Luis Substitutes

7B. GaldamesM
20L. FloresF
13J. CaicedoM
14M. GarcíaM
23C. LópezG
5R. MerazM
19S. MuñózF
8L. NájeraM
26S. Pérez BouquetM
6JuanpeD

Necaxa Substitutes

88C. VargasD
21M. EspíndolaM
6D. LeyvaM
2E. MartínezD
15D. OchoaD
181J. OrantesG
99M. RodríguezM
11J. TorresM
14M. ZaletaM
13Owen de Jesús González OjedaM

Match Stats

Atletico San LuisNecaxa
59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots4
13Fouls11
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
562Total Passes386
499Passes Accurate330
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
NecaxaNecaxa
1539Elo Rating 1536
0.75Attack 0.73
0.99Defense 1.47
19%Hit Rate 0%
12.0Shots per Game 12.2
3.8Shots on Target 3.2
2.3Corners per Game 5.6
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NecaxaNecaxa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Atletico San Luis 14%Draw 0%86% Necaxa
4.76Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca861118:6+1219WWWWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
6AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
7MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro741210:7+313WWLDW
9Club LeonClub Leon841311:9+213WWDLW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana741210:8+213LWLWD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca832313:8+511WWDDL
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna81166:13-74WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca818:619
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5PueblaPuebla911:1114
6AtlasAtlas913:1514
7MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro710:713
9Club LeonClub Leon811:913
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana710:813
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca813:811
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna86:134
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Atletico San Luis and Necaxa have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.76 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.