Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Atletico San Luis Rest
4 days
Necaxa Rest
7 days
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa: result, form and history
Atletico San Luis beat Necaxa 3-1 in the Liga MX on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Necaxa have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.20
X28%3.50
229%2.95
Double Chance
1X71%1.35
X257%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.57
No39%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.22 = 2.78
Over 1.579%1.20
Over 2.556%1.69
Over 3.535%2.62
Under 1.521%4.15
Under 2.544%2.10
Under 3.565%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.561%1.53
Over 9.547%1.99
Over 10.537%2.43
Under 8.539%2.29
Under 9.553%1.81
Under 10.563%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.553%1.33
Over 4.533%1.65
Under 3.547%3.15
Under 4.567%2.15
Match Events
10'Julián CarranzaAssist: Javier Ruiz
27'Felipe MoraAssist: David Rodriguez
54'Christopher AndradeOG
59'Kevin Ante INMiguel Rodriguez out
60'Javier Ruiz INMatias Espindola out
60'Agustin Oliveros INMauro Zaleta out
72'Felipe Mora INJohan Caicedo out
78'Rafael Llorente INLeonardo Flores out
78'David Rodriguez INSebastián Pérez Bouquet out
78'Juan Valencia INJuan Torres out
80'Pedro PedrazaFoul
81'Eduardo Aguila
87'Alexis Peña INDanny Leyva out
90'Anderson Duarte INRoberto Meraz out
90'Sebastien Salles-lamonge INJuanpe out
90+5'Aldo CruzFoul
Lineups
Atletico San LuisNecaxa
4-1-4-1Coach: M. VariniAvg ratingAvg rating
25G. Lajud
30B. Galindo
31E. Águila
18A. Cruz
2R. Torres
10S. Salles-Lamonge
21Ó. Macías
17A. Duarte
11D. Rodríguez
22R. Llorente
99F. Mora
1C. Andrade
33R. Martínez
4A. Peña
5K. Naves
3A. Oliveros
16P. Pedraza
7K. Rosero
9J. Carranza
8L. Faravelli
10J. Ruiz
90J. ValenciaAtletico San Luis Substitutes
7B. Galdames
20L. Flores78'for Rafael Llorente
13J. Caicedo72'for Felipe Mora
14M. García
23C. López
5R. Meraz90'for Anderson Duarte
19S. Muñóz
8L. Nájera
26S. Pérez Bouquet78'for David Rodriguez
6Juanpe90'for Sebastien Salles-lamonge
Necaxa Substitutes
88C. Vargas
21M. Espíndola60'for Javier Ruiz
6D. Leyva87'for Alexis Peña
2E. Martínez
15D. Ochoa
181J. Orantes
99M. Rodríguez59'for Kevin Ante
11J. Torres78'for Juan Valencia
14M. Zaleta60'for Agustin Oliveros
13Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
Match Stats
Atletico San LuisNecaxa 59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots4
13Fouls11
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
562Total Passes386
499Passes Accurate330
11Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Atletico San LuisNecaxa1587Elo Rating 1473
0.93Attack 0.65
2.09Defense 1.55
42%Hit Rate 0%
14.6Shots per Game 17.0
4.0Shots on Target 6.0
4.5Corners per Game 6.3
0.5Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico San Luis- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Necaxa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico San Luis2Wins · 20%Draws110%
Necaxa7Wins · 70%
7Wins · 70%4.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
07/02/2026NecaxaAtletico San Luis41
27/10/2025Atletico San LuisNecaxa34
25/01/2025Atletico San LuisNecaxa03
07/11/2024NecaxaAtletico San Luis11
09/03/2024NecaxaAtletico San Luis31
23/10/2023Atletico San LuisNecaxa40
07/01/2023NecaxaAtletico San Luis23
07/08/2022Atletico San LuisNecaxa12
16/04/2022NecaxaAtletico San Luis42
13/08/2021Atletico San LuisNecaxa02
Recent Form
Atletico San Luis1W3D6L
15/09/2026
LeonAtletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Guadalajara Chivas
MonterreyAtletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
CF Pachuca
Club AmericaAtletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
LeonAtletico San Luis20
L06/09/2026Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas03
L31/08/2026MonterreyAtletico San Luis13
W24/08/2026Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca11
D17/08/2026Club AmericaAtletico San Luis30
L13/08/2026
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis5232
L10/08/2026
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis41
L06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
01/08/2026Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis42
LAtletico San LuisClub Tijuana00
D26/07/2026Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis22
DNecaxa2W2D6L
12/09/2026Necaxa
PueblaNecaxa
Cruz Azul
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
TolucaNecaxaNecaxaMonterrey
NecaxaPuebla01
L06/09/2026Tigres UANLNecaxa
29/08/2026Tigres UANLNecaxa11
DNecaxaCruz Azul13
L24/08/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa11
D18/08/2026NecaxaLeon
NecaxaLeon12
L14/08/2026
New York City FCNecaxa
New York City FCNecaxa12
W10/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa31
L07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
03/08/2026Chicago FireNecaxa20
LTolucaNecaxa31
L27/07/2026NecaxaMonterrey21
WReferee Profile
4.67Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.67 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.52).
Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 |  Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Atletico San Luis and Necaxa in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Atletico San Luis are 14th and Necaxa 17th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico San Luis 19-24, Necaxa 17-28. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.