Santos Laguna vs Necaxa Prediction

Santos Laguna
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Necaxa
Estadio TSM Corona, Torreon·Daniel Quintero Huitron 02/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.50
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Santos Laguna Rest
6 days
Necaxa Rest
8 days

Santos Laguna vs Necaxa: result, form and history

Santos Laguna beat Necaxa 1-0 in the Liga MX on 1 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Santos Laguna had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Necaxa.

Necaxa have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.80
X
26%4.00
2
24%3.75
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
50%1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.44
No
38%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.17 = 2.94
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.47
Over 3.5
40%2.18
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
38%2.52
Under 3.5
60%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.5 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.33
Over 9.5
60%1.62
Over 10.5
49%2.03
Under 8.5
29%2.85
Under 9.5
40%2.11
Under 10.5
51%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.50
Over 4.5
40%1.91
Under 3.5
40%2.47
Under 4.5
60%1.80

Match Events

37'Felipe SánchezFoul
38'Jonathan Geovanni Pérez Sánchez INKevin Palacios out
45'Penalty cancelledJuan Valencia
45+4'Mauro ZaletaDissent
52'Diego OchoaFoul
59'Juan Valencia INKevin Ante out
67'Lorenzo FaravelliFoul
68'Lorenzo Faravelli INJoshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido out
68'Mauro Zaleta INEmilio Martínez out
68'Owen González INMatias Espindola out
69'Eduardo Aguirre INEsteban Lozano out
72'Matias EspindolaOG
82'Francisco Villalba INAldo Lopez out
82'Tahiel Adrian Jimenez INJavier Guemez out
83'Raúl Martínez INLeonardo Arvizo Vargas out

Lineups

Santos Laguna
5-4-1Coach: Renato Paiva
Necaxa
3-4-3Coach: Juan Reynoso
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.52
C. Acevedo9.51C. Acevedo
M. Cuevas7.43M. Cuevas
F. Pardo6.418F. Pardo
Felipe Sánchez6.625F. Sánchez
Jonathan Pérez6.628J. Pérez
E. Echeverría6.517E. Echeverría
E. Aguirre6.319E. Aguirre
Fran Villalba6.421F. Villalba
F. Cáseres6.923F. Cáseres
E. Bullaude6.710E. Bullaude
Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez6.329T. Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
181181J. Orantes
R. Martínez6.633R. Martínez
Kaiky Naves7.05K. Naves
A. Oliveros6.83A. Oliveros
D. Ochoa6.315D. Ochoa
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda6.513O. de Jesús González Ojeda
M. Rodríguez7.299M. Rodríguez
D. Leyva7.06D. Leyva
L. Faravelli6.08L. Faravelli
M. Zaleta6.014M. Zaleta
J. Valencia6.790J. Valencia

Santos Laguna Substitutes

6J. Güémez82'for Tahiel Adrian Jimenez6.2
33H. Holguín
20E. Lozano69'for Eduardo Aguirre6.1
5A. López82'for Francisco Villalba6.5
8S. Mariscal
24D. Medina
77K. Palacios38'for Jonathan Geovanni Pérez Sánchez6.8
26R. Sordo
193Luis Gómez
4J. Abella

Necaxa Substitutes

1C. Andrade
7K. Rosero59'for Juan Valencia6.3
259Leonardo Arvizo Vargas83'replaced by Raúl Martínez
235Leroy Davis
21M. Espíndola68'for Owen González72'6.1
2E. Martínez68'for Mauro Zaleta6.4
20F. Méndez
210Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido68'replaced by Lorenzo Faravelli
16P. Pedraza
188Israel Tello Robles

Match Stats

Santos LagunaNecaxa
38%Ball Possession62%
12Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
6Total Shots21
3Shots on Goal8
1Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box15
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots6
11Fouls16
0Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total Passes417
334Passes Accurate354
16Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
NecaxaNecaxa
1591Elo Rating 1482
2.17Attack 1.05
1.76Defense 1.05
73%Hit Rate 0%
13.2Shots per Game 15.5
4.8Shots on Target 5.4
5.4Corners per Game 5.9
2.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+109 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
NecaxaNecaxa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Santos LagunaSantos Laguna3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
NecaxaNecaxa6Wins · 60%
4.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX11/01/2026
Santos LagunaNecaxa
13
Liga MX01/11/2025
NecaxaSantos Laguna
41
Liga MX08/02/2025
NecaxaSantos Laguna
32
Liga MX02/09/2024
Santos LagunaNecaxa
32
Liga MX13/04/2024
NecaxaSantos Laguna
20
Liga MX25/09/2023
Santos LagunaNecaxa
25
Liga MX01/04/2023
NecaxaSantos Laguna
00
Liga MX07/09/2022
Santos LagunaNecaxa
31
Liga MX24/01/2022
Santos LagunaNecaxa
14
Liga MX24/07/2021
NecaxaSantos Laguna
03

Referee Profile

Daniel Quintero Huitron28 matches

4.36Cards per match
4.07Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Quintero Huitron4.36
Other referees4.71

4.36 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1592434:24+1029WWWWD
4AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1564522:20+222LDWLD
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1534:2429
4AtlasAtlas1526:2627
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1522:2022
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
Promotion

About the Santos Laguna vs Necaxa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Santos Laguna and Necaxa in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Santos Laguna are 8th and Necaxa 17th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Santos Laguna 21-20, Necaxa 16-28. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Santos Laguna have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.