Atlas vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Atlas
1-4
Finished
HT 0-2
CF Pachuca
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara·Fernando Hernandez Gomez 08/11/2026
AtlasAtlas
1-4
Finished
CF PachucaCF Pachuca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Atlas Rest
7 days
CF Pachuca Rest
7 days

Atlas vs CF Pachuca: the result in context

CF Pachuca beat Atlas 4-1 in the Liga MX on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

CF Pachuca have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Referee Fernando Hernandez Gomez averages 5.25 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.44
X
27%3.44
2
35%2.66
Double Chance
1X
65%1.44
X2
62%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.51
No
38%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.46 = 3.03
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.64
Over 3.5
38%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.40
Under 2.5
40%2.19
Under 3.5
62%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.37
Over 9.5
56%1.68
Over 10.5
45%2.13
Under 8.5
33%2.70
Under 9.5
44%2.06
Under 10.5
55%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.8 = 5.3
Over 3.5
77%1.27
Over 4.5
60%1.67
Under 3.5
23%3.55
Under 4.5
40%2.10

Match Events

5'Manuel CapassoOG
7'Alan BautistaFoul
12'Oussama IdrissiAssist: Salomón Rondón
18'Aldo RochaFoul
45'Milton Valenzuela INRyan Mmaee out
45'Aldo Rocha INJosé Lozano out
51'Manuel Capasso
61'Alan Bautista INRobert Nunes out
61'Javier Vallejo INSebastian Santos out
71'Oussama Idrissi INMauricio Isais out
74'Luís André Leite EstevesDissent
75'Salomón Rondón(Penalty)
77'Ryan MmaeeDissent
82'Card upgrade confirmedAdonis Frías
83'Adonis FríasSerious foul
83'Florián Monzón INJosé Martín out
85'Rodolfo Pizarro INAdrián Alcaraz out
85'Salomón Rondón INCristóbal Hernández out
90+2'Eduardo Dos SantosAssist: Robert Nunes

Lineups

Atlas
3-4-2-1Coach: H. Crespo
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Mora
Avg rating6.01
Avg rating6.88
C. Vargas6.712C. Vargas
A. Frías4.619A. Frías
M. Capasso5.928M. Capasso
J. Purata6.544J. Purata
S. Hernández5.323S. Hernández
A. Rocha5.526A. Rocha
E. Montiel6.518E. Montiel
M. Valenzuela5.816M. Valenzuela
K. Zenón6.220K. Zenón
Luís Esteves6.310L. Esteves
F. Monzón6.39F. Monzón
C. Moreno7.025C. Moreno
J. Berlanga6.413J. Berlanga
Eduardo Bauermann7.74E. Bauermann
S. Barreto7.52S. Barreto
F. Venegas7.015F. Venegas
C. Rivera6.716C. Rivera
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez6.426A. Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
N. Vallejo6.321N. Vallejo
R. Pizarro6.27R. Pizarro
O. Idrissi8.011O. Idrissi
S. Rondón7.723S. Rondón

Atlas Substitutes

13G. Aguirre
17J. Lozano45'for Aldo Rocha6.0
27V. Ríos
203J. Martín83'for Florián Monzón6.6
8R. Mmaee45'for Milton Valenzuela77'6.1
4A. Mora
5J. Rodríguez
192Jesús Serrato
22A. Sánchez
58A. González

CF Pachuca Substitutes

28A. Arroyo
32P. Budib
206Thomas Contreras
31J. Eulogio
211C. Hernandez85'for Salomón Rondón6.6
6M. Isaís71'for Oussama Idrissi6.5
29Kenedy61'for Alan Bautista7.2
12S. Santos61'for Javier Vallejo6.5
207Ian Josué Zavala Osorio
9A. Alcáraz85'for Rodolfo Pizarro6.6

Match Stats

AtlasCF Pachuca
66%Ball Possession34%
7Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
12Fouls15
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves5
455Total Passes236
383Passes Accurate172
15Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

AtlasAtlas
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1632Elo Rating 1667
2.05Attack 2.05
1.20Defense 1.63
66%Hit Rate 50%
13.7Shots per Game 16.4
3.9Shots on Target 5.1
6.4Corners per Game 4.3
2.2Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtlasAtlas3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
CF PachucaCF Pachuca6Wins · 60%
3.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX15/02/2026
CF PachucaAtlas
31
Liga MX10/08/2025
AtlasCF Pachuca
03
Liga MX02/02/2025
CF PachucaAtlas
00
Liga MX14/09/2024
AtlasCF Pachuca
20
Liga MX01/02/2024
CF PachucaAtlas
43
Liga MX02/11/2023
AtlasCF Pachuca
02
Liga MX16/04/2023
AtlasCF Pachuca
41
Liga MX26/08/2022
CF PachucaAtlas
31
Liga MX30/05/2022
CF PachucaAtlas
21
Liga MX27/05/2022
AtlasCF Pachuca
20

Referee Profile

Fernando Hernandez Gomez168 matches

5.25Cards per match
4.85Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Hernandez Gomez5.25
Other referees4.57

5.25 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7Club LeonClub Leon1665523:21+223LWDLD
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7Club LeonClub Leon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the Atlas vs CF Pachuca forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlas and CF Pachuca in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Atlas are 5th and CF Pachuca 8th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlas 27-30, CF Pachuca 29-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.