Houston Dynamo vs Austin Prediction

Houston Dynamo
3-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Austin
Shell Energy Stadium, Houston·F. Dujic 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.46
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+12.9%
Houston Dynamo Rest
3 days
Austin Rest
2 days

Houston Dynamo vs Austin: result, form and history

Houston Dynamo beat Austin 3-0 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.70
X
24%3.90
2
19%4.70
Double Chance
1X
82%1.18
X2
43%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.72
No
41%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 1.02 = 2.91
Over 1.5
80%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.72
Over 3.5
37%2.80
Under 1.5
20%4.05
Under 2.5
41%2.08
Under 3.5
63%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.5
51%1.45
Over 9.5
40%1.80
Over 10.5
29%2.21
Under 8.5
49%2.52
Under 9.5
60%1.93
Under 10.5
71%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
71%1.32
Over 4.5
52%1.71
Under 3.5
29%2.98
Under 4.5
48%2.06

Match Events

12'M. BoguszAssist: E. Ponce
18'I. Sanchez
29'M. BoguszAssist: Guilherme
32'GuilhermeAssist: A. Bouzat
42'Felipe Andrade
60'I. Sanchez INB. Sabovic out
60'P. Placheta INJ. Rosales out
62'B. Sabovic
62'Lucas Halter
63'D. Samassekou INArtur out
70'A. Bouzat INJ. McGlynn out
70'E. Ponce IND. McGuire out
70'O. Svatok INM. Djordjevic out
71'F. Torres INE. Torres out
82'J. Gallagher INZ. Kolmanic out
84'Guilherme INO. Lingr out
85'Lucas Halter INE. Sviatchenko out

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-1-4-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Austin
3-4-3Coach: Davy Arnaud
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.52
Jonathan Bond8.231J. Bond
Felipe Andrade6.936F. Andrade
Lucas Halter7.35L. Halter
Agustin Resch7.234A. Resch
Lawrence Ennali6.911L. Ennali
Diadié Samassékou6.618D. Samassékou
Mateusz Bogusz8.519M. Bogusz
Agustín Bouzat7.330A. Bouzat
Héctor HerreraC7.216H. Herrera
Guilherme8.620Guilherme
Ezequiel Ponce6.910E. Ponce
Brad Stuver5.61B. Stuver
Brendan Hines-Ike6.64B. Hines-Ike
Oleksandr Svatok6.35O. Svatok
Guilherme Biro5.929G. Biro
Przemysław Płacheta7.077P. Płacheta
Owen Wolff6.733O. Wolff
Ilie SánchezC6.36I. Sánchez
Jon Gallagher6.317J. Gallagher
Facundo Torres6.711F. Torres
Brandon Vázquez6.39B. Vázquez
Myrto Uzuni6.910M. Uzuni

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

6Artur63'for D. Samassekou6.3
8Jack McGlynn70'for A. Bouzat6.6
23Duncan McGuire70'for E. Ponce6.5
9Ondrej Lingr84'for Guilherme6.6
28Erik Sviatchenko85'for Lucas Halter6.6
26Blake Gillingham
21Franco Negri
14Duane Holmes
22Matthew Arana

Austin Substitutes

14Besard Sabović60'for I. Sanchez62'6.6
30Joseph Rosales60'for P. Placheta7.0
35Mateja Đorđević70'for O. Svatok6.6
38Ervin Torres71'for F. Torres6.9
23Žan Kolmanič82'for J. Gallagher6.6
12Damian Las
20Nicolas Dubersarsky
21Christian Ramirez
7Jayden Nelson

Match Stats

Houston DynamoAustin
46%Ball Possession54%
1Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box13
1Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots5
12Fouls10
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
428Total Passes486
384Passes Accurate438
90%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
AustinAustin
1602Elo Rating 1520
1.25Attack 1.19
1.44Defense 0.51
23%Hit Rate 19%
7.8Shots per Game 13.1
1.6Shots on Target 4.6
3.9Corners per Game 5.5
2.6Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
AustinAustin5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer26/04/2026
AustinHouston Dynamo
20
Major League Soccer10/08/2025
AustinHouston Dynamo
22
US Open Cup22/05/2025
AustinHouston Dynamo
31
Major League Soccer27/04/2025
Houston DynamoAustin
20
Major League Soccer22/09/2024
AustinHouston Dynamo
01
Major League Soccer16/05/2024
AustinHouston Dynamo
10
Major League Soccer21/04/2024
Houston DynamoAustin
01
Major League Soccer25/06/2023
AustinHouston Dynamo
30
Major League Soccer28/05/2023
Houston DynamoAustin
21
Major League Soccer19/03/2023
Houston DynamoAustin
20

Recent Form

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
6W2D2L
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
16/07/2026
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali
21
W
12/07/2026
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia
30
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
4222
L
17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
10
W
14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
30
L
11/05/2026
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
14
W
03/05/2026
Houston DynamoColorado Rapids
10
W
30/04/2026
Houston DynamoLouisville City
2111
W
AustinAustin
4W1D5L
23/07/2026
AustinSeattle Sounders
31
W
08/07/2026
AustinSporting JAX
40
W
03/07/2026
AustinClub Queretaro
01
L
23/05/2026
St. Louis CityAustin
30
L
17/05/2026
AustinSporting Kansas City
12
L
14/05/2026
San DiegoAustin
50
L
11/05/2026
Minnesota United FCAustin
22
D
03/05/2026
AustinSt. Louis City
20
W
26/04/2026
AustinHouston Dynamo
20
W
23/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesAustin
51
L

Referee Profile

F. Dujic123 matches

4.03Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Dujic4.03
Other referees4.33

4.03 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 94 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Houston Dynamo vs Austin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Houston Dynamo and Austin in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Houston Dynamo are 5th and Austin 14th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Houston Dynamo 43-43, Austin 42-65. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.