Houston Dynamo vs Austin Prediction

Houston Dynamo
3-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Austin
Shell Energy Stadium, Houston· F. Dujic 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSOLIDModel59%RiskMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.47
SignalHIGHModel56%RiskMediumGap+12.9%
Houston Dynamo Rest
3 days
Austin Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.70
X
24%3.90
2
19%4.70
Double Chance
1X
82%1.18
X2
43%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.72
No
41%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 1.02 = 2.91
Over 1.5
80%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.73
Over 3.5
37%2.80
Under 1.5
20%4.10
Under 2.5
41%2.08
Under 3.5
63%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.5
51%1.45
Over 9.5
40%1.80
Over 10.5
29%2.22
Under 8.5
49%2.55
Under 9.5
60%1.93
Under 10.5
71%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
71%1.32
Over 4.5
52%1.71
Under 3.5
29%2.98
Under 4.5
48%2.06

Match Events

12'M. BoguszAssist: E. Ponce
18'I. Sanchez
29'M. BoguszAssist: Guilherme
32'GuilhermeAssist: A. Bouzat
42'Felipe Andrade
60'I. Sanchez INB. Sabovic out
60'P. Placheta INJ. Rosales out
62'B. Sabovic
62'Lucas Halter
63'D. Samassekou INArtur out
70'A. Bouzat INJ. McGlynn out
70'E. Ponce IND. McGuire out
70'O. Svatok INM. Djordjevic out
71'F. Torres INE. Torres out
82'J. Gallagher INZ. Kolmanic out
84'Guilherme INO. Lingr out
85'Lucas Halter INE. Sviatchenko out

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-1-4-1Coach: Ben Olsen
Austin
3-4-3Coach: Davy Arnaud
Jonathan Bond31J. BondJonathan Bond
Felipe Andrade36F. AndradeFelipe Andrade
Lucas Halter5L. HalterLucas Halter
Agustin Resch34A. ReschAgustin Resch
Lawrence Ennali11L. EnnaliLawrence Ennali
Diadié Samassékou18D. SamassékouDiadié Samassékou
Mateusz Bogusz19M. BoguszMateusz Bogusz
Agustín Bouzat30A. BouzatAgustín Bouzat
Héctor Herrera16H. HerreraHéctor Herrera
Guilherme20GuilhermeGuilherme
Ezequiel Ponce10E. PonceEzequiel Ponce
Brad Stuver1B. StuverBrad Stuver
Brendan Hines-Ike4B. Hines-IkeBrendan Hines-Ike
Oleksandr Svatok5O. SvatokOleksandr Svatok
Guilherme Biro29G. BiroGuilherme Biro
Przemysław Płacheta77P. PłachetaPrzemysław Płacheta
Owen Wolff33O. WolffOwen Wolff
Ilie Sánchez6I. SánchezIlie Sánchez
Jon Gallagher17J. GallagherJon Gallagher
Facundo Torres11F. TorresFacundo Torres
Brandon Vázquez9B. VázquezBrandon Vázquez
Myrto Uzuni10M. UzuniMyrto Uzuni

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

6ArturM
8Jack McGlynnM
23Duncan McGuireF
9Ondrej LingrM
28Erik SviatchenkoD
26Blake GillinghamG
21Franco NegriD
14Duane HolmesM
22Matthew AranaM

Austin Substitutes

14Besard SabovićM
30Joseph RosalesM
35Mateja ĐorđevićD
38Ervin TorresM
23Žan KolmaničD
12Damian LasG
20Nicolas DubersarskyM
21Christian RamirezF
7Jayden NelsonF

Match Stats

Houston DynamoAustin
46%Ball Possession54%
1Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box13
1Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots5
12Fouls10
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
428Total Passes486
384Passes Accurate438
90%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
AustinAustin
1653Elo Rating 1584
0.60Attack 1.29
2.22Defense 1.86
23%Hit Rate 44%
13.0Shots per Game 9.6
4.3Shots on Target 2.2
4.1Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
AustinAustin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Houston Dynamo 31%Draw 23%46% Austin
2.71Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
2W2D1L
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
16/07/2026
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali
21
W
12/07/2026
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia
30
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
4222
L
AustinAustin
2W0D3L
23/07/2026
AustinSeattle Sounders
31
W
08/07/2026
AustinSporting JAX
40
W
03/07/2026
AustinClub Queretaro
01
L
23/05/2026
St. Louis CityAustin
30
L
17/05/2026
AustinSporting Kansas City
12
L

Referee Profile

F. Dujic · 54 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 26% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Houston Dynamo vs Austin Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Houston Dynamo and Austin have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.71 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.