Brazil vs Norway Prediction

World CupWorld World · Round of 16
CupKnockout
Brazil
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Norway
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford·Ismail Elfath, USA 05/07/2026
BrazilBrazil
1-2
Finished
NorwayNorway

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
8.0 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Brazil Rest
6 days
Norway Rest
5 days

Brazil vs Norway: the result in context

Norway beat Brazil 2-1 in the World Cup on 5 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Ismail Elfath averages 4.58 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%1.80
X
47%3.65
2
21%4.45
Double Chance
1X
79%1.20
X2
68%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.61
No
46%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.23 = 2.79
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
47%1.67
Over 3.5
26%2.63
Under 1.5
26%4.20
Under 2.5
53%2.20
Under 3.5
74%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 4.8 = 9
Over 8.5
55%1.62
Over 9.5
46%1.98
Over 10.5
33%2.57
Under 8.5
45%2.20
Under 9.5
54%1.75
Under 10.5
67%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.5
41%2.66
Over 4.5
23%3.85
Under 3.5
59%1.43
Under 4.5
77%1.24

Match Events

14'Bruno Guimaraes(Penalty missed)
46'A. Sorloth INO. Bobb out
46'A. Nusa INA. Schjelderup out
58'M. Cunha INEndrick out
63'J. Ryerson INF. Aursnes out
67'G. Martinelli INNeymar out
67'Rayan INDanilo Santos out
79'Bruno Guimaraes INEderson out
79'E. HaalandAssist: A. Schjelderup
90'E. HaalandAssist: A. Schjelderup
90+5'D. Wolfe INL. Ostigard out
90+6'NeymarTripping
90+10'Neymar(Penalty)

Lineups

Brazil
4-4-2Coach: Carlo Ancelotti
Norway
4-3-3Coach: Stale Solbakken
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.99
Alisson6.91Alisson
Danilo6.613Danilo
MarquinhosC6.24Marquinhos
Gabriel Magalhães6.23G. Magalhães
Douglas Santos6.916D. Santos
Rayan6.926Rayan
Bruno Guimarães6.08B. Guimarães
Casemiro7.25Casemiro
Gabriel Martinelli7.222G. Martinelli
Matheus Cunha6.99M. Cunha
Vinícius Júnior7.27V. Júnior
Ørjan Nyland7.91Ø. Nyland
Julian Ryerson6.626J. Ryerson
Kristoffer Ajer6.63K. Ajer
Torbjørn Heggem6.917T. Heggem
David Møller Wolfe7.05D. Møller Wolfe
Martin ØdegaardC6.210M. Ødegaard
Sander Berge7.28S. Berge
Patrick Berg7.26P. Berg
Alexander Sørloth6.27A. Sørloth
Erling Haaland9.09E. Haaland
Antonio Nusa6.520A. Nusa

Brazil Substitutes

19Endrick58'for M. Cunha6.5
18Danilo Santos67'for Rayan7.0
10Neymar67'for G. Martinelli90+6'90+10'6.9
12Weverton
23Ederson79'for Bruno Guimaraes
6Alex Sandro
14Bremer
15Léo Pereira
24Roger Ibañez
2Éderson79'for Bruno Guimaraes6.3
17Fabinho
11Raphinha
21Luiz Henrique
25Igor Thiago

Norway Substitutes

21Andreas Schjelderup46'for A. Nusa7.3
22Oscar Bobb46'for A. Sorloth6.6
14Fredrik Aursnes63'for J. Ryerson6.7
12Sander Tangvik
13Egil Selvik
4Leo Østigård90+5'for D. Wolfe
15Fredrik André Bjørkan
24Sondre Langås
25Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
2Morten Thorsby
18Kristian Thorstvedt
19Thelo Aasgaard
23Jens Petter Hauge
11Jørgen Strand Larsen

Match Stats

BrazilNorway
34%Ball Possession66%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
7Fouls6
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
331Total Passes681
279Passes Accurate618
84%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

BrazilBrazil
NorwayNorway
1791Elo Rating 1783
1.95Attack 1.33
2.09Defense 1.14
59%Hit Rate 17%
15.2Shots per Game 12.9
6.0Shots on Target 4.6
5.4Corners per Game 4.5
1.6Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

BrazilBrazil
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

BrazilBrazil
7W2D1L
29/06/2026
BrazilJapan
21
W
25/06/2026
ScotlandBrazil
03
W
20/06/2026
BrazilHaiti
30
W
14/06/2026
BrazilMorocco
11
D
07/06/2026
BrazilEgypt
21
W
31/05/2026
BrazilPanama
62
W
10/09/2025
BoliviaBrazil
10
L
05/09/2025
BrazilChile
30
W
11/06/2025
BrazilParaguay
10
W
06/06/2025
EcuadorBrazil
00
D
NorwayNorway
8W1D1L
30/06/2026
Ivory CoastNorway
12
W
26/06/2026
NorwayFrance
14
L
23/06/2026
NorwaySenegal
32
W17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
W
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
01/06/2026
NorwaySweden
31
W
16/11/2025
ItalyNorway
14
W
13/11/2025
NorwayEstonia
41
W
11/10/2025
NorwayIsrael
50
W
09/09/2025
NorwayMoldova
111
W

Referee Profile

Ismail Elfath115 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ismail Elfath4.58
Other referees4.06

4.58 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group C

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BrazilBrazil32107:1+67WWD
2MoroccoMorocco32106:3+37WWD
3ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
4HaitiHaiti30032:8-60LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BrazilBrazil37:17
2MoroccoMorocco36:37
3ScotlandScotland31:43
4HaitiHaiti32:80

Group I

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

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About the Brazil vs Norway forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.0 out of 10 by our context model. Brazil and Norway have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.