Norway vs England Prediction

World CupWorld World · Quarter-finals
CupKnockout
Norway
1-2
After Extra Time
HT 1-1AET 0-1
England
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami· Clement Turpin, France 11/07/2026
NorwayNorway
1-2
After Extra Time
EnglandEngland

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
8.6 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalGOODModel47%RiskMediumGap+10.4%
Norway Rest
6 days
England Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.00
X
28%3.81
2
52%1.86
Double Chance
1X
48%1.92
X2
79%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.60
No
47%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.63 = 2.71
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
46%1.67
Over 3.5
26%2.62
Under 1.5
26%4.20
Under 2.5
54%2.20
Under 3.5
74%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
55%1.51
Over 9.5
46%1.87
Over 10.5
33%2.38
Under 8.5
45%2.39
Under 9.5
54%1.85
Under 10.5
67%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.5 = 3.1
Over 3.5
38%2.94
Over 4.5
21%3.75
Under 3.5
62%1.38
Under 4.5
79%1.24

Match Events

36'A. SchjelderupAssist: M. Odegaard
45+2'J. BellinghamAssist: A. Gordon
46'N. Madueke INB. Saka out
46'D. Rice INE. Eze out
55'Goal Disallowed - FoulT. Heggem
60'J. Ryerson INF. Aursnes out
68'A. Sorloth INO. Bobb out
68'A. Schjelderup INA. Nusa out
71'A. Gordon INR. James out
86'N. O'Reilly IND. Spence out
89'E. Konsa INM. Rogers out
90'D. Wolfe INM. Pedersen out

Extra Time0 - 1

91'T. Heggem INL. Ostigard out
93'J. Bellingham
106'E. Haaland INJ. Larsen out
111'J. Bellingham IND. Burn out
117'K. AjerUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Norway
4-3-3Coach: Stale Solbakken
England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Ørjan Nyland1Ø. NylandØrjan Nyland
Julian Ryerson26J. RyersonJulian Ryerson
Kristoffer Ajer3K. AjerKristoffer Ajer
Torbjørn Heggem17T. HeggemTorbjørn Heggem
David Møller Wolfe5D. Møller WolfeDavid Møller Wolfe
Martin Ødegaard10M. ØdegaardMartin Ødegaard
Sander Berge8S. BergeSander Berge
Patrick Berg6P. BergPatrick Berg
Alexander Sørloth7A. SørlothAlexander Sørloth
Erling Haaland9E. HaalandErling Haaland
Andreas Schjelderup21A. SchjelderupAndreas Schjelderup
Jordan Pickford1J. PickfordJordan Pickford
Ezri Konsa2E. KonsaEzri Konsa
John Stones5J. StonesJohn Stones
Marc Guéhi6M. GuéhiMarc Guéhi
Nico O'Reilly3N. O'ReillyNico O'Reilly
Declan Rice4D. RiceDeclan Rice
Elliot Anderson8E. AndersonElliot Anderson
Noni Madueke20N. MaduekeNoni Madueke
Jude Bellingham10J. BellinghamJude Bellingham
Anthony Gordon18A. GordonAnthony Gordon
Harry Kane9H. KaneHarry Kane

Norway Substitutes

14Fredrik AursnesM
22Oscar BobbM
20Antonio NusaM
16Marcus PedersenD
4Leo ØstigårdD
11Jørgen Strand LarsenF
12Sander TangvikG
13Egil SelvikG
15Fredrik André BjørkanD
24Sondre LangåsD
25Henrik Sælebakke FalchenerD
2Morten ThorsbyM
18Kristian ThorstvedtM
19Thelo AasgaardM
23Jens Petter HaugeM

England Substitutes

21Eberechi EzeM
7Bukayo SakaF
24Reece JamesD
25Djed SpenceD
17Morgan RogersM
13Dean HendersonG
23James TraffordG
12Trevoh ChalobahD
15Dan BurnD
14Jordan HendersonM
16Kobbie MainooM
11Marcus RashfordF
19Ollie WatkinsF
22Ivan ToneyF

Match Stats

NorwayEngland
47%Ball Possession53%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
13Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls8
1Offsides5
6Goalkeeper Saves3
563Total Passes621
483Passes Accurate563
86%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

NorwayNorway
EnglandEngland
1811Elo Rating 1880
1.71Attack 2.82
1.36Defense 0.80
56%Hit Rate 58%
10.8Shots per Game 13.5
4.7Shots on Target 7.2
5.0Corners per Game 3.3
0.7Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
EnglandEngland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NorwayNorway
4W0D1L
05/07/2026
BrazilNorway
12
W
30/06/2026
Ivory CoastNorway
12
W
26/06/2026
NorwayFrance
14
L
23/06/2026
NorwaySenegal
32
W17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
W
EnglandEngland
4W1D0L
06/07/2026
MexicoEngland
23
W01/07/2026
EnglandCongo DR
21
W27/06/2026
PanamaEngland
02
W23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
W

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin, France · 15 matches analysed

3.3Avg Yellows
3.4Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 2% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group I

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time

Norway vs England Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.6 out of 10 by our context model. Norway and England have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.