Norway vs England Prediction

World CupWorld World · Quarter-finals
CupKnockout
Norway
1-2
After Extra Time
HT 1-1AET 0-1
England
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami·Clement Turpin, France 11/07/2026
NorwayNorway
1-2
After Extra Time
EnglandEngland

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
8.6 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Norway Rest
6 days
England Rest
5 days

Norway vs England: result, form and history

England beat Norway 2-1 after extra time in the World Cup on 11 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.58 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.00
X
28%3.81
2
52%1.86
Double Chance
1X
48%1.92
X2
79%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.60
No
47%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.63 = 2.71
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
46%1.67
Over 3.5
26%2.62
Under 1.5
26%4.20
Under 2.5
54%2.20
Under 3.5
74%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.5 = 9.4
Over 8.5
55%1.52
Over 9.5
46%1.87
Over 10.5
33%2.37
Under 8.5
45%2.37
Under 9.5
54%1.86
Under 10.5
67%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.5 = 3.1
Over 3.5
38%3.25
Over 4.5
21%3.75
Under 3.5
62%1.28
Under 4.5
79%1.24

Match Events

36'A. SchjelderupAssist: M. Odegaard
45+2'J. BellinghamAssist: A. Gordon
46'N. Madueke INB. Saka out
46'D. Rice INE. Eze out
55'Goal Disallowed - FoulT. Heggem
60'J. Ryerson INF. Aursnes out
68'A. Sorloth INO. Bobb out
68'A. Schjelderup INA. Nusa out
71'A. Gordon INR. James out
86'N. O'Reilly IND. Spence out
89'E. Konsa INM. Rogers out
90'D. Wolfe INM. Pedersen out

Extra Time0 - 1

91'T. Heggem INL. Ostigard out
93'J. Bellingham
106'E. Haaland INJ. Larsen out
111'J. Bellingham IND. Burn out
117'K. AjerUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Norway
4-3-3Coach: Stale Solbakken
England
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Tuchel
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.86
Ørjan Nyland8.21Ø. Nyland
Julian Ryerson7.226J. Ryerson
Kristoffer Ajer6.03K. Ajer
Torbjørn Heggem6.317T. Heggem
David Møller Wolfe6.55D. Møller Wolfe
Martin ØdegaardC6.910M. Ødegaard
Sander Berge6.68S. Berge
Patrick Berg6.56P. Berg
Alexander Sørloth6.37A. Sørloth
Erling Haaland6.39E. Haaland
Andreas Schjelderup8.221A. Schjelderup
Jordan Pickford6.51J. Pickford
Ezri Konsa7.02E. Konsa
John Stones7.05J. Stones
Marc Guéhi6.36M. Guéhi
Nico O'Reilly7.23N. O'Reilly
Declan Rice6.94D. Rice
Elliot Anderson7.08E. Anderson
Noni Madueke6.320N. Madueke
Jude Bellingham8.510J. Bellingham
Anthony Gordon6.618A. Gordon
Harry KaneC6.29H. Kane

Norway Substitutes

14Fredrik Aursnes60'for J. Ryerson7.3
22Oscar Bobb68'for A. Sorloth6.6
20Antonio Nusa68'for A. Schjelderup6.3
16Marcus Pedersen90'for D. Wolfe6.2
4Leo Østigård91'for T. Heggem6.3
11Jørgen Strand Larsen106'for E. Haaland6.5
12Sander Tangvik
13Egil Selvik
15Fredrik André Bjørkan
24Sondre Langås
25Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
2Morten Thorsby
18Kristian Thorstvedt
19Thelo Aasgaard
23Jens Petter Hauge

England Substitutes

21Eberechi Eze46'for D. Rice6.7
7Bukayo Saka46'for N. Madueke7.2
24Reece James71'for A. Gordon6.9
25Djed Spence86'for N. O'Reilly7.5
17Morgan Rogers89'for E. Konsa6.5
13Dean Henderson
23James Trafford
12Trevoh Chalobah
15Dan Burn111'for J. Bellingham6.3
14Jordan Henderson
16Kobbie Mainoo
11Marcus Rashford
19Ollie Watkins
22Ivan Toney

Match Stats

NorwayEngland
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks3
9Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
10Fouls8
1Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
387Total Passes523
329Passes Accurate483
86%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

NorwayNorway
EnglandEngland
1783Elo Rating 1902
1.33Attack 3.98
1.14Defense 1.94
17%Hit Rate 83%
12.9Shots per Game 18.1
4.6Shots on Target 6.8
4.5Corners per Game 5.7
1.2Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NorwayNorway
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
EnglandEngland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.4 vs 1.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NorwayNorway
8W1D1L
05/07/2026
BrazilNorway
12
W
30/06/2026
Ivory CoastNorway
12
W
26/06/2026
NorwayFrance
14
L
23/06/2026
NorwaySenegal
32
W17/06/2026
IraqNorway
14
W
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
01/06/2026
NorwaySweden
31
W
16/11/2025
ItalyNorway
14
W
13/11/2025
NorwayEstonia
41
W
11/10/2025
NorwayIsrael
50
W
EnglandEngland
9W1D0L
06/07/2026
MexicoEngland
23
W01/07/2026
EnglandCongo DR
21
W27/06/2026
PanamaEngland
02
W23/06/2026
EnglandGhana
00
D17/06/2026
EnglandCroatia
42
W
10/06/2026
EnglandCosta Rica
30
W
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
W
16/11/2025
AlbaniaEngland
02
W
13/11/2025
EnglandSerbia
20
W
14/10/2025
LatviaEngland
05
W

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin268 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.34Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Clement Turpin3.58
Other referees4.10

3.58 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.10).

Cards come from 261 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group I

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

Group L

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnglandEngland32106:2+47WDW
2CroatiaCroatia32015:506WWL
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4PanamaPanama30030:4-40LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnglandEngland36:27
2CroatiaCroatia35:56
3GhanaGhana32:24
4PanamaPanama30:40

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About the Norway vs England forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.6 out of 10 by our context model. England have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Norway and England have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.