Norwich vs Portsmouth Prediction

Norwich
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Portsmouth
Carrow Road, Norwich·Gavin Ward 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseHighGap-6.3%
Norwich Rest
2 days
Portsmouth Rest
2 days

Norwich vs Portsmouth: result, form and history

Portsmouth beat Norwich 1-0 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Portsmouth had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Norwich.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.80
X
26%3.75
2
25%4.05
Double Chance
1X
75%1.23
X2
51%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.65
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.98 = 2.39
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.72
Over 3.5
29%2.75
Under 1.5
26%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.10
Under 3.5
71%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.32
Over 9.5
51%1.57
Over 10.5
40%1.96
Under 8.5
37%2.98
Under 9.5
49%2.25
Under 10.5
60%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.76
Over 4.5
36%2.78
Under 3.5
45%2.02
Under 4.5
64%1.40

Match Events

45'Benjamin Chrisene INDarlin Yongwa out
51'Marko Milovanović(Penalty)
55'Marko MilovanovićFoul
57'Andre Brooks INLucien Mahovo out
57'Anis Ben Slimane INParis Maghoma out
60'Iyad Mohamed INEbou Adams out
64'Ryan Kavuma-McQueenTime wasting
66'Oscar SchwartauDissent
70'Ryan Kavuma-McQueen INOdin Bailey out
71'Marko Milovanović INTyrese Shade out
73'Oscar Schwartau INMathias Kvistgaarden out
80'Marlon Pack INTerry Devlin out
90'Mathias KvistgaardenFoul
90+3'Darlin YongwaFoul

Lineups

Norwich
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Clement
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Coach: John Mousinho
Avg rating6.36
Avg rating6.80
D. Grimshaw6.132D. Grimshaw
J. Stacey6.63J. Stacey
Ruairi McConville6.915R. McConville
J. Córdoba6.633J. Córdoba
B. Chrisene7.014B. Chrisene
Jacob Wright5.816J. Wright
P. Mattsson6.47P. Mattsson
A. Brooks6.511A. Brooks
A. Ben Slimane6.820A. Ben Slimane
O. Schwartau5.929O. Schwartau
J. Makama6.424J. Makama
N. Schmid6.71N. Schmid
Z. Swanson6.822Z. Swanson
R. Poole7.45R. Poole
M. Dia7.355M. Dia
J. Meghoma7.016J. Meghoma
M. Pack7.17M. Pack
I. Mohamed7.237I. Mohamed
A. Kamara6.411A. Kamara
A. Segecic6.510A. Segecic
R. Kavuma McQueen6.125R. Kavuma McQueen
M. Milovanović6.929M. Milovanović

Norwich Substitutes

40C. Ansen
6H. Darling
26S. Field
35K. Fisher
30M. Kvistgaarden73'for Oscar Schwartau90'6.2
25P. Maghoma57'for Anis Ben Slimane6.5
12L. Mahovo57'for Andre Brooks6.2
13D. Yongwa45'for Benjamin Chrisene90+3'5.6
46E. Mundle-Smith

Portsmouth Substitutes

31D. Bielica
9C. Bishop
24T. Devlin80'for Marlon Pack6.6
32E. Kenny
30B. Killip
17T. Shade71'for Marko Milovanović6.5
19R. Shein
27O. Bailey70'for Ryan Kavuma-McQueen6.8
38E. Adams60'for Iyad Mohamed7.1

Match Stats

NorwichPortsmouth
55%Ball Possession45%
1Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
3Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots5
13Fouls13
4Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves2
403Total Passes414
293Passes Accurate310
13Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

NorwichNorwich
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1633Elo Rating 1612
0.69Attack 1.36
0.75Defense 1.89
0%Hit Rate 42%
9.7Shots per Game 14.6
3.1Shots on Target 3.4
2.9Corners per Game 4.6
1.6Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

NorwichNorwich
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PortsmouthPortsmouth
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

NorwichNorwich1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
PortsmouthPortsmouth2Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Championship03/04/2026
NorwichPortsmouth
11
Championship16/08/2025
PortsmouthNorwich
12
Championship18/04/2025
NorwichPortsmouth
35
Championship10/12/2024
PortsmouthNorwich
00
FA Cup05/01/2019
NorwichPortsmouth
01

Recent Form

NorwichNorwich
4W0D6L
14/10/2026
NorwichSouthampton
01
L
10/10/2026
SwanseaNorwich
21
L
20/09/2026
NorwichBolton
34
L
17/09/2026
Manchester CityNorwich
50
L
12/09/2026
MiddlesbroughNorwich
43
L
09/09/2026
NorwichBirmingham
21
W
05/09/2026
Sheffield UtdNorwich
13
W
01/09/2026
Stoke CityNorwich
10
L
29/08/2026
NorwichBurnley
41
W
25/08/2026
CardiffNorwich
12
W
PortsmouthPortsmouth
3W2D5L
14/10/2026
PortsmouthSheffield Utd
32
W
11/10/2026
SouthamptonPortsmouth
10
L
19/09/2026
PortsmouthBlackburn
22
D
12/09/2026
CharltonPortsmouth
00
D
05/09/2026
PortsmouthCardiff
20
W
01/09/2026
PortsmouthDerby
02
L
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
L
22/08/2026
LincolnPortsmouth
13
W
15/08/2026
PortsmouthQPR
13
L
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
L

Referee Profile

Gavin Ward201 matches

3.78Cards per match
3.66Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gavin Ward3.78
Other referees3.80

3.78 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).

Cards come from 196 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1172216:8+823LWWWW
3West HamWest Ham1164130:12+1822WWDDW
4BirminghamBirmingham1155120:11+920WWWDW
5West BromWest Brom1162315:12+320WWLLD
6Stoke CityStoke City1161418:16+219WLWWW
7WolvesWolves1153319:16+318DWLLW
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
9SouthamptonSouthampton1163221:10+1117DWWLW
10QPRQPR1145215:12+317LWDDD
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
12BlackburnBlackburn1143417:16+115LWWDW
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14WrexhamWrexham1135315:16-114WLDWL
15Bristol CityBristol City1142512:15-314LLDWL
16BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
17CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
18NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
19LincolnLincoln113359:19-1012DLLLW
20CardiffCardiff1125418:17+111DWLWL
21WatfordWatford1132610:19-911WLLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1115516:21-58LDWDL
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston111199:24-154LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1116:823
3West HamWest Ham1130:1222
4BirminghamBirmingham1120:1120
5West BromWest Brom1115:1220
6Stoke CityStoke City1118:1619
7WolvesWolves1119:1618
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
9SouthamptonSouthampton1121:1017
10QPRQPR1115:1217
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
12BlackburnBlackburn1117:1615
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14WrexhamWrexham1115:1614
15Bristol CityBristol City1112:1514
16BoltonBolton1216:2314
17CharltonCharlton1211:1814
18NorwichNorwich1220:2212
19LincolnLincoln119:1912
20CardiffCardiff1118:1711
21WatfordWatford1110:1911
22BurnleyBurnley1116:218
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston119:244
PromotionRelegation

About the Norwich vs Portsmouth forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Norwich and Portsmouth in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Portsmouth are 8th and Norwich 18th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Norwich 20-22, Portsmouth 16-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.