Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas Prediction

Estadio Palogrande, Manizales·Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono, Colombia 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Once Caldas Rest
5 days
Águilas Doradas Rest
5 days

Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas: result, form and history

Once Caldas beat Águilas Doradas 1-0 in the Primera A on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono averages 6.27 cards a game, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.95
X
26%3.39
2
26%3.85
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
52%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.78
No
48%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.83 = 2.40
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
49%1.92
Over 3.5
28%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.40
Under 2.5
51%1.85
Under 3.5
72%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.5 = 9.1
Over 8.5
54%1.52
Over 9.5
42%1.93
Over 10.5
31%2.50
Under 8.5
46%2.29
Under 9.5
58%1.79
Under 10.5
69%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

32'A. Higgins
49'J. Garcia
51'P. Gomez(Penalty missed)
58'J. Roa
63'P. Gomez
65'J. Nieto IND. Moreno out
74'J. Roa INJ. E. Avalo Trejos out
74'M. Ramirez INE. Arizalas out
79'P. Gomez INJ. Beltran out
79'A. Vasquez INA. Carreno out
80'A. Ricaurte INJ. Melendez out
82'H. Guzman INE. Torres out
90+4'D. Moreno
90+5'D. Moreno
90+8'A. Mosquera
90+8'J. Parra
90+8'

Lineups

Once Caldas
4-2-3-1
Águilas Doradas
4-4-2
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.65
Felipe Parra6.999F. Parra
Juan Castaño7.916J. Castaño
Jorge Cardona7.02J. Cardona
Daniel Londoño6.630D. Londoño
Juan Patiño6.533J. Patiño
Juan Pablo Nieto6.75J. Pablo Nieto
Andres ColoradoC7.223A. Colorado
Helieyker Guzman7.221H. Guzman
Jader Quinones6.942J. Quinones
Pipe Gómez6.79P. Gómez
Jefry Zapata6.914J. Zapata
Jorge Soto8.01J. Soto
Frank LozanoC6.519F. Lozano
Andrés Mosquera7.34A. Mosquera
John García5.92J. García
John Ontaneda6.93J. Ontaneda
Matías Ramírez6.316M. Ramírez
Juan Camilo Roa6.925J. Camilo Roa
Iván Rojas6.96I. Rojas
Javier Mena5.932J. Mena
Anthony Vásquez6.39A. Vásquez
Andrés Ricaurte6.68A. Ricaurte

Once Caldas Substitutes

17Dayro Moreno65'for J. Nieto90+4'90+5'8.2
12Jesús Camargo
4Efraín Navarro
18Jeider Riquett
3Andres Correa
29Edwin Torres82'for H. Guzman6.5
19Tomas García
36Rafael Acuna
31Jorman Beltran79'for P. Gomez7.0

Águilas Doradas Substitutes

12Juan Hurtado
28Sebastián Rodríguez
30Nicolás Lara
13Jhon Meléndez80'for A. Ricaurte6.2
20Alberto Higgins32'
24Juan Ávalo74'for J. Roa6.2
7Eduar Arízalas74'for M. Ramirez7.2
18Andrés Carreño79'for A. Vasquez6.6

Match Stats

Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box4
10Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
11Fouls16
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves6
331Total Passes314
270Passes Accurate255
82%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
1634Elo Rating 1578
1.41Attack 1.20
2.64Defense 2.50
64%Hit Rate 66%
20.7Shots per Game 10.7
7.6Shots on Target 3.4
7.0Corners per Game 4.1
3.0Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Once CaldasOnce Caldas3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas4Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A26/04/2026
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
22
Primera A09/08/2025
Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas
11
Primera A23/02/2025
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
01
Primera A21/07/2024
Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas
10
Primera A26/01/2024
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
10
Primera A05/08/2023
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
21
Primera A13/02/2023
Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas
12
Primera A19/07/2022
Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas
20
Primera A29/01/2022
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
11
Primera A11/09/2021
Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas
23

Referee Profile

Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono182 matches

6.27Cards per match
5.83Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono6.27
Other referees5.62

6.27 cards a match, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.62).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Once Caldas and Águilas Doradas in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Águilas Doradas 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Once Caldas 31-22, Águilas Doradas 20-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.