Junior vs Águilas Doradas Prediction

Junior
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Águilas Doradas
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez, Barranquilla·Steven Camargo, Colombia 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Junior Rest
5 days
Águilas Doradas Rest
5 days

Junior vs Águilas Doradas: the result in context

Junior beat Águilas Doradas 1-0 in the Primera A on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Águilas Doradas had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Junior.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Referee Steven Camargo averages 6.85 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.98
X
26%3.37
2
24%3.73
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
50%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.1 = 2.61
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
52%1.93
Over 3.5
30%3.25
Under 1.5
25%3.40
Under 2.5
48%1.81
Under 3.5
70%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.47
Over 9.5
53%1.84
Over 10.5
41%2.31
Under 8.5
36%2.44
Under 9.5
47%1.88
Under 10.5
59%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.8 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
64%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
36%-

Match Events

28'D. Socarras
30'J. Pena
35'S. Rodriguez
45'D. Caicedo
46'S. Rodriguez INA. Carreno out
46'M. Ramirez INE. Arizalas out
61'L. Muriel ING. Paiva out
61'F. S. Angel Bernal INJ. Rivas out
70'I. Rojas INJ. Roa out
70'N. Lara Vasquez INJ. Garcia out
70'G. Celis
71'D. Caicedo INJ. Canchimbo out
71'C. Barrios INB. Castrillon out
84'A. Carreno
85'A. Ricaurte INJ. E. Avalo Trejos out
86'Y. Chara INH. Rivera out

Lineups

Junior
4-1-4-1
Águilas Doradas
4-4-2
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.69
Mauro Silveira6.31M. Silveira
Daniel Socarras6.934D. Socarras
Jermein Peña7.598J. Peña
Daniel Rivera6.65D. Rivera
Yeison Suárez6.726Y. Suárez
Fabián Ángel6.980F. Ángel
Cristian Barrios6.677C. Barrios
Yimmi CharáC7.08Y. Chará
Guillermo Celis6.728G. Celis
Déiber Caicedo7.525D. Caicedo
Luis Muriel6.310L. Muriel
Jorge Soto7.31J. Soto
Dylan Lozano6.026D. Lozano
Andrés Mosquera6.94A. Mosquera
Sebastián Rodríguez6.528S. Rodríguez
Nicolás Lara7.030N. Lara
Matías Ramírez6.216M. Ramírez
Frank LozanoC6.919F. Lozano
Iván Rojas6.66I. Rojas
Javier Mena6.732J. Mena
Andrés Ricaurte7.08A. Ricaurte
Anthony Vásquez6.69A. Vásquez

Junior Substitutes

30Jefersson Martínez
23Pablo Ortíz
38Andrés Schmalbach
18Kevin Pérez
7Harold Rivera86'for Y. Chara
22Jesús Rivas61'for F. S. Angel Bernal6.7
88Bryan Castrillón71'for C. Barrios6.7
9Guillermo Paiva61'for L. Muriel6.3
21Joel Canchimbo71'for D. Caicedo6.7

Águilas Doradas Substitutes

7Eduar Arízalas46'for M. Ramirez6.6
18Andrés Carreño46'for S. Rodriguez84'7.0
12Juan Hurtado
2John García70'for N. Lara Vasquez6.3
20Alberto Higgins
25Juan Camilo Roa70'for I. Rojas6.7
24Juan Ávalo85'for A. Ricaurte
27Carlos Londoño
29Tomás Blandón

Match Stats

JuniorÁguilas Doradas
35%Ball Possession65%
4Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
15Fouls11
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
243Total Passes450
185Passes Accurate370
76%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

JuniorJunior
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
1581Elo Rating 1544
0.94Attack 1.27
2.05Defense 1.98
27%Hit Rate 37%
13.8Shots per Game 11.7
3.9Shots on Target 3.3
5.0Corners per Game 5.5
2.8Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuniorJunior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

JuniorJunior4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A11/04/2026
Águilas DoradasJunior
03
Primera A19/07/2025
Águilas DoradasJunior
23
Primera A02/02/2025
JuniorÁguilas Doradas
22
Primera A23/09/2024
JuniorÁguilas Doradas
34
Primera A09/03/2024
Águilas DoradasJunior
02
Primera A30/11/2023
Águilas DoradasJunior
11
Primera A26/11/2023
JuniorÁguilas Doradas
31
Primera A16/07/2023
JuniorÁguilas Doradas
01
Primera A25/01/2023
Águilas DoradasJunior
11
Primera A31/07/2022
Águilas DoradasJunior
11

Referee Profile

Steven Camargo67 matches

6.85Cards per match
6.56Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Steven Camargo6.85
Other referees5.87

6.85 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.87).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Junior vs Águilas Doradas forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Junior and Águilas Doradas in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Junior are 2nd and Águilas Doradas 12th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Junior 31-24, Águilas Doradas 20-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.