Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction

Estadio Palogrande, Manizales·Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa, Colombia 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Once Caldas Rest
3 days
Deportivo Pereira Rest
4 days

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira: result, form and history

Once Caldas and Deportivo Pereira drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa averages 6.94 cards a game, 0.83 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.33
X
19%4.80
2
11%8.43
Double Chance
1X
89%1.06
X2
30%3.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.98
No
52%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 0.75 = 2.59
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.67
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.11
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.52
Over 9.5
46%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.45
Under 8.5
42%2.28
Under 9.5
54%1.78
Under 10.5
66%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
56%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
44%-

Match Events

46'J. Quinones IND. Moreno out
48'A. ColoradoFoul
57'E. Moreno INJ. A. Bermudez Correa out
57'M. Perez INM. Diaz out
60'S. UrreaFoul
65'A. Plata INY. Quinones out
69'J. A. Bermudez CorreaFoul
72'J. CardonaFoul
73'P. Gomez INE. Torres out
81'E. TorresAssist: M. Barrios
83'J. A. Zapata RamirezUnsportsmanlike conduct
83'J. A. Zapata Ramirez INJ. Alvarado out
85'J. PatinoUnsportsmanlike conduct
85'Y. QuinonesUnsportsmanlike conduct
90'J. Largacha IND. Ortiz out
90'Y. QuinonesAssist: J. A. Bermudez Correa
90+2'M. ZuletaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Once Caldas
4-2-3-1
Deportivo Pereira
4-4-2
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.79
Felipe Parra7.299F. Parra
Juan David Cuesta7.022J. David Cuesta
Jorge Cardona6.32J. Cardona
Daniel Londoño6.930D. Londoño
Juan Patiño7.033J. Patiño
Andres ColoradoC6.623A. Colorado
Juan Pablo Nieto7.25J. Pablo Nieto
Michael Barrios7.57M. Barrios
Jader Quinones6.642J. Quinones
Pipe Gómez7.29P. Gómez
Jefry Zapata7.014J. Zapata
Yimy Gómez7.91Y. Gómez
Jordy Monroy6.320J. Monroy
Sebastián Urrea7.02S. Urrea
Santiago Aguilar6.615S. Aguilar
Fabio Delgado7.525F. Delgado
Anderson Plata6.97A. Plata
Ederson Moreno6.914E. Moreno
Walmer PachecoC7.321W. Pacheco
Miguel Palacios6.624M. Palacios
Marco Pérez6.718M. Pérez
Jhon Largacha6.711J. Largacha

Once Caldas Substitutes

12Jesús Camargo
18Jeider Riquett
16Juan Castaño
15Jaime Alvarado83'for J. A. Zapata Ramirez
29Edwin Torres73'for P. Gomez81'7.5
28Mateo Zuleta90+2'
19Tomas García
17Dayro Moreno46'for J. Quinones6.7
21Helieyker Guzman

Deportivo Pereira Substitutes

33Samuel Atehortua
34Santiago Álzate
23Tobias Bovone
16Eber Moreno
6Danilo Ortiz90'for J. Largacha
13Yuber Quiñones65'for A. Plata85'90'6.3
5Jorge Bermúdez57'for E. Moreno69'6.2
29Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez57'for M. Perez6.2
8Felipe Mosquera

Match Stats

Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
63%Ball Possession37%
12Corner Kicks0
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
27Total Shots7
12Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box3
14Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
6Fouls6
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves11
535Total Passes320
488Passes Accurate270
91%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
1611Elo Rating 1431
1.23Attack 0.91
2.14Defense 1.83
42%Hit Rate 27%
14.2Shots per Game 7.8
5.5Shots on Target 2.3
4.6Corners per Game 2.8
2.1Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+180 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Once CaldasOnce Caldas5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira2Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A10/04/2026
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas
00
Primera A06/09/2025
Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
10
Primera A03/08/2025
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas
21
Primera A23/03/2025
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas
11
Primera A20/02/2025
Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
31
Primera A04/09/2024
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas
01
Primera A23/02/2024
Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
12
Primera A10/09/2023
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas
12
Primera A13/08/2023
Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
10
Primera A25/03/2023
Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
11

Referee Profile

Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa31 matches

6.94Cards per match
6.19Yellow cards per match
0.74Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa6.94
Other referees6.11

6.94 cards a match, 0.83 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.11).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Once Caldas and Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Deportivo Pereira 20th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Once Caldas 31-22, Deportivo Pereira 15-32. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.