Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar Prediction

Estadio Palogrande, Manizales 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Once Caldas Rest
4 days
Alianza Valledupar Rest
6 days

Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar: the result in context

Once Caldas beat Alianza Valledupar 1-0 in the Copa Colombia on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Once Caldas tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.4 for Alianza Valledupar.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.36
X
18%4.10
2
10%7.90
Double Chance
1X
90%1.07
X2
28%2.71
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'A. Roa
43'J. Alvarado
45'
64'J. A. Zapata Ramirez IND. Moreno out
64'A. Colorado INJ. Quinones out
72'J. E. Perez Balcazar INC. Villegas out
72'J. Viveros INH. Rada out
74'M. Barrios INE. Torres out
77'A. Roa INJ. Beltran out
83'D. Moreno(Penalty missed)
84'

Team Comparison

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
1634Elo Rating 1474
1.41Attack 0.91
2.64Defense 1.95
64%Hit Rate 36%
20.7Shots per Game 10.2
7.6Shots on Target 3.0
7.0Corners per Game 3.4
3.0Cards per Game 3.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+160 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Once CaldasOnce Caldas1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar5Wins · 50%
1.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A08/02/2026
Alianza ValleduparOnce Caldas
11
Primera A15/08/2025
Alianza ValleduparOnce Caldas
00
Primera A02/03/2025
Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar
12
Primera A06/10/2024
Alianza ValleduparOnce Caldas
10
Primera A25/03/2024
Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar
10
Primera A27/09/2023
Alianza ValleduparOnce Caldas
21
Primera A19/04/2023
Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar
12
Primera A24/10/2022
Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar
11
Primera A09/05/2022
Alianza ValleduparOnce Caldas
20
Primera A25/09/2021
Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar
11

Recent Form

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
2W2D6L
03/09/2026
America de CaliAlianza Valledupar
30
L
30/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional
15
L
26/08/2026
CucutaAlianza Valledupar
10
L
22/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparDeportivo Pereira
00
D
09/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
23
L
01/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima
12
L
27/07/2026
Alianza ValleduparFortaleza FC
11
D
24/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
21
W
21/05/2026
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar
10
L
16/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparReal Santander
30
W

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Santa Fe29
Fortaleza FC28
On penalties
Santa Fe29
Fortaleza FC28
On penalties

League Table

Copa Colombia 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali440010:2+812WWWW
2Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar42116:3+37WLWD
3PopayanPopayan42118:807WLWD
4BucaramangaBucaramanga41038:7+13LLLW
5Real SantanderReal Santander40041:13-120LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali410:212
2Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar46:37
3PopayanPopayan48:87
4BucaramangaBucaramanga48:73
5Real SantanderReal Santander41:130

About the Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Colombia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About Copa Colombia

More Copa Colombia fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Colombia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.