Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction
Colombia · Quarter-finals
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: the result in context
Atletico Nacional beat Independiente Medellin 3-2 in the Copa Colombia on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Atletico Nacional
Independiente MedellinAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Independiente Medellin- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Nacional4Wins · 40%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
12/04/2026Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional18/12/2025Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional13/12/2025Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin05/12/2025Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin23/11/2025Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional27/10/2025Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin08/09/2025Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional04/05/2025Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional23/03/2025Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin18/11/2024Independiente MedellinAtletico NacionalRecent Form
Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional
Chapecoense-scAtletico Nacional
Millonarios
LlanerosAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
Alianza ValleduparAtletico NacionalAtletico NacionalDeportivo CaliIndependiente Medellin
America de CaliIndependiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Santa FeIndependiente MedellinMillonariosJuniorIndependiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
Jaguares
BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin
ChicoIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PereiraIndependiente MedellinIndependiente MedellinLlanerosBracket
Santa Fe29
Fortaleza FC28Santa Fe-
Once Caldas-
Barranquilla0America de Cali4Santa Fe-Once Caldas-Barranquilla0America de Cali4League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 | WDDW |
| 2 | Fortaleza FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 5 | DDLW |
| 3 |  Leones FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 | DDWL |
| 4 |  Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 5 |  Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | DDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza FC | 4 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Leones FC | 4 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 4 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 3:5 | 3 |
Explore more predictions
This match
- Atletico Nacional Predictions
- Independiente Medellin Predictions
- Copa Colombia Predictions
- Copa Colombia Standings
- Copa Colombia Stats 2026
- Copa Colombia Knockout Rounds
- Copa Colombia Winners and Finals History
- Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: Head-to-Head Record
- Football Rivalries and Head-to-Head Records
More Copa Colombia matches
- Internacional de Bogota vs Internacional Palmira 22/07/26
- Quindio vs Deportes Tolima 29/07/26
- Internacional Palmira vs Internacional de Bogota 30/07/26
- Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena 06/08/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali 08/09/26
- Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar 10/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Llaneros 16/10/26
About the Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin forecast
As a derby, this Copa Colombia meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa Colombia
More Copa Colombia fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Colombia Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.1 out of 10 by our context model. Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.