Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr Prediction

Pakhtakor
2-6
Finished
HT 1-3
Al-Nassr
Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium, Tashkent·Alexander King 02/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Pakhtakor Rest
3 days
Al-Nassr Rest
3 days

Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr: result, form and history

Al-Nassr beat Pakhtakor 6-2 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 2 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al-Nassr had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Pakhtakor.

Pakhtakor tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 5.8 for Al-Nassr.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%6.17
X
28%4.29
2
61%1.46
Double Chance
1X
39%2.50
X2
89%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.75
No
49%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 1.42 = 2.44
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.63
Over 3.5
34%2.50
Under 1.5
23%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.19
Under 3.5
66%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Abdullah Al-HamdanAssist: Joao Felix
17'Joao Felix
26'Goal cancelledAkmal Mozgovoy
32'Joao FelixAssist: Sadio Mané
32'Mukhammad-Bobur KarimovDissent
36'Flamarion Jovino FilhoAssist: Sherzod Nasrullaev
45'Ayman Yahya INAbdulrahman Ghareeb out
53'Abdulelah Al-AmriAssist: Joao Felix
57'Sherzod NasrullaevFoul
60'Sardor Sabirkhodjaev INIbrokhim Ibrokhimov out
60'Bashar Resan INDostonbek Khamdamov out
62'Abdulrahman GhareebAssist: Sadio Mané
68'Joao Felix INAbdullah Al-Khaibari out
68'Nawaf Boushal INRakan Al Ghamdi out
71'Stephen Chinedu INAymen Hussein out
71'Abdurauf Buriev INOybek Bozorov out
75'Dostonbek Khamdamov
76'Sadio Mané INSami Al-Najei out
79'Angelo BorgesAssist: Abdullah Al-Hamdan
87'Abdullah Al-Hamdan INAbdulrahman Sufyani out
90+1'Flamarion Jovino Filho INQuvanishbek Saydaliyev out

Lineups

Pakhtakor
4-2-3-1Coach: Kamoliddin Tadzhiev
Al-Nassr
4-4-1-1Coach: A. Postecoglou
Avg rating6.04
Avg rating6.98
V. Nazarov5.812V. Nazarov
2222M. Karimov
M. Abdumajidov5.055M. Abdumajidov
Zayed Tahseen5.64Z. Tahseen
S. Nasrullayev6.434S. Nasrullayev
Abdurauf Bo'riyev6.423A. Bo'riyev
S. Sobirkho'jaev6.227S. Sobirkho'jaev
Flamarion7.150Flamarion
A. Mozgovoy5.910A. Mozgovoy
B. Resan6.021B. Resan
S. Chinedu6.390S. Chinedu
Bento6.124Bento
Nawaf Boushal6.612N. Boushal
Abdulelah Al Amri7.65A. Al Amri
Íñigo Martínez6.726Í. Martínez
Awad Aman6.270A. Aman
Ayman Yahya5.923A. Yahya
Ângelo7.520Ângelo
Samú Costa6.411S. Costa
S. Mané7.710S. Mané
João Félix9.479J. Félix
Abdullah Al Hamdan8.89A. Al Hamdan

Pakhtakor Substitutes

20D. Abdullayev
77O. Bozorov71'for Abdurauf Buriev5.8
29Aymen Hussein71'for Stephen Chinedu6.6
9I. Ibragimov60'for Sardor Sabirkhodjaev5.7
17D. Khamdamov60'for Bashar Resan75'6.7
35S. Kuvvatov
8D. Saitov
33Kuvanishbek Saydaliev90+1'for Flamarion Jovino Filho
18Abubakir Shukurullaev
26D Tulaganov
44D. Ermanov
13M. Dilshodbekov

Al-Nassr Substitutes

8Hayder Abdulkareem
94A. Sufyani87'for Abdullah Al-Hamdan6.5
29Abdulrahman Ghareeb45'for Ayman Yahya62'7.6
6Saad Al Nasser
14Sami Al Naji76'for Sadio Mané6.0
83Salem Al Najdi
17Abdullah Al Khaibari68'for Joao Felix6.1
56R. Al Ghamdi68'for Nawaf Boushal6.6
22Abdulhadi Al Alwan
53A. Al Otaibi
50Majed Qasheesh

Match Stats

PakhtakorAl-Nassr
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal8
7Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots1
6Fouls6
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
434Total Passes444
358Passes Accurate365
6Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

PakhtakorPakhtakor
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
1666Elo Rating 1870
0.77Attack 3.15
1.88Defense 1.80
27%Hit Rate 100%
15.3Shots per Game 15.0
2.1Shots on Target 5.6
8.1Corners per Game 5.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.4 in first half)

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al AinAl Ain330010:2+89WWW
2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiShabab Al Ahli Dubai33005:1+49WWW
3Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah32106:3+37WWD
4Al-NassrAl-Nassr32019:7+26WWL
5Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC32015:3+26LWW
6Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC32015:4+16LWW
7Al ShamalAl Shamal31204:2+25WDD
8Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC31204:3+15DDW
9Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC31114:404WLD
10NeftchiNeftchi31023:5-23LLW
11Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya31022:5-33WLL
12PakhtakorPakhtakor40224:9-52LLDD
13Tractor SaziTractor Sazi30121:3-21LDL
14Al SaddAl Sadd30121:6-51DLL
15Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa30033:6-30LLL
16Al-Wasl FCAl-Wasl FC20022:5-30LL

About the Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pakhtakor and Al-Nassr in the AFC Champions League Elite table

In the AFC Champions League Elite table, Al-Nassr are 4th and Pakhtakor 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Pakhtakor 4-9, Al-Nassr 9-7. The full standings are on the AFC Champions League Elite Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Nassr have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Pakhtakor and Al-Nassr have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.