Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Panathinaikos
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
CSKA Sofia
Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium, Athens·Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden 05/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.32
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+2.3%
Panathinaikos Rest
4 days
CSKA Sofia Rest
5 days

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: result, form and history

Panathinaikos beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 5 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Panathinaikos had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for CSKA Sofia.

Referee Mohammed Al-Hakim averages 3.23 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.32
X
18%5.38
2
10%8.45
Double Chance
1X
90%1.08
X2
28%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.81
No
50%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.93 + 0.96 = 2.89
Over 1.5
80%1.16
Over 2.5
59%1.55
Over 3.5
38%2.39
Under 1.5
20%4.85
Under 2.5
41%2.39
Under 3.5
62%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.52
Over 9.5
43%1.90
Over 10.5
33%2.46
Under 8.5
45%2.35
Under 9.5
57%1.83
Under 10.5
67%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%1.45
Over 4.5
45%1.91
Under 3.5
36%2.62
Under 4.5
55%1.87

Match Events

41'D. CalabriaAssist: V. Taborda
44'D. AlmeidaAssist: S. Sensi
45'R. Van DrongelenUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'I. Pittas INM. Ebong out
46'I. Solet INB. Jordao out
53'I. LouzaRoughing
55'Pastor INT. Ouorou out
64'E. Rastoder INA. Tetteh out
65'I. Louza INE. Camara out
68'V. TabordaAssist: A. Tetteh
70'S. Sensi INM. Brahimi out
76'L. Garcia INC. Dessers out
78'E. CamaraTripping
80'A. Yordanov INJ. Zwarts out
81'S. AndinoFoul
85'S. Andino INA. Jagusic out

Lineups

Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1
CSKA Sofia
4-1-4-1
Avg rating7.21
Avg rating6.86
Iñaki Peña7.31I. Peña
Davide Calabria8.92D. Calabria
Stefan de VrijC6.96S. de Vrij
Rick Van Drongelen7.255R. Van Drongelen
Georgios Kyriakopoulos8.077G. Kyriakopoulos
Imrân Louza7.326I. Louza
Kings Kangwa7.542K. Kangwa
Vicente Taborda7.620V. Taborda
Levi García7.399L. García
Santino Andino6.910S. Andino
Elmin Rastoder6.774E. Rastoder
Fedor Lapoukhov8.621F. Lapoukhov
Pastor6.72Pastor
Teodor IvanovC6.914T. Ivanov
Dinis Almeida7.94D. Almeida
Ángelo Martino7.017Á. Martino
Jean-Philippe Gbamin6.95J. Gbamin
Ioannis Pittas6.328I. Pittas
Isaac Solet6.594I. Solet
Stefano Sensi6.78S. Sensi
Andrey Yordanov6.919A. Yordanov
Leandro Godoy6.39L. Godoy

Panathinaikos Substitutes

71Christos Gitonas
70Konstantinos Kotsaris
3Georgios Katris
14Erik Palmer Brown
19Triantafyllos Tsapras
4Pedro Chirivella
8Adriano Jagušić85'for S. Andino
18Sotiris Kontouris
22Etienne Camara65'for I. Louza78'6.3
28Facundo Pellistri
7Andreas Tetteh64'for E. Rastoder6.9
9Cyriel Dessers76'for L. Garcia6.2

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

7Max Ebong46'for I. Pittas6.9
6Bruno Jordão46'for I. Solet6.2
3Tamimou Ouorou55'for Pastor6.9
25Dimitar Evtimov
91Aleks Tunchev
32Facundo Rodríguez
99James Eto'o
67Cătălin Itu
34Vasil Kaymakanov
30Petko Panayotov
11Mohamed Amine Brahimi70'for S. Sensi6.2
10Joël Zwarts80'for A. Yordanov

Match Stats

PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia
63%Ball Possession37%
12Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots9
12Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal3
18Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
12Fouls16
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves10
539Total Passes328
442Passes Accurate236
82%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1831Elo Rating 1688
2.26Attack 1.27
2.39Defense 2.13
100%Hit Rate 34%
18.9Shots per Game 18.9
7.2Shots on Target 7.7
8.0Corners per Game 6.2
2.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+142 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Mohammed Al-Hakim223 matches

3.23Cards per match
3.12Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mohammed Al-Hakim3.23
Other referees3.94

3.23 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 192 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano330011:4+79WWW
2PanathinaikosPanathinaikos33009:3+69WWW
3TwenteTwente33008:2+69WWW
4MonacoMonaco33007:1+69WWW
5BrightonBrighton32105:0+57WDW
6BrannBrann32107:3+47DWW
7FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen32107:3+47WDW
8Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova32106:2+47WWD
9Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF32105:1+47WDW
10St. TruidenSt. Truiden32104:1+37DWW
11AjaxAjax32019:3+66WWL
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor32016:3+36LWW
13HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split32013:2+16LWW
14SC FreiburgSC Freiburg32014:5-16WLW
15FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda31116:604WDL
16AtalantaAtalanta31114:404DLW
17SC BragaSC Braga31112:3-14DWL
18GentGent31111:2-14DLW
19RigaRiga30303:303DDD
20FC ThunFC Thun31023:303WLL
21Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka31023:4-13LWL
22Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC31023:6-33WLL
23FK JablonecFK Jablonec30213:4-12DDL
24AarhusAarhus30211:2-12DDL
25FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland30213:5-22LDD
26Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë30212:4-22LDD
27Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30213:7-42DLD
28CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia30124:6-21LDL
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199930122:5-31LDL
30PafosPafos30123:7-41LDL
31GetafeGetafe30123:7-41LLD
32Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian30122:6-41LLD
33KuPSKuPS30122:6-41DLL
34FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland30122:8-61LLD
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes30032:7-50LLL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris30031:11-100LLL
Conference League

About the Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League table

In the UEFA Europa Conference League table, Panathinaikos are 2nd and CSKA Sofia 28th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Panathinaikos 9-3, CSKA Sofia 4-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Panathinaikos have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Panathinaikos and CSKA Sofia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.