CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Prediction

CSKA Sofia
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Monaco
Vasil Levski National Sports Academy, Sofia·Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal 15/10/2026
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1-2
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel72%SurpriseHighGap-6.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseHighGap+2.6%
CSKA Sofia Rest
3 days
Monaco Rest
4 days

CSKA Sofia vs Monaco: result, form and history

Monaco beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

CSKA Sofia tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 3.4 for Monaco.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
10%6.00
X
24%4.58
2
66%1.50
Double Chance
1X
34%2.56
X2
89%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.7 = 2.80
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.75
Under 2.5
42%2.33
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.7 = 8.7
Over 8.5
59%1.50
Over 9.5
43%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.38
Under 8.5
41%2.40
Under 9.5
57%1.85
Under 10.5
67%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.62
Over 4.5
39%2.20
Under 3.5
42%2.22
Under 4.5
61%1.62

Match Events

3'P. BrunnerAssist: S. Idumbo
43'A. FatiAssist: P. Brunner
51'S. SensiRoughing
59'T. Minamino INA. Golovin out
59'L. Camara IND. Zakaria out
59'M. Salisu INNazinho out
64'S. Idumbo INM. Abline out
69'M. EbongTripping
73'L. Godoy INJ. Zwarts out
73'Leo Pereira INC. Itu out
76'J. ZwartsAssist: S. Sensi
77'A. Fati INA. Soubeir out
78'E. DiopTripping
85'D. Almeida INT. Ivanov out
85'M. Ebong INJ. Eto'o out
85'I. Pittas INI. Solet out
90+6'A. Martino

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
4-1-4-1
Monaco
4-4-2
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.97
Fedor Lapoukhov6.221F. Lapoukhov
Pastor6.32Pastor
Dinis Almeida6.04D. Almeida
Facundo Rodríguez6.232F. Rodríguez
Ángelo Martino6.317Á. Martino
Bruno JordãoC7.56B. Jordão
Ioannis Pittas6.028I. Pittas
Max Ebong6.77M. Ebong
Stefano Sensi6.78S. Sensi
Léo Pereira6.738L. Pereira
Leandro Godoy6.59L. Godoy
Lukáš HrádeckýC6.91L. Hrádecký
Jordan Teze7.24J. Teze
Sadibou Sané6.972S. Sané
Mohammed Salisu7.222M. Salisu
Christian Mawissa7.313C. Mawissa
Takumi Minamino6.918T. Minamino
Lamine Camara6.78L. Camara
Edan Diop7.337E. Diop
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo6.617S. Idumbo Muzambo
Paris Brunner7.629P. Brunner
Ansu Fati8.231A. Fati

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

67Cătălin Itu73'for Leo Pereira6.6
10Joël Zwarts73'for L. Godoy76'7.5
25Dimitar Evtimov
31Daniel Nikolov
14Teodor Ivanov85'for D. Almeida
19Andrey Yordanov
91Aleks Tunchev
30Petko Panayotov
34Vasil Kaymakanov
94Isaac Solet85'for I. Pittas
99James Eto'o85'for M. Ebong

Monaco Substitutes

20Nazinho59'for M. Salisu6.5
6Denis Zakaria59'for L. Camara6.7
10Aleksandr Golovin59'for T. Minamino6.3
11Matthis Abline64'for S. Idumbo6.7
16Philipp Köhn
2Vanderson
7Mathys Detourbet
19Pape Cabral
28Mamadou Coulibaly
46Anis Soubeir77'for A. Fati6.5
49Ilane Touré
14Mika Biereth

Match Stats

CSKA SofiaMonaco
50%Ball Possession50%
12Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots3
13Fouls12
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
425Total Passes454
346Passes Accurate394
81%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
MonacoMonaco
1684Elo Rating 1864
1.80Attack 1.32
1.99Defense 1.81
61%Hit Rate 39%
17.2Shots per Game 12.6
5.9Shots on Target 4.4
7.8Corners per Game 3.4
2.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
MonacoMonaco
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves49 matches

5.56Cards per match
5.14Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves5.56
Other referees5.17

5.56 cards a match, 0.39 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos22007:2+56WW
2FC LuganoFC Lugano22008:4+46WW
3BrannBrann22006:2+46WW
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor22006:2+46WW
5TwenteTwente22005:1+46WW
6MonacoMonaco22005:1+46WW
7St. TruidenSt. Truiden22003:0+36WW
8HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split22003:1+26WW
9BrightonBrighton21104:0+44DW
10FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen21105:2+34DW
11Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova21104:2+24WD
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF21103:1+24DW
13AjaxAjax21013:2+13WL
14Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka21013:2+13WL
15AtalantaAtalanta21013:303LW
16SC BragaSC Braga21012:3-13WL
17GentGent21011:2-13LW
18SC FreiburgSC Freiburg21013:5-23LW
19FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland20203:302DD
20Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë20202:202DD
21RigaRiga20202:202DD
22FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda20114:5-11DL
23CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia20113:4-11DL
24FK JablonecFK Jablonec20112:3-11DL
25FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland20111:2-11LD
26AarhusAarhus20111:2-11DL
27PafosPafos20112:4-21DL
28Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian20111:3-21LD
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199920111:3-21DL
30GetafeGetafe20113:6-31LD
31Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty20112:6-41LD
32FC ThunFC Thun20020:2-20LL
33Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC20022:6-40LL
34KuPSKuPS20022:6-40LL
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes20021:5-40LL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris20021:8-70LL
Conference League

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded

About the CSKA Sofia vs Monaco forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monaco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA Sofia and Monaco have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.