Parma vs Catania Prediction

Parma
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Catania
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma 14/08/2026
ParmaParma
2-0
Finished
CataniaCatania

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalNEUTRALModel45%RiskMediumGap-0.6%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel34%RiskHighGap+7.5%
Parma Rest
4 days
Catania Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.36
X
24%4.57
2
33%8.00
Double Chance
1X
67%1.06
X2
57%2.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.00
No
47%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.31 = 2.96
Over 1.5
81%1.22
Over 2.5
46%1.75
Over 3.5
26%2.81
Under 1.5
19%3.90
Under 2.5
54%2.05
Under 3.5
74%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'S. Lontani
33'A. Quaini
35'S. LontaniAssist: E. B. Toure
45+2'S. Leonardi
46'A. Corbari INM. Liguori out
46'D. Donnarumma INA. Raimo out
63'A. Quaini INF. Di Tacchio out
63'S. Leonardi INS. Caturano out
66'A. Konate INM. Keita out
66'A. Bernabe INO. Sorensen out
67'E. B. Toure INM. Frigan out
77'S. Lontani INO. Diallo out
82'A. Allegretto INM. Perrotta out
83'S. Britschgi INF. Carboni out
90+4'F. Carboni

Lineups

Parma
4-3-3Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Catania
4-3-3Coach: Domenico Toscano
Edoardo Corvi40E. CorviEdoardo Corvi
Enrico Delprato15E. DelpratoEnrico Delprato
Mariano Troilo37M. TroiloMariano Troilo
Alessandro Circati39A. CircatiAlessandro Circati
Emanuele Valeri14E. ValeriEmanuele Valeri
Adrián Bernabé10A. BernabéAdrián Bernabé
Christian Ordoñez32C. OrdoñezChristian Ordoñez
Abdou-Salam Konate47A. KonateAbdou-Salam Konate
Sascha Britschgi27S. BritschgiSascha Britschgi
El Bilal Touré19E. Bilal TouréEl Bilal Touré
Simone Lontani76S. LontaniSimone Lontani
Filippo Rinaldi22F. RinaldiFilippo Rinaldi
Gabriele Pagliai2G. PagliaiGabriele Pagliai
Mario Ierardi68M. IerardiMario Ierardi
Andrea Allegretto6A. AllegrettoAndrea Allegretto
Daniele Donnarumma20D. DonnarummaDaniele Donnarumma
Andrea Corbari30A. CorbariAndrea Corbari
Alessandro Quaini16A. QuainiAlessandro Quaini
Kaleb Jiménez8K. JiménezKaleb Jiménez
Giovanni Bruzzaniti7G. BruzzanitiGiovanni Bruzzaniti
Simone Leonardi77S. LeonardiSimone Leonardi
Emanuele Cicerelli10E. CicerelliEmanuele Cicerelli

Parma Substitutes

16Mandela KeitaM
24Oliver SørensenM
20Matija FriganF
75Alessandro MazzocchiG
30Giovanni DaffaraG
72Dominik DrobnicD
3Abdoulaye NdiayeD
5Lautaro ValentiD
80Rachid KoudaM
29Franco CarboniD
11Pontus AlmqvistF
21Aymen ZouinF
7Ousmane DialloF

Catania Substitutes

19Alessandro RaimoD
21Michael LiguoriF
14Francesco Di TacchioM
9Salvatore CaturanoF
66Cristian De FalcoG
1Antonio VitaliG
57Andrea DiniG
5Marco PerrottaD
76Catello AmendolaM
23Gabriel LunettaM
70Nicolò CataniaF
11Alex RolfiniF

Match Stats

ParmaCatania
35%Ball Possession65%
3Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
18Fouls7
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves6
339Total Passes626
300Passes Accurate562
88%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

ParmaParma
CataniaCatania
1658Elo Rating 1485
0.50Attack 1.33
1.37Defense 1.26
0%Hit Rate 23%
8.4Shots per Game -
3.2Shots on Target -
3.6Corners per Game -
1.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+173 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ParmaParma
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CataniaCatania
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

ParmaParma
1W2D2L
09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
02
L
02/08/2026
ParmaIraklis 1908
11
D
30/07/2026
ParmaArezzo
11
D
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
W
17/05/2026
ComoParma
10
L
CataniaCatania
2W2D1L
08/08/2026
Vicenza VirtusCatania
3141
W
27/05/2026
CataniaAscoli
21
W
24/05/2026
AscoliCatania
40
L
20/05/2026
CataniaLecco
33
D
17/05/2026
LeccoCatania
00
D

Parma vs Catania Prediction

As a knockout-stage Coppa Italia fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

ScorePredicts covers Coppa Italia across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Parma and Catania have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.