PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag Prediction

PEC Zwolle
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
ADO Den Haag
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle·Jeroen Manschot 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
PEC Zwolle Rest
3 days
ADO Den Haag Rest
4 days

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: the result in context

PEC Zwolle beat ADO Den Haag 1-0 in the Eredivisie on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

ADO Den Haag have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.25
X
27%3.67
2
32%2.90
Double Chance
1X
68%1.40
X2
59%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.50
No
38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.32 = 2.88
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
38%2.45
Under 1.5
19%4.80
Under 2.5
42%2.31
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.9 = 10.7
Over 8.5
72%1.36
Over 9.5
61%1.60
Over 10.5
50%2.05
Under 8.5
28%2.90
Under 9.5
39%2.15
Under 10.5
50%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.1 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%2.30
Over 4.5
28%3.55
Under 3.5
53%1.57
Under 4.5
72%1.27

Match Events

40'Goal cancelledEvan Rottier
45'Dylan MbayoAssist: Younes Namli
45'Jonas Jensen-Abbew INOthniël Raterink out
45'Jalen Hawkins INCameron Peupion out
48'Yannick Fereira EduardoFoul
52'Pascal MulderFoul
60'Younes Namli INThijs Oosting out
61'Matěj Šín INJesse Bal out
61'Nigel Thomas INDaryl van Mieghem out
65'Olivier AertssenFoul
72'Matteo WaemFoul
73'Dylan Mbayo INIbrahim Cissoko out
74'Olivier Aertssen INJan Burger out
78'Yannick Fereira Eduardo INDonat Barany out
79'Gilles Van Der WalFoul
81'Ibrahim CissokoFoul
88'Tobias Sommer INTijs Velthuis out

Lineups

PEC Zwolle
4-3-3Coach: Henry van der Vegt
ADO Den Haag
4-3-3Coach: R. Peter
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.48
J. Schendelaar6.81J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen7.43O. Aertssen
S. Graves7.328S. Graves
N. Viergever7.424N. Viergever
D. van der Haar6.833D. van der Haar
R. Thomas7.130R. Thomas
Gilles van der Wal6.537G. van der Wal
T. Sommer7.28T. Sommer
Y. Namli7.77Y. Namli
S. van Hooijdonk6.417S. van Hooijdonk
D. Mbayo7.711D. Mbayo
K. Nikiéma7.91K. Nikiéma
J. Jensen-Abbew5.95J. Jensen-Abbew
P. Mulder6.73P. Mulder
M. Waem6.64M. Waem
M. Hokke7.215M. Hokke
J. Kilo7.225J. Kilo
E. Rottier5.811E. Rottier
M. Šín6.033M. Šín
J. Hawkins6.517J. Hawkins
Y. Eduardo6.146Y. Eduardo
N. Thomas6.227N. Thomas

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

4T. Velthuis88'for Tobias Sommer7.0
9E. Sørensen
20G. Reiziger
25T. Oosting60'for Younes Namli6.9
10K. Kostons
16T. de Graaff
22I. Cissoko73'for Dylan Mbayo81'6.2
6Jan Bürger74'for Olivier Aertssen7.1
34N. Fichtinger
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama6.8
41D. Verduin
42Dylan Ruward

ADO Den Haag Substitutes

9J. Bal61'for Matěj Šín6.3
16Finn de Bruin
77D. Bárány78'for Yannick Fereira Eduardo6.4
10Illaijh de Ruijter
14M. Jiménez
2O. Raterink45'for Jonas Jensen-Abbew6.3
18S. Sylla
23N. Thiede
7D. van Mieghem61'for Nigel Thomas6.5
22L. Wilhelm
8J. Žambůrek
21C. Peupion45'for Jalen Hawkins6.0

Match Stats

PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
34%Ball Possession66%
8Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
24Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box7
8Blocked Shots4
15Fouls9
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
267Total Passes533
175Passes Accurate439
9Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
1564Elo Rating 1617
1.28Attack 1.59
1.45Defense 1.38
19%Hit Rate 19%
13.3Shots per Game 15.1
5.7Shots on Target 4.6
5.3Corners per Game 4.5
1.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag3Wins · 75%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie17/02/2023
ADO Den HaagPEC Zwolle
31
Eerste Divisie16/09/2022
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
12
Eredivisie09/05/2021
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
01
Eredivisie23/12/2020
ADO Den HaagPEC Zwolle
02

Referee Profile

Jeroen Manschot183 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.31Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
19.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jeroen Manschot3.42
Other referees3.18

3.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.18).

Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PEC Zwolle are 14th and ADO Den Haag 17th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: PEC Zwolle 12-23, ADO Den Haag 13-24. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.