Excelsior vs Twente Prediction

Excelsior
0-9
Finished
HT 0-5
Twente
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam·Erwin Blank 01/11/2026
ExcelsiorExcelsior
0-9
Finished
TwenteTwente

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Excelsior Rest
3 days
Twente Rest
6 days

Excelsior vs Twente: result, form and history

Twente beat Excelsior 9-0 in the Eredivisie on 1 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Twente had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Excelsior.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Twente tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 1.9 for Excelsior.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%5.74
X
22%4.67
2
60%1.50
Double Chance
1X
40%2.53
X2
82%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.54
No
41%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1 + 1.61 = 2.61
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.45
Over 3.5
40%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
38%2.66
Under 3.5
60%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.5 + 6.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.46
Over 9.5
55%1.79
Over 10.5
44%2.22
Under 8.5
33%2.50
Under 9.5
45%1.90
Under 10.5
56%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%2.65
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
48%1.44
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

5'Nesto groenSerious foul
12'Wout WeghorstAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
17'Wout WeghorstFoul
27'Goal cancelledThomas Van den Belt
32'Wout WeghorstAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
33'Wout WeghorstAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
39'Thomas Van den Belt
43'Lennard HartjesFoul
45'Aymen sliti INMario Domínguez Franco out
45'Bart van Rooij INMichal Rosiak out
45'Ruud Nijstad INJordy Bawuah out
45'Daniel van Vianen INEric da Silva Moreira out
45+1'Daan RotsAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
49'Jordy BawuahAssist: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter
59'Penalty confirmedJordy Bawuah
62'Wout Weghorst(Penalty)
63'Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter INMarko Pjaca out
63'Irakli Yegoian INSimon Janssen out
63'Wout Weghorst INLucas Vennegoor of Hesselink out
71'Ramiz Zerrouki(Penalty)
72'Robin Propper INKristian Nokkvi Hlynsson out
82'Daan RotsAssist: Thomas Van den Belt
83'Noah Naujoks INValentin Sulzbacher out

Lineups

Excelsior
4-3-3Coach: R. den Uil
Twente
4-3-3Coach: J. van den Brom
Avg rating5.88
Avg rating7.74
S. van Gassel6.91S. van Gassel
R. Meissen5.03R. Meissen
C. Widell5.14C. Widell
J. Plug5.814J. Plug
K. Bos5.712K. Bos
D. van Vianen5.96D. van Vianen
N. Naujoks6.010N. Naujoks
L. Hartjes5.720L. Hartjes
A. Sliti6.57A. Sliti
N. Groen5.528N. Groen
I. Yegoian6.28I. Yegoian
J. Drommel6.716J. Drommel
B. van Rooij7.428B. van Rooij
R. Pröpper7.53R. Pröpper
R. Nijstad7.24R. Nijstad
A. Adelgaard8.029A. Adelgaard
R. Zerrouki7.86R. Zerrouki
Y. Taha7.210Y. Taha
T. van den Belt9.020T. van den Belt
D. Rots9.311D. Rots
W. Weghorst9.849W. Weghorst
S. Ørjasæter9.027S. Ørjasæter

Excelsior Substitutes

16Celton Biai
11A. Jahanbakhsh
23Y. Finey
9Mario Domínguez45'for Aymen sliti6.3
24Giulliano Cairo
15S. Janssen63'for Irakli Yegoian5.5
2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira45'for Daniel van Vianen6.4
21I. Silva Timas
18V. Sulzbacher83'for Noah Naujoks5.8
30Á. Þorsteinsson
19D. Garden

Twente Substitutes

25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink63'for Wout Weghorst6.5
2M. Rosiak45'for Bart van Rooij6.6
7M. Pjaca63'for Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter7.0
22R. Pasveer
39J. Meilink
24K. Kurowski
14K. Hlynsson72'for Robin Propper6.8
31Yannick Gerritsen
18Jordy Bawuah45'for Ruud Nijstad49'8.2

Match Stats

ExcelsiorTwente
20%Ball Possession80%
0Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
0Total Shots28
0Shots on Goal15
0Shots off Goal7
0Shots Inside Box23
0Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots6
7Fouls6
1Offsides4
6Goalkeeper Saves0
222Total Passes856
151Passes Accurate773
6Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

ExcelsiorExcelsior
TwenteTwente
1645Elo Rating 1845
1.26Attack 1.96
0.88Defense 2.24
27%Hit Rate 66%
8.0Shots per Game 20.1
2.9Shots on Target 5.8
1.9Corners per Game 5.9
0.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TwenteTwente
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

ExcelsiorExcelsior1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
TwenteTwente3Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Eredivisie24/01/2026
TwenteExcelsior
00
Eredivisie30/08/2025
ExcelsiorTwente
10
Eredivisie10/02/2024
ExcelsiorTwente
03
Eredivisie08/12/2023
TwenteExcelsior
42
Eredivisie01/04/2023
ExcelsiorTwente
00
Eredivisie31/08/2022
TwenteExcelsior
40

Referee Profile

Erwin Blank158 matches

3.70Cards per match
3.55Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Erwin Blank3.70
Other referees3.24

3.70 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Excelsior vs Twente forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Excelsior and Twente in the Eredivisie table

The table shows a wide gap: Twente are 4th in the Eredivisie, while Excelsior sit 15th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: Excelsior 16-28, Twente 28-10. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.