Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Groningen
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
PEC Zwolle
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen·Martin Van den Kerkhof 18/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Groningen Rest
6 days
PEC Zwolle Rest
5 days

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle: result, form and history

Groningen beat PEC Zwolle 3-0 in the Eredivisie on 18 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 8 matches. Referee Martin Van den Kerkhof averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.50
X
21%4.49
2
13%5.60
Double Chance
1X
87%1.14
X2
34%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.46
No
47%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.95 = 2.63
Over 1.5
76%1.10
Over 2.5
53%1.36
Over 3.5
30%1.96
Under 1.5
24%6.50
Under 2.5
47%3.02
Under 3.5
70%1.85
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.7 = 10.4
Over 8.5
65%1.40
Over 9.5
56%1.73
Over 10.5
44%2.16
Under 8.5
35%2.58
Under 9.5
44%1.97
Under 10.5
56%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.7 = 2.8
Over 3.5
31%2.72
Over 4.5
15%-
Under 3.5
69%1.42
Under 4.5
85%-

Match Events

20'Thom Van BergenAssist: David van der Werff
28'Ibrahim Cissoko INElias Sörensen out
43'Jorg Schreuders
61'Dylan Mbayo INGabriel Reiziger out
61'Thijs Oosting INSydney van Hooijdonk out
66'Jacob Ondrejka INTygo Land out
66'Marco Rente INHans Hateboer out
68'Tygo LandAssist: David van der Werff
79'Sherel FloranusDissent
79'Koen KostonsFoul
80'Olivier Aertssen INjan burger out
80'Koen Kostons INGilles Van Der Wal out
85'David van der Werff INNils Eggens out
85'Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson INAlvin Vilhelm Valdemar Nordin out
90'Mark Csinger INJesper Mosselaar out

Lineups

Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Lukkien
PEC Zwolle
4-1-4-1Coach: Henry van der Vegt
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.03
E. Vaessen6.71E. Vaessen
J. Schreuders8.514J. Schreuders
T. Blokzijl7.33T. Blokzijl
M. Rente7.55M. Rente
M. Csinger7.64M. Csinger
T. de Jonge6.78T. de Jonge
P. Clement6.524P. Clement
D. van der Werff8.617D. van der Werff
T. van Bergen8.226T. van Bergen
J. Ondrejka6.311J. Ondrejka
B. Willumsson6.69B. Willumsson
J. Schendelaar6.01J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen5.93O. Aertssen
S. Graves6.628S. Graves
N. Viergever6.224N. Viergever
S. Floranus5.82S. Floranus
N. Fichtinger6.134N. Fichtinger
D. Mbayo5.511D. Mbayo
T. Oosting6.425T. Oosting
T. Sommer5.88T. Sommer
I. Cissoko5.722I. Cissoko
K. Kostons6.510K. Kostons

Groningen Substitutes

13L. Štubljar
20Nils Eggens85'for David van der Werff6.5
44Besnik Mashuku
30P. Boevink
53J. Hall
33H. Hateboer66'for Marco Rente7.1
18T. Land66'for Jacob Ondrejka68'7.8
42J. Mosselaar90'for Mark Csinger
16A. Nordin85'for Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson6.8
19O. Zawada

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

6Jan Bürger80'for Olivier Aertssen6.0
9E. Sørensen28'for Ibrahim Cissoko6.2
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
20G. Reiziger61'for Dylan Mbayo5.7
42Dylan Ruward
37Gilles van der Wal80'for Koen Kostons5.9
33D. van der Haar
17S. van Hooijdonk61'for Thijs Oosting6.4
16T. de Graaff
41D. Verduin
4T. Velthuis
18O. Velanas

Match Stats

GroningenPEC Zwolle
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots6
7Fouls11
1Goalkeeper Saves4
498Total Passes450
414Passes Accurate368
11Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

GroningenGroningen
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1661Elo Rating 1580
1.96Attack 1.42
0.37Defense 2.03
14%Hit Rate 37%
16.1Shots per Game 16.2
7.0Shots on Target 4.9
5.0Corners per Game 6.3
1.8Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GroningenGroningen
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

GroningenGroningen1Wins · 13%
Draws562%
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle2Wins · 25%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Eredivisie13/03/2026
PEC ZwolleGroningen
11
Eredivisie23/11/2025
GroningenPEC Zwolle
22
Eredivisie18/05/2025
PEC ZwolleGroningen
20
Eredivisie08/12/2024
GroningenPEC Zwolle
00
Eredivisie20/02/2022
PEC ZwolleGroningen
11
Eredivisie03/12/2021
GroningenPEC Zwolle
11
Eredivisie16/05/2021
PEC ZwolleGroningen
10
Eredivisie13/02/2021
GroningenPEC Zwolle
10

Recent Form

GroningenGroningen
3W3D4L
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
2W1D7L
13/09/2026
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
07
L
04/09/2026
Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
22
D
29/08/2026
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
13
L
22/08/2026
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
02
W
16/08/2026
TwentePEC Zwolle
31
L
09/08/2026
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
W
11/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira
01
L

Referee Profile

Martin Van den Kerkhof170 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.52Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
19.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Van den Kerkhof2.65
Other referees3.23

2.65 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Groningen vs PEC Zwolle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Groningen and PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Groningen are 9th and PEC Zwolle 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Groningen 29-28, PEC Zwolle 13-24. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.