PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

PEC Zwolle
1-3
Finished
HT 1-2
NEC Nijmegen
Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle· Joey Kooij, Netherlands 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.71
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+4.6%
PEC Zwolle Rest
7 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.60
X
28%4.10
2
40%1.87
Double Chance
1X
60%1.91
X2
68%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.41
No
44%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.68 = 2.84
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.42
Over 3.5
34%2.05
Under 1.5
17%6.22
Under 2.5
40%2.87
Under 3.5
66%1.77
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.62
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
36%2.83
Under 9.5
47%2.15
Under 10.5
59%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.5
32%1.95
Over 4.5
15%2.77
Under 3.5
68%1.73
Under 4.5
85%1.32

Match Events

5'T. Chery(Penalty)
23'T. Chery(Penalty)
38'Goal Disallowed - offsideS. Floranus
45+1'K. Kostons(Penalty)
46'D. Fonville INA. Kabar out
58'Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Kostons
63'A. KabarTripping
64'T. Oosting ING. Reiziger out
64'E. Sorensen INI. Cissoko out
67'C. Bischoff INW. T. Willumsson out
67'A. Tahaui INE. Mor out
70'D. TadicUnsportsmanlike conduct
72'K. Kostons(Penalty missed)
73'T. StormTripping
80'B. Linssen INB. Pereira out
80'B. Nuytinck INP. Schuurs out
83'P. SchuursAssist: T. Chery
86'T. Sommer INO. Velanas out
90+3'O. AertssenRoughing

Lineups

PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry van der Vegt
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-1-2Coach: Dick Schreuder
J. Schendelaar1J. SchendelaarJ. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen3O. AertssenO. Aertssen
S. Graves28S. GravesS. Graves
N. Viergever24N. ViergeverN. Viergever
S. Floranus2S. FloranusS. Floranus
R. Thomas30R. ThomasR. Thomas
T. Sommer8T. SommerT. Sommer
D. Mbayo11D. MbayoD. Mbayo
T. Oosting25T. OostingT. Oosting
E. Sørensen9E. SørensenE. Sørensen
K. Kostons10K. KostonsK. Kostons
G. Crettaz1G. CrettazG. Crettaz
T. Storm21T. StormT. Storm
B. Nuytinck17B. NuytinckB. Nuytinck
Deveron Fonville24D. FonvilleDeveron Fonville
Adam Tahaui19A. TahauiAdam Tahaui
Jamiro Monteiro35J. MonteiroJamiro Monteiro
N. Lebreton20N. LebretonN. Lebreton
Clement Bischoff99C. BischoffClement Bischoff
D. Tadić10D. TadićD. Tadić
T. Chery9T. CheryT. Chery
B. Linssen30B. LinssenB. Linssen

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

16T. de GraaffG
34N. FichtingerM
22I. CissokoF
26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
20G. ReizigerM
18O. VelanasM
4T. VelthuisD
41D. VerduinG
33D. van der HaarD

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

73Gabriel BrásD
36Freek EntiusG
8I. Hansen-AarøenM
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
34Kevin KersF
14K. SierhuisF
32V. van CrooijM
11W. WillumssonM
4P. SchuursD
12N. PolsterG
2B. PereiraD
7E. MorF

Match Stats

PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
16Fouls12
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
367Total Passes331
257Passes Accurate220
70%Pass Accuracy66%

Team Comparison

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1572Elo Rating 1681
1.13Attack 1.15
0.00Defense 0.56
17%Hit Rate 17%
9.3Shots per Game 9.5
3.2Shots on Target 2.3
4.0Corners per Game 3.4
0.7Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

PEC Zwolle 0%Draw 39%61% NEC Nijmegen
2.72Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
1W0D4L
22/08/2026
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
02
W
16/08/2026
TwentePEC Zwolle
31
L
09/08/2026
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
2W0D3L

Referee Profile

Joey Kooij, Netherlands · 9 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 22% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
9GroningenGroningen622212:13-18DDLLW
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur61149:18-94WDLLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle61146:17-114LDLWL
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag60156:16-101LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
9GroningenGroningen612:138
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur69:184
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle66:174
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag66:161
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PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.72 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.