PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

PEC Zwolle
1-3
Finished
HT 1-2
NEC Nijmegen
Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle·Joey Kooij, Netherlands 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
PEC Zwolle Rest
7 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
4 days

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen: result, form and history

NEC Nijmegen beat PEC Zwolle 3-1 in the Eredivisie on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. NEC Nijmegen tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 5.3 for PEC Zwolle.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.60
X
28%4.10
2
40%1.87
Double Chance
1X
60%1.91
X2
68%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.41
No
44%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.68 = 2.84
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.42
Over 3.5
34%2.05
Under 1.5
17%6.22
Under 2.5
40%2.87
Under 3.5
66%1.77
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.62
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
36%2.83
Under 9.5
47%2.15
Under 10.5
59%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.5
32%1.95
Over 4.5
15%2.77
Under 3.5
68%1.73
Under 4.5
85%1.32

Match Events

5'T. Chery(Penalty)
23'T. Chery(Penalty)
38'Goal Disallowed - offsideS. Floranus
45+1'K. Kostons(Penalty)
46'D. Fonville INA. Kabar out
58'Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Kostons
63'A. KabarTripping
64'T. Oosting ING. Reiziger out
64'E. Sorensen INI. Cissoko out
67'C. Bischoff INW. T. Willumsson out
67'A. Tahaui INE. Mor out
70'D. TadicUnsportsmanlike conduct
72'K. Kostons(Penalty missed)
73'T. StormTripping
80'B. Linssen INB. Pereira out
80'B. Nuytinck INP. Schuurs out
83'P. SchuursAssist: T. Chery
86'T. Sommer INO. Velanas out
90+3'O. AertssenRoughing

Lineups

PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry van der Vegt
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-1-2Coach: Dick Schreuder
Avg rating6.35
Avg rating6.65
J. Schendelaar5.21J. Schendelaar
O. Aertssen6.63O. Aertssen
S. Graves7.028S. Graves
N. Viergever5.924N. Viergever
S. Floranus6.22S. Floranus
R. ThomasC6.530R. Thomas
T. Sommer6.38T. Sommer
D. Mbayo6.911D. Mbayo
T. Oosting6.025T. Oosting
E. Sørensen6.79E. Sørensen
K. Kostons5.910K. Kostons
G. Crettaz6.31G. Crettaz
T. Storm6.521T. Storm
B. Nuytinck6.617B. Nuytinck
Deveron Fonville5.624D. Fonville
Adam Tahaui6.219A. Tahaui
Jamiro Monteiro6.335J. Monteiro
N. Lebreton6.720N. Lebreton
Clement Bischoff6.299C. Bischoff
D. Tadić6.510D. Tadić
T. CheryC8.59T. Chery
B. Linssen6.730B. Linssen

PEC Zwolle Substitutes

16T. de Graaff
34N. Fichtinger
22I. Cissoko64'for E. Sorensen7.2
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
20G. Reiziger64'for T. Oosting6.2
18O. Velanas86'for T. Sommer
4T. Velthuis
41D. Verduin
33D. van der Haar

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

73Gabriel Brás
36Freek Entius
8I. Hansen-Aarøen
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar46'for D. Fonville63'7.0
34Kevin Kers
14K. Sierhuis
32V. van Crooij
11W. Willumsson67'for C. Bischoff6.6
4P. Schuurs80'for B. Nuytinck83'7.7
12N. Polster
2B. Pereira80'for B. Linssen6.7
7E. Mor67'for A. Tahaui6.3

Match Stats

PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
17Fouls12
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
375Total Passes338
259Passes Accurate225
69%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1564Elo Rating 1704
1.28Attack 2.15
1.45Defense 1.31
19%Hit Rate 23%
13.3Shots per Game 17.9
5.7Shots on Target 6.7
5.3Corners per Game 7.5
1.2Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle0Wins · 0%
Draws444%
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen5Wins · 56%
2.8Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Eredivisie24/01/2026
NEC NijmegenPEC Zwolle
21
Eredivisie25/10/2025
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
22
Eredivisie11/01/2025
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
01
KNVB Beker29/10/2024
NEC NijmegenPEC Zwolle
4232
Eredivisie24/08/2024
NEC NijmegenPEC Zwolle
10
Eredivisie14/04/2024
NEC NijmegenPEC Zwolle
22
Eredivisie09/12/2023
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
13
Eredivisie05/02/2022
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen
11
Eredivisie20/08/2021
NEC NijmegenPEC Zwolle
20

Recent Form

PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
3W0D7L
22/08/2026
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
02
W
16/08/2026
TwentePEC Zwolle
31
L
09/08/2026
PEC ZwolleAjax
02
L
01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
30
L
26/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC
23
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
W
11/07/2026
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira
01
L
17/05/2026
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
02
L
10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
32
L
03/05/2026
PEC ZwolleHeracles
10
W
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
4W1D5L
25/08/2026
Bodo/GlimtNEC Nijmegen
30
L
19/08/2026
NEC NijmegenBodo/Glimt
13
L
15/08/2026
Willem IINEC Nijmegen
14
W
11/08/2026
NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus
2111
W
08/08/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
12
L
04/08/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
00
D
31/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSevilla
12
L
25/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSV Elversberg
01
L
18/07/2026
NEC NijmegenAl-Fayha
70
W
14/07/2026
NEC NijmegenV-varen Nagasaki
31
W

Referee Profile

Joey Kooij157 matches

3.34Cards per match
3.21Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joey Kooij3.34
Other referees3.27

3.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 145 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PEC Zwolle (14th) and NEC Nijmegen (13th) are level on 11 points. League goal record so far: PEC Zwolle 12-23, NEC Nijmegen 17-19. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.