Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Netherlands · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar: the result in context
Ajax beat AZ Alkmaar 1-0 in the Eredivisie on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
AZ Alkmaar have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Ajax
Avg ratingAvg rating
1M. ter Stegen
2L. Rosa
30A. Bouwman
15Y. Baas
5O. Wijndal
24J. Mokio
4S. Amrabat
8J. Brandt
18D. Klaassen
99T. Arokodare
68A. Ouazane
28J. De Busser
22E. Dijkstra
3W. Goes
4L. Schouten
34M. de Wit
6P. Koopmeiners
21D. Kwakman
7W. Patati
17V. Byskov
11R. Daal
9M. MeerdinkAjax Substitutes
AZ Alkmaar Substitutes
Match Stats
AjaxAZ Alkmaar Team Comparison
AjaxAZ AlkmaarAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Ajax- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)
AZ Alkmaar- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Ajax0Wins · 0%7Wins · 70%Previous meetings
08/02/2026AZ AlkmaarAjax
14/01/2026AZ AlkmaarAjax18/10/2025AjaxAZ Alkmaar16/03/2025AjaxAZ Alkmaar14/01/2025AZ AlkmaarAjax08/12/2024AZ AlkmaarAjax25/02/2024AZ AlkmaarAjax08/10/2023AjaxAZ Alkmaar06/05/2023AjaxAZ Alkmaar18/09/2022AZ AlkmaarAjaxRecent Form
Ajax
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Twente
Ararat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar
CambuurAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Beer Sheva
FeyenoordAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Telstar
SunderlandAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
Willem II
HeerenveenAZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead EaglesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).
Cards come from 211 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 40:15 | +25 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36:17 | +19 | 25 | LDDWW |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32:15 | +17 | 25 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | +18 | 24 | DWWLD |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 | WLLDL |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 | DDWDD |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 15 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 12 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:34 | -13 | 12 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 10 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11:40 | -29 | 3 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 40:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 36:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 30:12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 29:28 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 25:27 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 21:29 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 21:34 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 16:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 11:40 | 3 |
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This match
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About the Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar forecast
The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Ajax and AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie table
Ajax and AZ Alkmaar are close in the Eredivisie table, 3rd and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Ajax 32-15, AZ Alkmaar 24-16. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ajax have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.