Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Heerenveen
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen·Sander van der Eijk 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap0.0%
Heerenveen Rest
2 days
NEC Nijmegen Rest
6 days

Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: the result in context

Heerenveen beat NEC Nijmegen 1-0 in the Eredivisie on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Heerenveen had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for NEC Nijmegen.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. NEC Nijmegen tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 3.9 for Heerenveen.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.08
X
25%3.95
2
32%3.02
Double Chance
1X
68%1.36
X2
57%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
73%1.33
No
27%3.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.38 = 3.17
Over 1.5
86%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.36
Over 3.5
47%1.92
Under 1.5
14%6.50
Under 2.5
31%3.00
Under 3.5
53%1.85
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.34
Over 9.5
56%1.60
Over 10.5
44%2.00
Under 8.5
33%2.86
Under 9.5
44%2.16
Under 10.5
56%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%2.55
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
52%1.47
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

32'Clement BischoffArgument
32'Oliver Johansen BraudeArgument
34'Bryan LinssenDissent
43'Vasilios ZagaritisFoul
61'marcus lindayFoul
62'Maxence Rivera INRingo Meerveld out
66'Dylan VenteAssist: Levi Smans
73'Clement Bischoff INAyodele Thomas out
73'Perr Schuurs INKaj Sierhuis out
78'Nolhan courtens INDirk Proper out
78'Levi Smans INLuca Oyen out
79'Tobias Storm INGabriel·Bras out
85'Ayodele ThomasFoul
85'Kevin Kers INAdam Tahaui out
86'Jamiro Monteiro INWillum Thor Willumsson out
90+2'Jacob Trenskow INMarko Farji out

Lineups

Heerenveen
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Veldeman
NEC Nijmegen
3-1-4-2Coach: Dick Schreuder
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.64
B. Klaverboer6.51B. Klaverboer
O. Braude6.645O. Braude
S. Kersten7.24S. Kersten
M. Willemsen7.23M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis6.719V. Zagaritis
M. Linday6.816M. Linday
N. Courtens6.68N. Courtens
J. Trenskow7.320J. Trenskow
L. Smans7.614L. Smans
M. Rivera6.27M. Rivera
D. Vente7.89D. Vente
G. Crettaz6.71G. Crettaz
T. Storm7.221T. Storm
P. Schuurs7.04P. Schuurs
A. Kaplan7.422A. Kaplan
D. Nejašmić6.56D. Nejašmić
Kevin Kers6.934K. Kers
N. Lebreton6.820N. Lebreton
Jamiro Monteiro6.635J. Monteiro
Clement Bischoff6.499C. Bischoff
T. Chery6.79T. Chery
B. Linssen6.530B. Linssen

Heerenveen Substitutes

28H. Petrov
6D. Proper78'for Nolhan courtens6.9
17R. Uldriķis
44A. Noppert
11L. Oyen78'for Levi Smans6.4
23D. Bladi
15M. Egbring
21M. Farji90+2'for Jacob Trenskow
2M. Hilgers
29L. Machine
10R. Meerveld62'for Maxence Rivera7.0
30T. Schreuder

NEC Nijmegen Substitutes

73Gabriel Brás79'for Tobias Storm6.6
36Freek Entius
8I. Hansen-Aarøen
66Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
42Y. Moslih
12N. Polster
14K. Sierhuis73'for Perr Schuurs6.2
19Adam Tahaui85'for Kevin Kers6.4
77A. Thomas73'for Clement Bischoff85'6.1
11W. Willumsson86'for Jamiro Monteiro6.3

Match Stats

HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
38%Ball Possession62%
5Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal15
7Shots Inside Box15
1Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots5
7Fouls7
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
343Total Passes548
266Passes Accurate472
7Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

HeerenveenHeerenveen
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1743Elo Rating 1704
2.57Attack 2.15
2.21Defense 1.31
83%Hit Rate 23%
15.1Shots per Game 17.9
6.5Shots on Target 6.7
3.9Corners per Game 7.5
0.6Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.17 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

HeerenveenHeerenveen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HeerenveenHeerenveen3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3Wins · 30%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie22/03/2026
NEC NijmegenHeerenveen
22
Eredivisie21/09/2025
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
32
Eredivisie27/04/2025
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
10
Eredivisie19/10/2024
NEC NijmegenHeerenveen
30
Eredivisie10/03/2024
NEC NijmegenHeerenveen
20
Eredivisie07/10/2023
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
11
Eredivisie06/05/2023
NEC NijmegenHeerenveen
23
Eredivisie04/09/2022
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
00
Eredivisie13/02/2022
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
01
Eredivisie06/11/2021
NEC NijmegenHeerenveen
11

Referee Profile

Sander van der Eijk180 matches

3.55Cards per match
3.30Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sander van der Eijk3.55
Other referees3.31

3.55 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.31).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Heerenveen are 7th and NEC Nijmegen 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Heerenveen 19-13, NEC Nijmegen 17-19. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Heerenveen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.