Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle Prediction
Netherlands · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Sparta Rotterdam Rest
6 days
PEC Zwolle Rest
5 days
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle: result, form and history
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 2-2 in the Eredivisie on 4 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.91
X24%3.82
227%3.62
Double Chance
1X73%1.25
X251%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.47
No44%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.19 = 2.96
Over 1.583%1.14
Over 2.560%1.50
Over 3.533%2.27
Under 1.517%5.48
Under 2.540%2.48
Under 3.567%1.61
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.564%1.35
Over 9.553%1.67
Over 10.541%1.94
Under 8.536%2.79
Under 9.547%2.10
Under 10.559%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.7 = 3.2
Over 3.540%2.02
Over 4.522%3.02
Under 3.560%1.70
Under 4.578%1.33
Match Events
21'Ibrahim CissokoAssist: Dylan Mbayo
24'Milan ZonneveldAssist: Julian Baas
63'Thijs Oosting INOdysseus Velanas out
63'Sherel FloranusFoul
68'Casper Terho INIsaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi out
69'Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior BabadiAssist: Milan Zonneveld
75'Ibrahim Cissoko INSydney van Hooijdonk out
75'Sherel Floranus INDamian van der Haar out
79'Cedric Hatenboer INJens Toornstra out
79'Julian Baas INAlwande Benedict Roaldsøy out
80'Koen KostonsAssist: Tobias Sommer
86'Tobias SommerFoul
86'Milan Zonneveld INAndrej Kostić out
86'Bruno Martins Indi INNick Verschuren out
88'Tobias Sommer INElias Sörensen out
Lineups
Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Coach: Henry van der VegtAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Brouwer
2L. Martes
3M. Young
4B. Martins Indi
5B. Kuipers
6J. Baas
8C. Hatenboer
7C. Terho
10S. Mito
11M. van Bergen
9M. Zonneveld
1J. Schendelaar
3O. Aertssen
28S. Graves
24N. Viergever
2S. Floranus
30R. Thomas
8T. Sommer
11D. Mbayo
25T. Oosting
22I. Cissoko
10K. KostonsSparta Rotterdam Substitutes
20F. Bednarek
22Joel Ideho
21I. Babadi68'for Casper Terho69'
19Andrej Kostić86'replaced by Milan Zonneveld
30P. Kuiper
14Teo Quintero
12B. Reith
16A. Roaldsøy79'for Julian Baas
18J. Toornstra79'for Cedric Hatenboer
13N. Verschuren86'for Bruno Martins Indi
15G. Vianello
PEC Zwolle Substitutes
9E. Sørensen88'for Tobias Sommer
26Jadiel Pereira da Gama
38G. Rahajaän
20G. Reiziger
18O. Velanas63'for Thijs Oosting
4T. Velthuis
41D. Verduin
16T. de Graaff
17S. van Hooijdonk75'for Ibrahim Cissoko
33D. van der Haar75'for Sherel Floranus
37Gilles van der Wal
34N. Fichtinger
Match Stats
Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle 56%Ball Possession44%
15Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots15
8Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal7
15Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
462Total Passes369
390Passes Accurate293
10Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle1618Elo Rating 1580
2.38Attack 1.42
0.86Defense 2.03
44%Hit Rate 37%
13.5Shots per Game 16.2
5.4Shots on Target 4.9
4.7Corners per Game 6.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sparta Rotterdam- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
PEC Zwolle- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sparta Rotterdam3Wins · 30%Draws330%
PEC Zwolle4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
08/03/2026Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle11
08/11/2025PEC ZwolleSparta Rotterdam10
15/03/2025Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle11
30/11/2024PEC ZwolleSparta Rotterdam10
04/02/2024Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle02
12/08/2023PEC ZwolleSparta Rotterdam12
11/05/2022Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle20
22/09/2021PEC ZwolleSparta Rotterdam11
03/04/2021Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle32
26/09/2020PEC ZwolleSparta Rotterdam40
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam3W3D4L
29/08/2026
ExcelsiorSparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
TelstarSparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam21
L22/08/2026Sparta RotterdamUtrecht33
D14/08/2026TelstarSparta Rotterdam13
W09/08/2026Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord01
L01/08/2026Sparta Rotterdam
MSV Duisburg
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg00
D28/07/2026Sparta Rotterdam
Asteras Tripolis
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis11
D25/07/2026
Zulte WaregemSparta Rotterdam
Zulte WaregemSparta Rotterdam32
L18/07/2026
SV MeppenSparta Rotterdam
SV MeppenSparta Rotterdam32
L11/07/2026Sparta RotterdamTelstar
Sparta RotterdamTelstar10
W07/07/2026
VOCSparta Rotterdam
VOCSparta Rotterdam04
WPEC Zwolle2W0D8L
29/08/2026PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
TwentePEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
Ajax
PEC ZwolleNEC Nijmegen13
L22/08/2026HeerenveenPEC Zwolle02
W16/08/2026TwentePEC Zwolle31
L09/08/2026PEC ZwolleAjax02
L01/08/2026
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle
Hannover 96PEC Zwolle30
L26/07/2026PEC Zwolle
AEK Athens FC
PEC ZwolleAEK Athens FC23
L18/07/2026PEC Zwolle
Cercle Brugge
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge32
W11/07/2026PEC Zwolle
Al-Jazira
PEC ZwolleAl-Jazira01
L17/05/2026PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
PEC ZwolleFeyenoord02
L10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle32
LReferee Profile
3.47Cards per match
3.34Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.40).
Cards come from 110 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 40:15 | +25 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36:17 | +19 | 25 | LDDWW |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32:15 | +17 | 25 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | +18 | 24 | DWWLD |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 23 | WLLDL |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 | DDWDD |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 15 | LLDLW |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 12 | LWLWD |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 | DWDWL |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:34 | -13 | 12 | LLDWW |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 11 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 10 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11:40 | -29 | 3 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 40:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 36:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | 30:12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20:20 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 24:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | 29:28 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 25:27 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 21:29 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | 21:34 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | 16:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 11:40 | 3 |
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About the Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie table
In the Eredivisie table, Sparta Rotterdam (12th) and PEC Zwolle (13th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: Sparta Rotterdam 21-29, PEC Zwolle 13-24. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.