Plzen vs Sparta Praha Prediction

Plzen
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Sparta Praha
Doosan Arena, Pilsner·Dominik Stary 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseHighGap-4.5%
Plzen Rest
2 days
Sparta Praha Rest
2 days

Plzen vs Sparta Praha: result, form and history

Plzen and Sparta Praha drew 1-1 in the Czech Liga on 8 Nov 2026. Plzen had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Sparta Praha.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.51
X
28%3.42
2
34%2.55
Double Chance
1X
66%1.45
X2
62%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.55
No
41%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.32 = 2.83
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.68
Over 3.5
32%2.80
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
44%2.08
Under 3.5
68%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.6
Over 8.5
70%1.30
Over 9.5
59%1.56
Over 10.5
48%1.93
Under 8.5
30%2.97
Under 9.5
41%2.20
Under 10.5
52%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.40
Over 4.5
48%1.80
Under 3.5
33%2.80
Under 4.5
52%1.95

Match Events

9'Prince Kwabena AduFoul
14'Sivert Heggheim MannsverkFoul
17'Jonatan Braut BrunesAssist: Ki-Jana Hoever
40'Ki-Jana HoeverFoul
45+6'Prince Kwabena AduAssist: Sampson Dweh
46'Ebrima SinghatehFoul
60'Alexandr Sojka INTomáš Ladra out
64'Josimar Alcocer INMatej Jurasek out
64'Ebrima Singhateh INJohn Mercado out
68'Amar Memić INDenis Višinský out
74'Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk INRoman Macek out
74'Patrik Vydra INSantiago Eneme out
78'Lukáš Červ INStefan Pirgic out
78'Prince Kwabena Adu INMatěj Vydra out
78'Merchas Doski INCheick Souare out
82'Roman MacekFoul
83'Denis VišinskýFoul
86'Jonatan Braut Brunes INMatyáš Vojta out
87'Jaroslav ZelenýDissent
90+2'Brian Priske PedersenDissent

Lineups

Plzen
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Kováč
Sparta Praha
4-3-3Coach: Brian Priske
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.71
F. Wiegele5.844F. Wiegele
T. Pališčák7.22T. Pališčák
S. Dweh7.240S. Dweh
F. Prebsl6.698F. Prebsl
A. Gabriel6.329A. Gabriel
P. Hrošovský6.017P. Hrošovský
L. Červ6.66L. Červ
Merchas Doski6.514M. Doski
A. Sojka6.812A. Sojka
A. Memić6.399A. Memić
P. Adu7.580P. Adu
J. Surovčík8.044J. Surovčík
K. Hoever7.625K. Hoever
L. Mbe Soh6.822L. Mbe Soh
T. Guddal7.06T. Guddal
J. Zelený5.930J. Zelený
H. Sochurek6.738H. Sochurek
S. Mannsverk6.120S. Mannsverk
P. Vydra6.326P. Vydra
E. Singhateh6.427E. Singhateh
J. Braut Brunes8.114J. Braut Brunes
J. Alcócer6.47J. Alcócer

Plzen Substitutes

23B. Faal
25C. Kabongo
18T. Ladra60'for Alexandr Sojka6.8
7S. Lawal
36S. Pirgić78'for Lukáš Červ6.3
19C. Souaré78'for Merchas Doski6.2
5Karel Spáčil
1D. Ťapaj
3D. Vavro
9D. Višinský68'for Amar Memić83'6.0
11M. Vydra78'for Prince Kwabena Adu6.4

Sparta Praha Substitutes

29M. Vojta86'for Jonatan Braut Brunes6.5
15V. Vitályos
2M. Suchomel
17J. Mercado64'for Ebrima Singhateh6.7
4J. Martinec
28R. Macek74'for Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk82'6.2
3P. Kadeřábek
31M. Jurásek64'for Josimar Alcocer6.5
18A. Irving
47K. Hegyi
5Santiago Eneme74'for Patrik Vydra6.2

Match Stats

PlzenSparta Praha
49%Ball Possession51%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards5
15Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots7
12Fouls17
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
326Total Passes497
247Passes Accurate417
15Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

PlzenPlzen
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
1705Elo Rating 1696
2.66Attack 1.10
2.19Defense 1.50
69%Hit Rate 17%
18.0Shots per Game 15.4
7.1Shots on Target 5.1
5.2Corners per Game 5.2
2.0Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PlzenPlzen
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PlzenPlzen4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Czech Liga12/05/2026
Sparta PrahaPlzen
00
Czech Liga22/02/2026
PlzenSparta Praha
00
Czech Liga20/09/2025
Sparta PrahaPlzen
21
Czech Liga27/04/2025
PlzenSparta Praha
20
Cup23/04/2025
Sparta PrahaPlzen
10
Czech Liga30/03/2025
Sparta PrahaPlzen
24
Czech Liga27/10/2024
PlzenSparta Praha
10
Czech Liga26/05/2024
Sparta PrahaPlzen
11
Cup22/05/2024
PlzenSparta Praha
12
Czech Liga10/03/2024
PlzenSparta Praha
40

Referee Profile

Dominik Stary138 matches

4.23Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dominik Stary4.23
Other referees4.22

4.23 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 70 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha14104036:8+2834WWDDW
2Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1382316:8+826WWLLD
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1474322:15+725DWDWL
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1473426:14+1224DDWDW
5Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1473422:20+224LWDWD
6TepliceTeplice1463522:22021LWDLD
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1463516:18-221DLWLW
8PlzenPlzen1455429:22+720DWLWW
9Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051455415:15020LWDDW
10Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1462617:22-520LLDWL
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1453617:18-118WLLDL
12PardubicePardubice1452719:20-117WLWWL
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava1342710:23-1314WLDLD
14ArtisArtis1424815:28-1310LLDDW
15SlováckoSlovácko1424813:26-1310WLLLW
16ZlinZlin14031111:27-163LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1436:834
2Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1316:826
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1422:1525
4Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1426:1424
5Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1422:2024
6TepliceTeplice1422:2221
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1416:1821
8PlzenPlzen1429:2220
9Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051415:1520
10Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1417:2220
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1417:1818
12PardubicePardubice1419:2017
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava1310:2314
14ArtisArtis1415:2810
15SlováckoSlovácko1413:2610
16ZlinZlin1411:273
Relegation

About the Plzen vs Sparta Praha forecast

As a derby, this Czech Liga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Plzen and Sparta Praha in the Czech Liga table

In the Czech Liga table, Sparta Praha are 4th and Plzen 8th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Plzen 29-22, Sparta Praha 26-14. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.