Ponte Preta vs Criciuma Prediction

Ponte Preta
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Criciuma
W. Oliveira 09/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
Ponte Preta Rest
5 days
Criciuma Rest
4 days

Ponte Preta vs Criciuma: result, form and history

Criciuma beat Ponte Preta 2-1 in the Serie B on 9 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Criciuma had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Ponte Preta.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Criciuma tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 3.0 for Ponte Preta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%5.80
X
30%3.56
2
53%1.61
Double Chance
1X
47%2.20
X2
83%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.14
No
50%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.88 + 1.38 = 2.26
Over 1.5
70%1.39
Over 2.5
43%2.20
Over 3.5
23%4.10
Under 1.5
30%2.79
Under 2.5
57%1.63
Under 3.5
77%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
62%1.32
Over 9.5
52%1.54
Over 10.5
41%1.85
Under 8.5
38%3.05
Under 9.5
48%2.30
Under 10.5
59%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 3 + 2.1 = 5
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
51%1.41
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
49%2.65

Match Events

12'Marcelo HermesAssist: Willean Lepo
18'Lucas CunhaFoul
46'Diego Tavares INDiego Porfirio out
46'Andre Lima INBaianinho out
46'David da Hora INJuan Rodrigues out
62'Baianinho
67'R. Otero INJhonata Robert out
67'Waguininho INDiego Goncalves out
71'Danilo BarcelosUnsportsmanlike conduct
81'Fellipe Mateus INRomarinho out
83'Brandao INMiguel Morais out
88'Willean LepoDelay of game
89'Eduardo INCaue Santos out
90'Gui Lobo INJean Irmer out
90+4'Marcelo HermesAssist: Luciano Castan
90+5'Marcio SilvaUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'ElvisUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
CriciumaCriciuma
1339Elo Rating 1637
0.82Attack 1.13
0.70Defense 2.40
0%Hit Rate 63%
9.8Shots per Game 21.1
4.3Shots on Target 3.8
3.0Corners per Game 7.5
4.1Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Ponte PretaPonte Preta0Wins · 0%
Draws360%
CriciumaCriciuma2Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B03/08/2023
CriciumaPonte Preta
21
Serie B22/04/2023
Ponte PretaCriciuma
12
Serie B29/10/2022
Ponte PretaCriciuma
11
Serie B16/07/2022
CriciumaPonte Preta
11
Copa Do Brasil10/04/2021
CriciumaPonte Preta
11

Recent Form

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
0W1D9L
03/07/2026
Fortaleza ECPonte Preta
20
L
28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
L
23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
L
14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L
09/05/2026
Ponte PretaSport Recife
13
L
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
L
CriciumaCriciuma
5W5D0L
04/07/2026
CriciumaSport Recife
10
W
27/06/2026
CriciumaSão Bernardo
10
W
24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
W
16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D
06/06/2026
CriciumaLondrina
10
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
W
25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
D
17/05/2026
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense
11
D
10/05/2026
JuventudeCriciuma
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
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About the Ponte Preta vs Criciuma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ponte Preta and Criciuma in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Criciuma are 4th in the Serie B, while Ponte Preta sit 20th, 47 points behind. League goal record so far: Ponte Preta 21-79, Criciuma 38-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.