Avai vs Nautico Recife Prediction

Avai
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Nautico Recife
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianópolis·Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Avai Rest
5 days
Nautico Recife Rest
6 days

Avai vs Nautico Recife: the result in context

Avai beat Nautico Recife 2-0 in the Serie B on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Avai tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 5.7 for Nautico Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.75
X
24%3.08
2
35%2.60
Double Chance
1X
65%1.47
X2
58%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.77
No
50%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 0.98 = 2.25
Over 1.5
70%1.35
Over 2.5
43%2.08
Over 3.5
23%3.67
Under 1.5
30%3.02
Under 2.5
57%1.72
Under 3.5
77%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.43
Over 9.5
44%1.70
Over 10.5
33%2.10
Under 8.5
46%2.57
Under 9.5
56%2.05
Under 10.5
67%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%-

Match Events

7'DGAssist: Wallison
46'Leonai Souza INReginaldo out
46'Derek INKauan Maranhao out
62'Sorriso INWilliam out
69'Wallison INWesley Gasolina out
69'Victor Andrade INFelipe Cardoso out
69'Matheus Ribeiro INLuiz Claudio out
76'DG INJoao Maistro out
76'Jefferson Maciel INGuilherme Aquino out
76'Thayllon INJuan Rocha out
78'Jean LucasFoul
79'Igor Fernandes INLeo Jance out
84'Gustavo HenriqueFoul
90'Daniel PenhaAssist: Juan Rocha
90+6'William FernandoFoul

Lineups

Avai
4-4-2Coach: Almeida Cauan de
Nautico Recife
4-1-4-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.64
Igor Bohn6.91I. Bohn
Wallison7.02Wallison
Allyson7.23Allyson
Jefferson Maciel7.338J. Maciel
DG7.236DG
Thayllon7.043Thayllon
Ze RicardoC7.277Z. Ricardo
Luiz Henrique6.38L. Henrique
Sorriso6.911Sorriso
Daniel Penha7.514D. Penha
Jean Lucas6.910J. Lucas
Muriel BeckerC5.91M. Becker
Matheus Ribeiro6.614M. Ribeiro
Wanderson7.234Wanderson
Gustavo Henrique46G. Henrique
Igor Fernandes6.323I. Fernandes
Wenderson7.38Wenderson
Junior Todinho7.229J. Todinho
Leonai Souza6.522L. Souza
Luiz Felipe6.627L. Felipe
Victor Andrade7.911V. Andrade
Derek6.272Derek

Avai Substitutes

21Otavio Passos
52Wesley Gasolina69'for Wallison6.9
95Wenderson
50Joao Maistro76'for DG6.9
4Gabriel Simples
15Guilherme Aquino76'for Jefferson Maciel6.5
66Quaresma
90Kevin
29Marcio Vitor
16Jamerson
56William62'for Sorriso90+6'6.5
17Juan Rocha76'for Thayllon7.0

Nautico Recife Substitutes

55G. Guruceaga
5Auremir
93Reginaldo46'for Leonai Souza6.3
19Kauan Maranhao46'for Derek6.2
30Felipe Cardoso69'for Victor Andrade6.7
41Samuel Felix
16Luiz Claudio69'for Matheus Ribeiro6.3
18Halan
60Luiz Paulo
15Leo Indio
66Leo Jance79'for Igor Fernandes6.3

Match Stats

AvaiNautico Recife
31%Ball Possession69%
6Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
15Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal12
8Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots3
17Fouls12
7Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
256Total Passes553
172Passes Accurate480
67%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AvaiAvai
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
1522Elo Rating 1552
0.45Attack 0.27
2.13Defense 1.47
31%Hit Rate 27%
18.1Shots per Game 15.3
5.7Shots on Target 4.2
8.2Corners per Game 5.7
3.4Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AvaiAvai2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B21/11/2021
Nautico RecifeAvai
12
Serie B15/08/2021
AvaiNautico Recife
20

Recent Form

AvaiAvai
4W0D6L
07/07/2026
Botafogo SPAvai
31
L
28/06/2026
Athletic ClubAvai
10
L
21/06/2026
AvaiCuiaba
10
W
16/06/2026
LondrinaAvai
32
L
11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
L
07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
W
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
L
28/05/2026
AvaiVolta Redonda
30
W
25/05/2026
AvaiGoias
02
L
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
3W3D4L
06/07/2026
Nautico RecifeJuventude
00
D
28/06/2026
Nautico RecifeGoias
01
L
21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
L
15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D
10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
W
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D

Referee Profile

Joao Vitor Gobi85 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Vitor Gobi4.81
Other referees5.06

4.81 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Avai vs Nautico Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Avai and Nautico Recife in the Serie B table

Nautico Recife and Avai are close in the Serie B table, 15th and 17th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Avai 35-47, Nautico Recife 41-51. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Avai and Nautico Recife have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.