Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 17
Sport Recife
3-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Botafogo SP
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife·M. Lima Barbosa 11/07/2026
Sport RecifeSport Recife
3-3
Finished
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Sport Recife Rest
6 days
Botafogo SP Rest
4 days

Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP: result, form and history

Sport Recife and Botafogo SP drew 3-3 in the Serie B on 11 Jul 2026. Botafogo SP had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Sport Recife.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Botafogo SP tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 3.3 for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.91
X
24%3.21
2
24%4.22
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
48%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.03
No
50%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.89 = 2.35
Over 1.5
70%1.42
Over 2.5
44%2.32
Over 3.5
23%4.20
Under 1.5
30%2.70
Under 2.5
56%1.57
Under 3.5
77%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.2 = 10
Over 8.5
62%1.44
Over 9.5
52%1.73
Over 10.5
41%2.18
Under 8.5
38%2.55
Under 9.5
48%1.97
Under 10.5
59%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3 = 5.3
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
63%-
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
37%-

Match Events

25'Ze HugoAssist: Everton Morelli
27'Rafael GavaFoul
30'Claudio TencatiUnsportsmanlike conduct
38'Ze LucasFoul
42'Rafael Gava(Penalty)
45+4'Matheus SalesFoul
46'Marlon Douglas INClayson out
46'Ze Lucas INZe Gabriel out
46'Madson INAugusto out
47'Chrystian Barletta
54'HabraaoFoul
64'BenevenutoAssist: Clayson
65'Fabio Matheus INYago Felipe out
69'Matheus Sales INLeandro Maciel out
69'Kelvin INFelipe Vieira out
70'Hygor INGuilherme Queiroz out
73'Felipe VieiraDelay of game
76'Patrick BreyAssist: Rafael Gava
79'Rafael Gava INWallace out
82'Biel Fonseca INZe Roberto out
89'Ze Hugo INWesley Santos out
90+4'Leandro MacielFoul
90+6'Chrystian Barletta(Penalty)
90+9'ClaysonUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Sport RecifeSport Recife
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1599Elo Rating 1599
1.18Attack 2.00
1.81Defense 2.77
37%Hit Rate 77%
14.6Shots per Game 13.2
4.7Shots on Target 3.9
3.3Corners per Game 6.2
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Sport RecifeSport Recife2Wins · 50%
Draws250%
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B22/10/2024
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP
31
Serie B29/06/2024
Botafogo SPSport Recife
11
Serie B03/09/2023
Botafogo SPSport Recife
11
Serie B20/05/2023
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP
30

Recent Form

Sport RecifeSport Recife
3W3D4L
04/07/2026
CriciumaSport Recife
10
L28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
L
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
11/06/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
11
D
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
W
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
L
24/05/2026
JuventudeSport Recife
01
W
21/05/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
12
W
18/05/2026
Sport RecifeCRB
12
L
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
3W2D5L
07/07/2026
Botafogo SPAvai
31
W
01/07/2026
Botafogo SPCRB
01
L
21/06/2026
CearaBotafogo SP
01
W15/06/2026
Botafogo SPOperario-PR
21
W09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
26/05/2026
Botafogo SPAthletic Club
12
L
16/05/2026
GoiasBotafogo SP
10
L
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
L
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D

Referee Profile

M. Lima Barbosa90 matches

5.74Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Lima Barbosa5.74
Other referees5.31

5.74 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

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About the Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Sport Recife and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table

Sport Recife and Botafogo SP are close in the Serie B table, 10th and 12th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Sport Recife 50-42, Botafogo SP 45-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.