Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Ponte Preta
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Fortaleza EC
Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas·De Moraes Silva, Matheus 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.22
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Ponte Preta Rest
7 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
7 days

Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC: result, form and history

Ponte Preta and Fortaleza EC drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 24 Oct 2026. Fortaleza EC had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Ponte Preta.

Fortaleza EC tend to win more corners, 5.0 a game to 2.0 for Ponte Preta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%12.00
X
19%5.65
2
72%1.22
Double Chance
1X
28%3.93
X2
91%1.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.37
No
58%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.92 + 1.5 = 2.42
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.68
Over 3.5
31%2.75
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.09
Under 3.5
69%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 6.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.28
Over 9.5
52%1.54
Over 10.5
40%1.90
Under 8.5
36%3.14
Under 9.5
48%2.33
Under 10.5
60%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
55%1.67
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
45%2.10

Match Events

11'Gustavo TellesFoul
22'Penalty confirmedChico da Costa
24'Danilo BarcelosDissent
25'Maílton(Penalty)
32'MaíltonFoul
44'Gustavo Felipe AlmeidaAssist: Danilo Barcelos
45+2'Guilherme Brandão AzevedoAssist: Gustavo Telles
45+4'Felipe Di MauroFoul
57'Vitor Ferreira INPaulo Baya out
57'Pedro Henrique INWelliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus out
60'Rodrigo Souza INDenis out
65'Rodrigo Henrique Santos De SouzaAssist: Paulo Baya
65'Maurício Mucuri INLucca Prior Pimenta out
72'Danilo INLUCAS CUNHA out
72'David da Hora INEmanuell Silva Ferreira out
72'Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior INJuan Rodrigues Leopoldino out
76'Vinicius Ferrari AndreoliTime wasting
86'ronald falkoski INNathan Fogaça out
90+1'Gustavo Telles INDiego Monteiro Leao out

Lineups

Ponte Preta
4-2-3-1Coach: Gilson Kleina
Fortaleza EC
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulo Autuori
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.75
Vinicius6.930Vinicius
3232F. Di Mauro
Gustavo Almeida6.644G. Almeida
Gabriel Caran6.415G. Caran
Danilo Barcelos7.414D. Barcelos
Rodrigo Souza6.15R. Souza
Karl6.58Karl
Gustavo Lopes6.535G. Lopes
David da Hora6.718D. da Hora
1919Danilo
Brandão7.99Brandão
João Ricardo6.81J. Ricardo
Maílton6.822Maílton
Neris7.023Neris
Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga7.015B. Jacinto Quissanga
Maurício Júnior  Lima Rodrigues6.413M. Júnior Lima Rodrigues
Pierre7.25Pierre
Ronald6.68Ronald
Vitinho6.111Vitinho
Pedro Henrique6.416P. Henrique
Rodriguinho7.975Rodriguinho
Francisco da Costa6.391F. da Costa

Ponte Preta Substitutes

23Nicolas Silva
2Guilherme Martins Ferreira
4Diego Monteiro Leao90+1'replaced by Gustavo Telles
17Miguel
21Vitor Ribeiro Fernandes
6Juan72'for Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior6.1
16Kawann
7Emanuell Silva Ferreira72'replaced by David da Hora
1Guilherme Viana
3Lucas Cunha72'replaced by Danilo6.2
20Thevyn Dos Anjos Souza
22Denis60'replaced by Rodrigo Souza

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

17Nathan Fogaça86'for ronald falkoski6.7
12Kaio Henrique
3Lucas Gazal
29Rodrigo
38Lucca65'for Maurício Mucuri6.3
77Paulo Baya57'for Vitor Ferreira7.3
31Welliton57'for Pedro Henrique6.5
25Vinícius Silvestre
19Lucas Emanoel
4Luan
37Ryan Gustavo
28Paulinho

Match Stats

Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
24%Ball Possession76%
4Corner Kicks9
4Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots23
6Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box11
10Shots Outside Box12
3Blocked Shots7
10Fouls13
0Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves4
191Total Passes629
128Passes Accurate555
13Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1334Elo Rating 1713
0.50Attack 1.64
0.58Defense 2.09
0%Hit Rate 46%
8.6Shots per Game 11.5
3.5Shots on Target 3.5
2.0Corners per Game 5.0
3.3Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Ponte PretaPonte Preta0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1W1D8L
17/10/2026
Ponte PretaAtletico Goianiense
11
D
13/10/2026
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
51
L
07/10/2026
Ponte PretaJuventude
02
L
03/10/2026
CuiabaPonte Preta
20
L
30/09/2026
Botafogo SPPonte Preta
20
L
20/09/2026
Ponte PretaCRB
10
W
16/09/2026
LondrinaPonte Preta
60
L
11/09/2026
Sport RecifePonte Preta
20
L
06/09/2026
Ponte PretaSão Bernardo
02
L
30/08/2026
America MineiroPonte Preta
20
L

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15CearaCeara3437:4243
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
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About the Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ponte Preta and Fortaleza EC in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Fortaleza EC are 4th in the Serie B, while Ponte Preta sit 20th, 46 points behind. League goal record so far: Ponte Preta 21-76, Fortaleza EC 43-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ponte Preta and Fortaleza EC have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.