Fortaleza EC vs Avai Prediction

Fortaleza EC
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Avai
Y. Ferreira 10/09/2026
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1-0
Finished
AvaiAvai

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalSTRONGModel70%RiskMediumGap+4.9%
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days
Avai Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.53
X
21%3.64
2
5%6.54
Double Chance
1X
95%1.10
X2
26%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.25
No
49%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.79 = 2.39
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.27
Over 3.5
24%4.33
Under 1.5
28%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.60
Under 3.5
76%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.8 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.43
Over 9.5
53%1.71
Over 10.5
41%2.06
Under 8.5
37%2.67
Under 9.5
47%2.01
Under 10.5
59%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.47
Over 4.5
32%2.00
Under 3.5
49%2.40
Under 4.5
68%1.73

Match Events

42'Gabriel CiprianoFoul
45'ronald falkoski INRyan Gustavo de Lima out
45'Lucas Crispim INLuiz Fernando out
62'Jean Lucas Figueiredo INLuiz Henrique out
62'Juan Miritello INPaulo Baya out
65'Lucas Sasha INRodrigo Oliveira dos Santos out
66'Maílton
75'Zé Ricardo INKauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos out
75'Wenderson INLeo Chu out
81'Gabriel Cipriano INIsaias Pereira Da Silva out
83'João VitorFoul
86'Pedro Henrique INNeris out

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Autuori
Avai
4-2-3-1Coach: Allan Aal
João Ricardo1J. RicardoJoão Ricardo
Maílton22MaíltonMaílton
Lucas Gazal3L. GazalLucas Gazal
T. Cardona6T. CardonaT. Cardona
Kaio Henrique12K. HenriqueKaio Henrique
Lucas Sasha88L. SashaLucas Sasha
Ronald8RonaldRonald
Lucas Crispim10L. CrispimLucas Crispim
Vitinho11VitinhoVitinho
J. Miritello9J. MiritelloJ. Miritello
Pedro Henrique16P. HenriquePedro Henrique
Bruno94BrunoBruno
João Vitor Cardoso de Souza22J. Vitor Cardoso de SouzaJoão Vitor Cardoso de Souza
Allyson3AllysonAllyson
Reynaldo40ReynaldoReynaldo
DG36DGDG
Paulo Vitor25P. VitorPaulo Vitor
Zé Ricardo77Z. RicardoZé Ricardo
Gabriel Cipriano23G. CiprianoGabriel Cipriano
Jean Lucas10J. LucasJean Lucas
Wenderson95WendersonWenderson
Felipe Vizeu11F. VizeuFelipe Vizeu

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

31WellitonF
4LuanD
38LuccaM
32Luiz FernandoF
17Nathan FogaçaF
23NerisD
28PaulinhoD
77Paulo BayaF
29RodrigoM
37Ryan GustavoM
25Vinícius SilvestreG
13Maurício Júnior Lima RodriguesD

Avai Substitutes

15Guilherme VargasD
8Luiz HenriqueM
1Igor BohnG
18HyanM
35PedrãoD
26Vinicius Miguel ImmigD
4Simples GabrielD
20Isaías PereiraF
30Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos SantosF
21Otávio PassosG
7Léo ChúF

Match Stats

Fortaleza ECAvai
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal9
6Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls6
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
560Total Passes474
506Passes Accurate419
6Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
AvaiAvai
1695Elo Rating 1561
1.14Attack 0.75
2.56Defense 1.75
56%Hit Rate 14%
13.6Shots per Game 11.6
3.8Shots on Target 3.3
4.1Corners per Game 3.6
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+134 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
AvaiAvai
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

Fortaleza EC 33%Draw 39%28% Avai
2.07Avg Goals
28%BTTS Rate
28%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
2W3D0L
05/09/2026
GoiasFortaleza EC
01
W
01/09/2026
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR
11
D
23/08/2026
CriciumaFortaleza EC
02
W
20/08/2026
Fortaleza ECSão Bernardo
11
D
15/08/2026
JuventudeFortaleza EC
00
D
AvaiAvai
3W0D2L

Referee Profile

Y. Ferreira · 5 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 10% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova29156841:31+1051WDWLW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino29148749:27+2250LDWWW
3JuventudeJuventude29148731:19+1250LLWDD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense291210736:27+946LWWDW
7CRBCRB28136942:40+245WLWWL
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife291111739:29+1044WLWLL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo291181040:31+941WWLWL
11Athletic ClubAthletic Club291011834:31+341DWLWL
12CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
13GoiasGoias281161128:34-639WLLWD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara29981231:37-635WDLWL
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP29881332:36-432DLLLL
17AvaiAvai28861429:36-730DLLLW
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29452021:49-2817LLWLW
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta28242216:62-4610LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova2941:3151
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino2949:2750
3JuventudeJuventude2931:1950
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2936:2746
7CRBCRB2842:4045
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2939:2944
10São BernardoSão Bernardo2940:3141
11Athletic ClubAthletic Club2934:3141
12CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
13GoiasGoias2828:3439
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2931:3735
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2932:3632
17AvaiAvai2829:3630
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2921:4917
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2816:6210
PromotionRelegation

Fortaleza EC vs Avai Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Avai have met 3 times recently, averaging 2.07 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.