Fortaleza EC vs Avai Prediction

Fortaleza EC
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Avai
Y. Ferreira 10/09/2026
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1-0
Finished
AvaiAvai

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days
Avai Rest
4 days

Fortaleza EC vs Avai: result, form and history

Fortaleza EC beat Avai 1-0 in the Serie B on 9 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.53
X
21%3.64
2
5%6.54
Double Chance
1X
95%1.10
X2
26%2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.25
No
49%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.79 = 2.39
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.27
Over 3.5
24%4.33
Under 1.5
28%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.60
Under 3.5
76%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.8 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.43
Over 9.5
53%1.71
Over 10.5
41%2.06
Under 8.5
37%2.67
Under 9.5
47%2.01
Under 10.5
59%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.47
Over 4.5
32%2.00
Under 3.5
49%2.40
Under 4.5
68%1.73

Match Events

42'Gabriel CiprianoFoul
45'ronald falkoski INRyan Gustavo de Lima out
45'Lucas Crispim INLuiz Fernando out
62'Jean Lucas Figueiredo INLuiz Henrique out
62'Juan Miritello INPaulo Baya out
65'Lucas Sasha INRodrigo Oliveira dos Santos out
66'Maílton
75'Zé Ricardo INKauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos out
75'Wenderson INLeo Chu out
81'Gabriel Cipriano INIsaias Pereira Da Silva out
83'João VitorFoul
86'Pedro Henrique INNeris out

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Autuori
Avai
4-2-3-1Coach: Allan Aal
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.57
João Ricardo7.11J. Ricardo
Maílton7.422Maílton
Lucas Gazal7.63L. Gazal
T. Cardona7.36T. Cardona
Kaio Henrique6.912K. Henrique
Lucas Sasha7.288L. Sasha
Ronald7.18Ronald
Lucas Crispim7.010L. Crispim
Vitinho6.311Vitinho
J. Miritello6.29J. Miritello
Pedro Henrique6.316P. Henrique
Bruno6.694Bruno
João Vitor Cardoso de Souza6.622J. Vitor Cardoso de Souza
Allyson6.93Allyson
Reynaldo6.940Reynaldo
DG7.336DG
Paulo Vitor6.625P. Vitor
Zé Ricardo7.077Z. Ricardo
Gabriel Cipriano6.323G. Cipriano
Jean Lucas6.810J. Lucas
Wenderson6.795Wenderson
Felipe Vizeu6.011F. Vizeu

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

31Welliton
4Luan
38Lucca
32Luiz Fernando45'for Lucas Crispim6.7
17Nathan Fogaça
23Neris86'for Pedro Henrique6.6
28Paulinho
77Paulo Baya62'for Juan Miritello6.8
29Rodrigo65'for Lucas Sasha6.6
37Ryan Gustavo45'for ronald falkoski7.2
25Vinícius Silvestre
13Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues

Avai Substitutes

15Guilherme Vargas
8Luiz Henrique62'for Jean Lucas Figueiredo6.1
1Igor Bohn
18Hyan
35Pedrão
26Vinicius Miguel Immig
4Simples Gabriel
20Isaías Pereira81'for Gabriel Cipriano6.3
30Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos75'replaced by Zé Ricardo
21Otávio Passos
7Léo Chú75'for Wenderson6.2

Match Stats

Fortaleza ECAvai
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal10
6Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls6
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
574Total Passes483
518Passes Accurate423
6Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
AvaiAvai
1701Elo Rating 1522
1.32Attack 0.45
2.21Defense 2.13
34%Hit Rate 31%
14.3Shots per Game 18.1
3.7Shots on Target 5.7
6.2Corners per Game 8.2
2.7Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+179 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
AvaiAvai1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B10/05/2026
AvaiFortaleza EC
00
Serie A09/10/2022
Fortaleza ECAvai
20
Serie A17/06/2022
AvaiFortaleza EC
32

Referee Profile

Y. Ferreira117 matches

5.44Cards per match
5.22Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Y. Ferreira5.44
Other referees5.40

5.44 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.40).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Fortaleza EC vs Avai forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortaleza EC and Avai in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC are 5th and Avai 17th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 44-33, Avai 35-47. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.