Avai vs Botafogo SP Prediction

Avai
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Botafogo SP
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis·Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva 24/10/2026
AvaiAvai
0-2
Finished
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Avai Rest
6 days
Botafogo SP Rest
6 days

Avai vs Botafogo SP: the result in context

Botafogo SP beat Avai 2-0 in the Serie B on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Botafogo SP had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Avai.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.30
X
31%3.04
2
28%3.18
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
59%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.01 = 2.32
Over 1.5
64%1.44
Over 2.5
40%2.40
Over 3.5
19%4.80
Under 1.5
36%2.60
Under 2.5
60%1.52
Under 3.5
81%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.6 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.28
Over 9.5
54%1.54
Over 10.5
42%1.91
Under 8.5
35%3.14
Under 9.5
46%2.30
Under 10.5
58%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
55%1.67
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
45%2.10

Match Events

38'José Hugo Sousa dos SantosFoul
43'Luiz HenriqueFoul
43'MorelliAssist: Patrick Brey
45'Luiz Henrique INPaulo Vitor out
54'Leandro MacielAssist: Patrick Brey
58'Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira INLéo Gamalho out
58'Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho INGaspar out
61'Allyson Aires Dos SantosFoul
72'Zé Ricardo INPedro Henrique Franklim da Silva out
72'Jefferson Maciel INHyan out
74'Rafael Gava INMatheus Sales out
75'Leandro Maciel INMarco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi out
85'Morelli INThiago Henrique Moraes out
90'Hygor INHebert Willian Badaro Oliveira out
90'José Hugo Sousa dos Santos INArthur Caíke out

Lineups

Avai
4-2-3-1Coach: Allan Aal
Botafogo SP
5-4-1Coach: Cláudio Tencati
Avg rating6.38
Avg rating6.90
Bruno Ferreira6.094B. Ferreira
Wallison6.42Wallison
Allyson5.93Allyson
Jefferson Maciel6.838J. Maciel
DG6.336DG
Zé Ricardo6.177Z. Ricardo
Luiz Henrique6.58L. Henrique
Daniel Penha7.214D. Penha
Jean Lucas7.010J. Lucas
Rildo5.837Rildo
1919C. Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
Victor Souza8.21V. Souza
Gabriel Inocêncio6.122G. Inocêncio
Jonathan6.32Jonathan
Vilar7.04Vilar
Darlan6.627Darlan
Patrick Brey7.96P. Brey
Everton Morelli7.38E. Morelli
L. Maciel8.05L. Maciel
Rafael Gava6.810R. Gava
Zé Hugo6.230Z. Hugo
Hygor6.49Hygor

Avai Substitutes

18Hyan72'for Jefferson Maciel6.1
1Igor Bohn
23Gabriel Cipriano
9Léo Gamalho58'for Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira6.2
70Gaspar58'for Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho6.4
35Pedrão72'for Zé Ricardo6.2
25Paulo Vitor45'for Luiz Henrique6.7
20Isaías Pereira
66Quaresma
56William
11Felipe Vizeu
15Guilherme Vargas

Botafogo SP Substitutes

18Arthur Caíke90'for José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
16Matheus Sales74'for Rafael Gava6.5
28Marco Antônio75'for Leandro Maciel6.5
12Jordan
26Felipe Vieira
31Pedro Henrique
23Wesley Pinheiro Santos
29Thiago Henrique85'for Morelli6.9
7Kelvin
34Badaró90'for Hygor

Match Stats

AvaiBotafogo SP
58%Ball Possession42%
14Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
28Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal3
14Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box2
13Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots0
13Fouls16
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
485Total Passes367
394Passes Accurate258
15Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

AvaiAvai
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1532Elo Rating 1588
0.53Attack 1.29
2.15Defense 2.69
36%Hit Rate 86%
18.4Shots per Game 11.0
5.5Shots on Target 3.9
8.6Corners per Game 6.3
3.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AvaiAvai
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

AvaiAvai3Wins · 43%
Draws343%
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP1Wins · 14%
2.6Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B07/07/2026
Botafogo SPAvai
31
Serie B23/11/2025
Botafogo SPAvai
00
Serie B29/07/2025
AvaiBotafogo SP
50
Serie B19/11/2024
Botafogo SPAvai
13
Serie B31/07/2024
AvaiBotafogo SP
11
Serie B07/10/2023
Botafogo SPAvai
01
Serie B11/06/2023
AvaiBotafogo SP
11

Referee Profile

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva211 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.28Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva5.67
Other referees5.13

5.67 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 155 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Avai vs Botafogo SP forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avai and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Botafogo SP are 12th and Avai 17th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Avai 33-45, Botafogo SP 40-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.