Juventude vs Nautico Recife Prediction

Juventude
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Nautico Recife
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias Sul·Bruno Mota Correia 27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Juventude Rest
9 days
Nautico Recife Rest
7 days

Juventude vs Nautico Recife: result, form and history

Juventude beat Nautico Recife 4-0 in the Serie B on 26 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Juventude had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Nautico Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.42
X
24%4.30
2
12%7.10
Double Chance
1X
88%1.09
X2
36%2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.05
No
52%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.92 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
51%1.88
Over 3.5
29%3.22
Under 1.5
25%3.50
Under 2.5
49%1.89
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.38
Over 9.5
55%1.68
Over 10.5
43%2.06
Under 8.5
33%2.71
Under 9.5
45%2.06
Under 10.5
57%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
56%1.67
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
44%2.10

Match Events

7'Fabio limaAssist: Safira
8'Fabio lima
26'Jean CarlosFoul
29'Gabriel Barbosa PinheiroDissent
40'Raí da Silva Pessanha
45'Luiz Felipe INSamuel out
50'AderlanAssist: Gabriel Pires
53'Ryan SantosFoul
54'Ryan Santos INWanderson Camelo Viana out
58'Fabio lima INLuis Amarilla out
59'sam rodrigo INCristian Chagas Tarouco out
66'Benjamín Borasi INVictor Andrade out
72'Raí da Silva Pessanha INLucas Mineiro out
79'Jean Carlos INPaulo Sérgio out
79'Marcos Paulo INRay Breno Silva Valentim out
79'Derek Freitas Ribeiro INKauan Almeida da Costa out
79'Gabriel Pires INJuan out
89'Wanderson Camelo VianaFoul
90+3'Victor AndradeFoul
90+6'Luis AmarillaAssist: Safira

Lineups

Juventude
3-4-3Coach: Maurício Barbieri
Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruno Pivetti
Avg rating7.40
Avg rating6.15
Jandrei7.193Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam7.534R. Sam
Messias7.34Messias
Gabriel Pinheiro7.697G. Pinheiro
Aderlan8.213Aderlan
Raí8.275Raí
Gabriel Pires7.729G. Pires
Diogo Barbosa6.916D. Barbosa
Fábio Lima7.811F. Lima
Alisson Safira8.625A. Safira
Marcos Paulo6.310M. Paulo
G. Guruceaga6.855G. Guruceaga
Reginaldo Lopes6.693R. Lopes
Alberto5.93Alberto
Igor Fernandes5.923I. Fernandes
Ryan6.06Ryan
Luiz Felipe6.327L. Felipe
Wenderson6.48Wenderson
B. Borasi6.024B. Borasi
Jean Carlos5.610J. Carlos
Vinícius6.47Vinícius
Derek6.372Derek

Juventude Substitutes

17M. Castro
18L. Amarilla58'for Fabio lima90+6'7.6
3Titi59'for sam rodrigo7.5
30Patryck
26I. Ly
6Wadson
70Juan Christian79'for Gabriel Pires6.8
27Ray79'for Marcos Paulo6.6
8Lucas Mineiro72'for Raí da Silva Pessanha6.9
21Ruan Carneiro
2Raí Ramos
72Lucas Alves

Nautico Recife Substitutes

34Wanderson54'for Ryan Santos89'5.4
11Victor Andrade66'for Benjamín Borasi90+3'6.3
9Paulo Sérgio79'for Jean Carlos6.5
60Luiz Paulo
29Júnior Todinho
5Auremir
16Luiz Cláudio
19Kaua Almeida da Costa79'for Derek Freitas Ribeiro6.3
1Muriel
41Samuel45'for Luiz Felipe5.9
2Arnaldo

Match Stats

JuventudeNautico Recife
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
24Total Shots15
11Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots4
17Fouls14
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
454Total Passes443
391Passes Accurate384
14Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

JuventudeJuventude
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
1696Elo Rating 1553
2.02Attack 0.59
2.00Defense 1.85
50%Hit Rate 14%
15.1Shots per Game 14.2
4.6Shots on Target 3.0
5.2Corners per Game 6.6
2.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuventudeJuventude
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

JuventudeJuventude0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Referee Profile

Bruno Mota Correia84 matches

5.89Cards per match
5.49Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
32.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Mota Correia5.89
Other referees5.49

5.89 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.49).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15CearaCeara3437:4243
16Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
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About the Juventude vs Nautico Recife forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventude and Nautico Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Juventude are 2nd and Nautico Recife 16th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventude 45-23, Nautico Recife 39-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventude and Nautico Recife have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.