São Bernardo vs Vila Nova Prediction

São Bernardo
-
24/10/2026
21:30
Vila Nova
Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo·Alex Gomes Stefano
São BernardoSão Bernardo
24/10/202621:30
Vila NovaVila Nova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
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São Bernardo Rest
6 days
Vila Nova Rest
5 days

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova preview: form and head-to-head

Vila Nova arrive in slightly better form, with 3 wins from their last five to 1 for São Bernardo. They meet in the Serie B on 24 Oct 2026.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.98
X
3.04
2
2.42
Double Chance
1X
1.50
X2
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.90
No
1.81
Goals
Over 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
2.23
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 1.5
2.75
Under 2.5
1.60
Under 3.5
1.20
Corners
Over 8.5
1.25
Over 9.5
1.51
Over 10.5
1.84
Under 8.5
3.25
Under 9.5
2.35
Under 10.5
1.86
Cards
Over 3.5
-
Over 4.5
1.91
Under 3.5
-
Under 4.5
1.80
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

São BernardoSão Bernardo
Vila NovaVila Nova
1591Elo Rating 1674
1.15Attack 1.44
1.72Defense 2.46
17%Hit Rate 54%
10.6Shots per Game 12.3
2.7Shots on Target 4.6
5.8Corners per Game 5.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

São BernardoSão Bernardo0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Vila NovaVila Nova1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21

Referee Profile

Alex Gomes Stefano135 matches

5.17Cards per match
4.88Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alex Gomes Stefano5.17
Other referees5.28

5.17 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 93 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova34188848:33+1562DWDWW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino341710761:30+3161DWWWD
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC341612641:29+1260WDWDD
5CriciumaCriciuma34178935:28+759WWLWW
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense341412842:32+1054DDLWW
7CRBCRB341571251:48+352LDWLW
8Sport RecifeSport Recife341312945:37+851LDWWL
9GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
10Operario-PROperario-PR341391244:46-248LLLLD
11CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
12São BernardoSão Bernardo3412101246:37+946LDLWD
13Botafogo SPBotafogo SP341281438:38044WWWLW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3410141040:39+144DDLLD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai341071733:43-1037DWWLL
18LondrinaLondrina34881843:49-632WDLLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta34352619:74-5514DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova3448:3362
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino3461:3061
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3441:2960
5CriciumaCriciuma3435:2859
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3442:3254
7CRBCRB3451:4852
8Sport RecifeSport Recife3445:3751
9GoiasGoias3434:4049
10Operario-PROperario-PR3444:4648
11CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
12São BernardoSão Bernardo3446:3746
13Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3438:3844
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3440:3944
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3433:4337
18LondrinaLondrina3443:4932
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3419:7414
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About the São Bernardo vs Vila Nova forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

São Bernardo and Vila Nova in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 1st and São Bernardo 12th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: São Bernardo 46-37, Vila Nova 48-33. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Vila Nova have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. São Bernardo and Vila Nova have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.