Real Betis vs Barcelona Prediction

Real Betis
2-5
Finished
HT 1-2
Barcelona
Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville·Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Real Betis Rest
2 days
Barcelona Rest
3 days

Real Betis vs Barcelona: result, form and history

Barcelona beat Real Betis 5-2 in the La Liga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Barcelona have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game. Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea averages 4.32 cards a game, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%5.88
X
20%5.39
2
62%1.44
Double Chance
1X
39%2.85
X2
82%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
79%1.33
No
21%3.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 2.36 = 3.82
Over 1.5
91%1.06
Over 2.5
79%1.20
Over 3.5
59%1.56
Under 1.5
9%9.00
Under 2.5
21%4.10
Under 3.5
41%2.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.1 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.39
Over 9.5
47%1.69
Over 10.5
36%2.02
Under 8.5
42%2.71
Under 9.5
53%2.08
Under 10.5
64%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.75
Over 4.5
41%2.62
Under 3.5
39%2.00
Under 4.5
59%1.46

Match Events

10'Lamine YamalAssist: Jules Koundé
20'Fermín LópezFoul
22'Héctor BellerínFoul
27'Diego Valentín GómezAssist: Pablo Fornals
41'Rodrigo Hernandez CascanteAssist: Fermín López
45'Goal cancelledGiovani Lo Celso
45'Manuel Luis Pellegrini RipamontiDissent
45'Gerard Martín INEric García out
45'Dani Ceballos INNelson Deossa out
51'Gabriel JesusAssist: Lamine Yamal
53'Abde EzzalzouliAssist: Giovani Lo Celso
54'Facundo BernalViolent conduct
55'Lamine YamalArgument
61'Diego LlorenteFoul
62'Fermín López INDaniel Olmo Carvajal out
62'Karim Adeyemi INAnthony Gordon out
62'Eric GarcíaAssist: Pau Cubarsí
64'Cucho Hernández INTroy Parrott out
64'Giovani Lo Celso INRodrigo Riquelme out
70'Lamine Yamal INRaphael Dias Belloli out
70'Héctor Bellerín INÁngel Ortiz out
70'Pablo Fornals INÁlvaro Fidalgo out
79'Gabriel Jesus INPablo Martín Páez Gavira out
81'Daniel Olmo CarvajalAssist: Pau Cubarsí

Lineups

Real Betis
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Pellegrini
Barcelona
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Flick
Avg rating6.08
Avg rating7.10
Álvaro Vallés7.01Á. Vallés
Héctor Bellerín4.72H. Bellerín
Diego Llorente5.73D. Llorente
V. Gómez6.916V. Gómez
Fran García5.411F. García
F. Bernal5.16F. Bernal
Dani Ceballos5.825D. Ceballos
G. Lo Celso6.120G. Lo Celso
Pablo Fornals7.38P. Fornals
A. Ezzalzouli7.110A. Ezzalzouli
C. Hernández6.39C. Hernández
Joan García6.71J. García
J. Koundé6.823J. Koundé
Pau Cubarsí Paredes8.05P. Cubarsí Paredes
Gerard Martín6.318G. Martín
X. Espart6.612X. Espart
Rodri8.216Rodri
Pedri7.08Pedri
Lamine Yamal8.010L. Yamal
Fermín6.97Fermín
K. Adeyemi6.314K. Adeyemi
Gabriel Jesus7.79G. Jesus

Real Betis Substitutes

5Marc Bartra
21Marc Roca
13Diego Conde
18N. Deossa45'for Dani Ceballos6.1
15Álvaro Fidalgo70'for Pablo Fornals6.0
22Isco
27J. A. Morante
4Natan
12Ángel Ortiz70'for Héctor Bellerín5.5
19T. Parrott64'for Cucho Hernández6.4
17Rodrigo Riquelme64'for Giovani Lo Celso5.8
7Antony

Barcelona Substitutes

4B. Farinas
3Alejandro Balde
22Marc Bernal
2João Cancelo
21F. de Jong
24Eric García45'for Gerard Martín62'7.3
6Gavi79'for Gabriel Jesus6.6
17A. Gordon62'for Karim Adeyemi6.9
25D. Livaković
20Dani Olmo62'for Fermín López81'7.1
11Raphinha70'for Lamine Yamal7.2
13W. Szczęsny

Match Stats

Real BetisBarcelona
31%Ball Possession69%
2Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots18
5Shots on Goal10
0Shots off Goal6
3Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves3
324Total Passes751
256Passes Accurate692
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Real BetisReal Betis
BarcelonaBarcelona
1891Elo Rating 2068
2.28Attack 3.38
0.99Defense 1.13
63%Hit Rate 73%
15.5Shots per Game 20.5
6.9Shots on Target 8.1
4.5Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Real BetisReal Betis
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BarcelonaBarcelona
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Real BetisReal Betis0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
BarcelonaBarcelona7Wins · 70%
4.4Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga17/05/2026
BarcelonaReal Betis
31
La Liga06/12/2025
Real BetisBarcelona
35
La Liga05/04/2025
BarcelonaReal Betis
11
Copa del Rey15/01/2025
BarcelonaReal Betis
51
La Liga07/12/2024
Real BetisBarcelona
22
La Liga21/01/2024
Real BetisBarcelona
24
La Liga16/09/2023
BarcelonaReal Betis
50
La Liga29/04/2023
BarcelonaReal Betis
40
La Liga01/02/2023
Real BetisBarcelona
12
Super Cup12/01/2023
Real BetisBarcelona
2141

Referee Profile

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea190 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea4.32
Other referees4.86

4.32 cards a match, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona990039:9+3027WWWWW
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid971119:8+1122WWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid970223:9+1421WWLWW
4Real BetisReal Betis961216:14+219LWDWW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad951317:17016WWWLW
6SevillaSevilla942314:16-214LDLWW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Celta VigoCelta Vigo925210:7+311WDWDD
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna925213:12+111DLDLD
10OsasunaOsasuna932410:18-811WLDLL
11LevanteLevante924315:17-210WDDLL
12VillarrealVillarreal923413:1309DLWWL
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club82338:9-19DDDDW
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano823312:17-59DDWLW
15GetafeGetafe92345:11-69DLWLD
16EspanyolEspanyol922511:12-18LDLLW
17Racing SantanderRacing Santander922513:25-128LDLLW
18ElcheElche914411:17-67DDWLD
19ValenciaValencia91356:15-96DDLWL
20MalagaMalaga100557:19-125DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona939:927
2Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid919:822
3Real MadridReal Madrid923:921
4Real BetisReal Betis916:1419
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad917:1716
6SevillaSevilla914:1614
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Celta VigoCelta Vigo910:711
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna913:1211
10OsasunaOsasuna910:1811
11LevanteLevante915:1710
12VillarrealVillarreal913:139
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club88:99
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano812:179
15GetafeGetafe95:119
16EspanyolEspanyol911:128
17Racing SantanderRacing Santander913:258
18ElcheElche911:177
19ValenciaValencia96:156
20MalagaMalaga107:195
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Real Betis vs Barcelona forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Betis and Barcelona in the La Liga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Barcelona are 1st in the La Liga, 8 points ahead of Real Betis in 4th. League goal record so far: Real Betis 16-14, Barcelona 39-9. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.